Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers

Mar 14, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction – 3/14/2025


The Los Angeles Lakers face off against the Denver Nuggets on March 14, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET in a critical matchup at Ball Arena. With the Lakers holding a record of 40-24 and the Nuggets sitting at 42-24, both teams are looking to solidify their playoff positions, but the circumstances heavily favor Denver.

This game marks a back-to-back for the Lakers, who played yesterday and fell to the Milwaukee Bucks 126-106. The quick turnaround could be a significant disadvantage, as fatigue may impact their performance against a well-rested Nuggets squad that last took the court in a loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 115-95. Denver has been strong at home, making them a considerable favorite with a spread of Nuggets -14.0.

The odds reflect a stark contrast in expectations, with the Nuggets holding an 86% implied win probability compared to the Lakers' 14%. The Nuggets boast a Moneyline of -850, while the Lakers sit at +610. Historically, this kind of spread indicates a one-sided affair, and given the recent performances of both teams, bettors might lean heavily towards Denver.

Despite the disadvantage of fatigue, the Lakers have shown resilience, winning 27 of their last 40 games. However, the Nuggets have been equally impressive, securing 33 victories in their last 50 outings. It’s a classic case of a team with momentum facing a squad struggling for rest and recovery, setting the stage for what could be a pivotal game in both teams' seasons.


Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Los Angeles Lakers 112.75 vs Denver Nuggets 122.03


Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Lakers14%24%
Nuggets86%76%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+14.0/-108
67% LAL
-14.0/-112
33% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+625
28% LAL
-950
72% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
18% UN
228.5/-108
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
64
Games
66
40.9
FG
43.2
85.4
FGA
93.0
.479
FG%
.465
12.7
3Pt-FG
14.0
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.2
2Pt-FG
29.2
49.9
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.566
2Pt%
.536
18.2
FT
16.2
23.2
FTA
20.6
.787
FT%
.784
9.5
ORB
11.6
33.2
DRB
30.8
42.7
TRB
42.4
26.2
AST
29.1
7.6
STL
8.8
4.7
BLK
5.3
14.0
TOV
13.1
16.9
PF
18.8
112.8
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
64
Games
66
41.1
FG
45.7
89.5
FGA
90.2
.459
FG%
.507
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.2
38.2
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.349
3Pt%
.382
27.8
2Pt-FG
33.5
51.3
2Pt-FGA
58.4
.541
2Pt%
.574
15.8
FT
17.5
20.2
FTA
22.6
.785
FT%
.774
11.1
ORB
11.2
31.9
DRB
34.6
43.0
TRB
45.8
27.0
AST
31.0
8.3
STL
8.1
4.2
BLK
4.7
13.8
TOV
14.1
19.4
PF
17.6
111.4
PTS
121.1

Offense/Defense

LAL
Four Factors
DEN
.553
eFG%
.540
12.7
TOV%
11.4
23.0
RB%
74.9
.213
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

LAL
Four Factors
DEN
.534
eFG%
.574
12.3
TOV%
12.3
74.9
RB%
26.7
.177
FT/FGA
.194

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
64
Games
66
41.8
FG
42.9
87.2
FGA
92.3
.479
FG%
.465
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.9
36.3
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
50.9
2Pt-FGA
54.1
.566
2Pt%
.536
18.6
FT
16.0
23.6
FTA
20.4
.787
FT%
.784
9.7
ORB
11.5
33.8
DRB
30.6
43.6
TRB
42.1
26.7
AST
28.9
7.7
STL
8.7
4.8
BLK
5.2
14.3
TOV
13.0
17.2
PF
18.7
115.0
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
64
Games
66
41.9
FG
45.3
91.3
FGA
89.5
.459
FG%
.507
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.1
39.0
3Pt-FGA
31.6
.349
3Pt%
.382
28.3
2Pt-FG
33.3
52.3
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.541
2Pt%
.574
16.2
FT
17.4
20.6
FTA
22.5
.785
FT%
.774
11.3
ORB
11.2
32.6
DRB
34.3
43.9
TRB
45.4
27.6
AST
30.8
8.5
STL
8.0
4.3
BLK
4.7
14.0
TOV
14.0
19.8
PF
17.5
113.6
PTS
120.1

LAL
Analytics
DEN
35
Pythag Wins
41
29
Pythag Losses
25
1.38
Margin Of Victory
4.45
115.0
O Rtg
120.1
113.6
D Rtg
115.7
97.7
Pace
100.0
.271
FTr
.251
.416
3PAr
.353
.590
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAL DEN
LAL DEN
Consensus
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-110)
+14.0 (-108)
-14.0 (-111)
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-110)
+14.0 (-108)
-14.0 (-112)
+13.5 (-114)
-13.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-114)
-13.5 (-106)
+13.0 (-107)
-13.0 (-112)
+14.0 (-107)
-14.0 (-114)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-110)
+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-105)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
LAL DEN
LAL DEN
Consensus
+550
-800
+618
-920
+550
-800
+625
-950
+560
-800
+540
-770
+550
-770
+650
-1000
+600
-900
+650
-1000
+650
-1000
+600
-900
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
228.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
232.0 (-112)
232.0 (-109)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
230.0 (-105)
230.0 (-115)
232.5 (-105)
232.5 (-115)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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