Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 17, 2024

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Pick & Prediction – 11/17/2024

  • Date: November 17, 2024
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 2.5 (-110), Indiana Pacers -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under:229
Moneyline:Miami Heat 120, Indiana Pacers -140


Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 44%Miami Heat - 59%
Indiana Pacers - 56%Indiana Pacers - 41%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers are set to clash in a Sunday Night showdown at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 5:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams with nearly identical records, the Heat at 5-6 and the Pacers at 5-7. Despite their similar records, the Pacers enter the game as a slight favorite at home, with a spread of -2.5 and a moneyline of -140. The Heat, on the other hand, have a moneyline of +120, reflecting their implied win probability of 44%, compared to the Pacers' 56%.

The Heat have been on an upswing recently, winning two of their last three games, including a decisive 124-111 victory over the Pacers in their last meeting. This recent win was considered an upset, as Miami was a 4.5-point underdog with just a 37% chance of winning. The Heat's recent performance indicates they might be finding their rhythm, which could make them a more dangerous opponent than their record suggests.

Conversely, the Pacers have struggled lately, losing three of their last four games. This recent skid includes the aforementioned loss to the Heat, a game where their defense faltered, allowing Miami to score at will. The Pacers will need to tighten up their defensive strategy to avoid a repeat of their previous encounter.

For bettors, this game presents an intriguing opportunity. While the Pacers are favored, the Heat's recent form and their victory over Indiana suggest they could outperform expectations once again. As both teams vie for a much-needed win, this matchup promises to be a competitive and potentially high-scoring affair.


Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 120.79 vs Indiana Pacers 117.79

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-108
74% MIA
-3.5/-112
26% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+136
26% MIA
-160
74% IND

Total Pick Consensus

228.0/-108
26% UN
228.0/-112
74% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
66
Games
65
39.6
FG
42.5
86.6
FGA
89.4
.458
FG%
.476
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.8
38.3
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.361
3Pt%
.355
25.8
2Pt-FG
29.8
48.3
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.535
2Pt%
.557
16.5
FT
17.3
20.9
FTA
22.3
.790
FT%
.775
9.5
ORB
11.4
33.9
DRB
33.4
43.4
TRB
44.8
26.3
AST
26.6
7.9
STL
7.3
3.7
BLK
4.5
13.7
TOV
15.0
15.8
PF
18.4
109.6
PTS
115.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
66
Games
65
41.2
FG
43.4
88.8
FGA
88.7
.464
FG%
.489
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.7
3Pt-FGA
35.2
.357
3Pt%
.367
27.4
2Pt-FG
30.5
50.2
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.546
2Pt%
.569
14.3
FT
16.6
18.2
FTA
21.1
.784
FT%
.787
10.7
ORB
8.9
34.3
DRB
32.1
45.0
TRB
41.0
26.7
AST
29.2
7.5
STL
8.6
4.7
BLK
5.1
13.6
TOV
13.3
17.3
PF
18.8
110.5
PTS
116.3

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.538
eFG%
.547
12.5
TOV%
13.1
21.7
RB%
73.8
.190
FT/FGA
.193

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.541
eFG%
.562
12.3
TOV%
12.0
76.0
RB%
21.1
.161
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
66
Games
65
40.6
FG
42.4
88.7
FGA
89.2
.458
FG%
.476
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.8
39.2
3Pt-FGA
35.9
.361
3Pt%
.355
26.5
2Pt-FG
29.7
49.5
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.535
2Pt%
.557
16.9
FT
17.3
21.4
FTA
22.3
.790
FT%
.775
9.7
ORB
11.4
34.8
DRB
33.4
44.5
TRB
44.7
26.9
AST
26.5
8.1
STL
7.2
3.8
BLK
4.5
14.0
TOV
15.0
16.2
PF
18.4
112.3
PTS
114.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
66
Games
65
42.2
FG
43.3
91.1
FGA
88.5
.464
FG%
.489
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.9
39.6
3Pt-FGA
35.1
.357
3Pt%
.367
28.1
2Pt-FG
30.4
51.4
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.546
2Pt%
.569
14.6
FT
16.5
18.7
FTA
21.0
.784
FT%
.787
11.0
ORB
8.9
35.2
DRB
32.0
46.2
TRB
40.9
27.4
AST
29.1
7.6
STL
8.6
4.8
BLK
5.1
13.9
TOV
13.3
17.7
PF
18.8
113.2
PTS
116.0

MIA
Analytics
IND
31
Pythag Wins
35
35
Pythag Losses
30
-0.89
Margin Of Victory
1.15
112.3
O Rtg
116.0
113.2
D Rtg
114.9
96.2
Pace
99.7
.241
FTr
.237
.442
3PAr
.396
.572
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+120
-142
+136
-160
+120
-142
+140
-166
+126
-148
+140
-166
+116
-137
+130
-155
+118
-140
+143
-170
+120
-145
+135
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-108)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-105)
228.0 (-115)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)

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