Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).
Pros
- Jamal Murray has attempted 20.6 shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.1 more than he’s attempted overall this season at home.
- Jamal Murray has played 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.4 more than he’s played over the course of the year at home.
- This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a favorable matchup.
- The Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
- Jamal Murray has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he’s put through the hoop overall this year.
Cons
- The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year.
- The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
- As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 20.1 free throw attempts per game.
- Over the last 15 games, the opposition’s starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Prop Projection: Jamal Murray is projected for 19.2 Points
