Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 17, 2024

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Pick & Prediction – 11/17/2024

  • Date: November 17, 2024
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 2.5 (-110), Indiana Pacers -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under:229
Moneyline:Miami Heat 120, Indiana Pacers -140


Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 44%Miami Heat - 59%
Indiana Pacers - 56%Indiana Pacers - 41%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers are set to clash in a Sunday Night showdown at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 5:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams with nearly identical records, the Heat at 5-6 and the Pacers at 5-7. Despite their similar records, the Pacers enter the game as a slight favorite at home, with a spread of -2.5 and a moneyline of -140. The Heat, on the other hand, have a moneyline of +120, reflecting their implied win probability of 44%, compared to the Pacers' 56%.

The Heat have been on an upswing recently, winning two of their last three games, including a decisive 124-111 victory over the Pacers in their last meeting. This recent win was considered an upset, as Miami was a 4.5-point underdog with just a 37% chance of winning. The Heat's recent performance indicates they might be finding their rhythm, which could make them a more dangerous opponent than their record suggests.

Conversely, the Pacers have struggled lately, losing three of their last four games. This recent skid includes the aforementioned loss to the Heat, a game where their defense faltered, allowing Miami to score at will. The Pacers will need to tighten up their defensive strategy to avoid a repeat of their previous encounter.

For bettors, this game presents an intriguing opportunity. While the Pacers are favored, the Heat's recent form and their victory over Indiana suggest they could outperform expectations once again. As both teams vie for a much-needed win, this matchup promises to be a competitive and potentially high-scoring affair.


Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 120.79 vs Indiana Pacers 117.79

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-115
63% MIA
-3.0/-105
37% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+120
34% MIA
-142
66% IND

Total Pick Consensus

229.0/-112
15% UN
229.0/-108
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
11
Games
12
39.9
FG
42.3
88.6
FGA
89.8
.450
FG%
.470
14.8
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.5
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.385
3Pt%
.336
25.1
2Pt-FG
29.8
50.2
2Pt-FGA
52.6
.500
2Pt%
.566
16.8
FT
20.2
22.4
FTA
25.3
.752
FT%
.796
10.2
ORB
11.7
32.2
DRB
32.9
42.4
TRB
44.6
25.5
AST
23.9
10.5
STL
7.6
4.2
BLK
4.5
12.8
TOV
13.7
17.4
PF
19.3
111.5
PTS
117.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
11
Games
12
41.0
FG
42.3
87.8
FGA
86.9
.467
FG%
.487
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.5
3Pt-FGA
33.0
.368
3Pt%
.374
26.8
2Pt-FG
30.0
49.3
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.544
2Pt%
.556
15.0
FT
16.6
18.6
FTA
21.7
.805
FT%
.765
12.1
ORB
8.2
34.2
DRB
31.8
46.3
TRB
40.0
26.0
AST
27.8
7.3
STL
7.7
5.5
BLK
4.5
16.5
TOV
14.9
19.2
PF
21.7
111.2
PTS
113.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.534
eFG%
.540
11.5
TOV%
11.9
23.0
RB%
73.2
.190
FT/FGA
.224

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.548
eFG%
.558
14.6
TOV%
13.4
72.7
RB%
19.9
.171
FT/FGA
.191

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
11
Games
12
40.6
FG
42.0
90.2
FGA
89.4
.450
FG%
.470
15.1
3Pt-FG
12.4
39.1
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.385
3Pt%
.336
25.5
2Pt-FG
29.6
51.1
2Pt-FGA
52.3
.500
2Pt%
.566
17.1
FT
20.1
22.8
FTA
25.2
.752
FT%
.796
10.4
ORB
11.6
32.8
DRB
32.8
43.1
TRB
44.4
26.0
AST
23.8
10.6
STL
7.5
4.3
BLK
4.5
13.0
TOV
13.6
17.7
PF
19.2
113.5
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
11
Games
12
41.7
FG
42.1
89.4
FGA
86.5
.467
FG%
.487
14.4
3Pt-FG
12.3
39.2
3Pt-FGA
32.8
.368
3Pt%
.374
27.3
2Pt-FG
29.9
50.2
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.544
2Pt%
.556
15.3
FT
16.5
19.0
FTA
21.6
.805
FT%
.765
12.3
ORB
8.1
34.8
DRB
31.7
47.1
TRB
39.8
26.5
AST
27.6
7.4
STL
7.6
5.6
BLK
4.5
16.7
TOV
14.8
19.5
PF
21.6
113.2
PTS
113.0

MIA
Analytics
IND
6
Pythag Wins
5
5
Pythag Losses
7
0.27
Margin Of Victory
-3.58
113.5
O Rtg
113.0
113.2
D Rtg
116.6
97.3
Pace
98.8
.252
FTr
.249
.434
3PAr
.380
.566
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-105)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+120
-142
+119
-140
+120
-142
+120
-142
+126
-148
+124
-146
+116
-137
+115
-136
+118
-140
+118
-140
+120
-145
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-109)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.0 (-108)
229.0 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-109)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)