Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 16, 2024

Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons Pick For 12/16/2024

  • Date: December 16, 2024
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -4 (-110), Detroit Pistons 4 (-110)
Over/Under:219
Moneyline:Miami Heat -175, Detroit Pistons 155


Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 62%Miami Heat - 73%
Detroit Pistons - 38%Detroit Pistons - 27%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, riding the momentum of a four-game winning streak, are set to face the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Monday night. The Heat, standing at 13-10, are favored on the road with a spread of -5.0. The moneyline reflects their status as favorites with odds of -195, suggesting a 64% implied win probability. Meanwhile, the Pistons, at 10-16, enter the matchup as underdogs with a moneyline of +165, translating to a 36% implied chance of victory.

Both teams have benefited from a four-day break, providing ample rest for their rosters. This could be crucial for Miami, who are looking to extend their winning streak. The Heat's recent performance includes a notable 114-104 victory over the Toronto Raptors, showcasing their offensive capabilities. In contrast, Detroit has struggled, losing 15 of their last 25 games, including a hefty 123-99 defeat to the Boston Celtics.

For bettors eyeing player props, Cade Cunningham's performance is under the spotlight. His points and rebounds market has garnered significant attention, with sharp bettors leaning towards the under. The prop total opened at under 31.5 points and rebounds (-105) but has since moved to 30.5 (-120), indicating a shift in betting patterns.

With both teams well-rested, the Heat's status as favorites is bolstered by their recent form and betting odds. The Pistons, however, will aim to leverage their home-court advantage to upset Miami's rhythm. As the teams tip off at 7:00 PM ET, basketball fans and bettors alike will be keenly observing how this matchup unfolds.


Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 112.65 vs Detroit Pistons 104.45

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-110
87% MIA
+4.5/-110
13% DET

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-188
83% MIA
+159
17% DET

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-110
22% UN
219.5/-110
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DET
24
Games
27
40.0
FG
41.7
88.4
FGA
89.4
.453
FG%
.467
14.8
3Pt-FG
14.2
39.0
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.379
3Pt%
.373
25.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.4
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.511
2Pt%
.536
17.9
FT
16.1
22.9
FTA
20.9
.782
FT%
.772
10.3
ORB
10.3
33.6
DRB
32.0
43.9
TRB
42.3
26.4
AST
25.5
9.1
STL
10.0
3.5
BLK
4.9
12.9
TOV
13.8
16.3
PF
17.8
112.8
PTS
113.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DET
24
Games
27
40.6
FG
40.8
87.9
FGA
88.0
.462
FG%
.463
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
37.8
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.366
3Pt%
.362
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.4
50.1
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.535
2Pt%
.536
14.6
FT
15.7
18.2
FTA
20.6
.803
FT%
.764
11.0
ORB
11.0
34.5
DRB
34.5
45.5
TRB
45.5
27.0
AST
25.6
7.0
STL
6.4
5.2
BLK
5.2
15.4
TOV
16.6
19.2
PF
19.9
109.7
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DET
.537
eFG%
.546
11.6
TOV%
12.3
23.0
RB%
77.0
.203
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DET
.541
eFG%
.539
13.8
TOV%
14.6
75.3
RB%
25.6
.166
FT/FGA
.179

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DET
24
Games
27
40.7
FG
41.8
89.9
FGA
89.6
.453
FG%
.467
15.0
3Pt-FG
14.2
39.7
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.379
3Pt%
.373
25.7
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.2
2Pt-FGA
51.5
.511
2Pt%
.536
18.2
FT
16.2
23.3
FTA
21.0
.782
FT%
.772
10.5
ORB
10.3
34.2
DRB
32.1
44.7
TRB
42.4
26.8
AST
25.5
9.2
STL
10.1
3.6
BLK
4.9
13.1
TOV
13.8
16.5
PF
17.8
114.7
PTS
114.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DET
24
Games
27
41.3
FG
40.8
89.4
FGA
88.2
.462
FG%
.463
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.4
38.5
3Pt-FGA
36.9
.366
3Pt%
.362
27.2
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.9
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.535
2Pt%
.536
14.9
FT
15.8
18.5
FTA
20.6
.803
FT%
.764
11.2
ORB
11.1
35.1
DRB
34.5
46.3
TRB
45.6
27.5
AST
25.7
7.1
STL
6.4
5.3
BLK
5.2
15.6
TOV
16.6
19.5
PF
19.9
111.6
PTS
110.8

MIA
Analytics
DET
14
Pythag Wins
11
10
Pythag Losses
16
3.08
Margin Of Victory
-3.19
114.7
O Rtg
110.8
111.6
D Rtg
114.0
97.1
Pace
98.3
.259
FTr
.234
.442
3PAr
.418
.573
TS%
.570

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DET
MIA DET
Consensus
-3.5 (-111)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-111)
+4.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DET
MIA DET
Consensus
-165
+137
-188
+159
-166
+140
-185
+154
-166
+140
-188
+158
-190
+155
-186
+155
-170
+143
-180
+152
-175
+145
-190
+155
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.5 (-109)
219.5 (-112)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
217.5 (-108)
217.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
219.5 (-113)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)