Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers

Jan 2, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat Prediction For 1/2/2025

  • Date: January 2, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Indiana Pacers 1.5 (-110), Miami Heat -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under:224
Moneyline:Indiana Pacers 105, Miami Heat -125


Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Indiana Pacers - 47%Indiana Pacers - 34%
Miami Heat - 53%Miami Heat - 66%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers (16-18) face off against the Miami Heat (17-14) in a Thursday night showdown at Kaseya Center, set to tip off at 7:30 PM ET. This matchup carries significant implications for both teams as they look to improve their standings.

The Pacers are entering this game after a tough loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, falling 120-112. They have struggled on the road lately, winning only 8 of their last 20 away games. In contrast, the Heat are coming off a solid 119-108 victory against the New Orleans Pelicans and have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 games at Kaseya Center.

Despite being a slight favorite, the Heat face a challenge as this game marks a back-to-back for them, which could impact their performance. The spread currently sits at Heat -1.5, with the Moneyline for Miami at -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. The Pacers, on the other hand, are listed at +105 on the Moneyline, with an implied probability of 47%.

For those considering player prop bets, Bennedict Mathurin's Points and Rebounds market has garnered attention, indicating interest in his performance. Sharp bettors are leaning toward the Under on Mathurin’s total, currently priced at Under 21.5 Points and Rebounds (-115), suggesting that many believe this line may be mispriced.

As both teams prepare for this critical matchup, the Pacers will need to capitalize on the Heat's fatigue, while Miami aims to maintain their strong home performance amidst the challenge of a quick turnaround.


Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Indiana Pacers 113.37 vs Miami Heat 119.07

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-108
33% IND
-1.5/-112
67% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+105
21% IND
-125
79% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

223.5/-108
12% UN
223.5/-112
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
34
Games
31
42.6
FG
40.2
87.5
FGA
87.3
.487
FG%
.460
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.0
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.373
3Pt%
.357
29.9
2Pt-FG
26.9
53.5
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.560
2Pt%
.537
16.7
FT
15.0
21.4
FTA
18.6
.782
FT%
.807
8.6
ORB
11.0
32.7
DRB
34.1
41.4
TRB
45.0
27.8
AST
26.3
8.0
STL
7.0
5.2
BLK
5.2
14.3
TOV
15.2
19.8
PF
18.9
114.6
PTS
108.7

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
34
Games
31
42.4
FG
39.4
89.3
FGA
86.6
.475
FG%
.455
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.4
37.4
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.361
3Pt%
.375
28.9
2Pt-FG
25.0
51.9
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.556
2Pt%
.518
18.6
FT
18.2
24.1
FTA
23.1
.771
FT%
.785
11.1
ORB
9.7
33.1
DRB
33.6
44.3
TRB
43.4
25.9
AST
25.6
7.9
STL
8.9
4.4
BLK
3.5
14.2
TOV
13.5
18.7
PF
16.7
116.9
PTS
111.3

Offense/Defense

IND
Four Factors
MIA
.559
eFG%
.536
12.9
TOV%
13.7
20.7
RB%
75.4
.191
FT/FGA
.172

Defense/Offense

IND
Four Factors
MIA
.550
eFG%
.537
12.4
TOV%
12.2
74.6
RB%
22.2
.208
FT/FGA
.210

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
34
Games
31
42.4
FG
41.1
87.2
FGA
89.2
.487
FG%
.460
12.6
3Pt-FG
13.6
33.9
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.373
3Pt%
.357
29.8
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.3
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.560
2Pt%
.537
16.6
FT
15.3
21.3
FTA
19.0
.782
FT%
.807
8.6
ORB
11.2
32.6
DRB
34.8
41.2
TRB
46.0
27.7
AST
26.9
8.0
STL
7.2
5.2
BLK
5.3
14.3
TOV
15.5
19.7
PF
19.3
114.1
PTS
111.1

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
34
Games
31
42.2
FG
40.2
88.9
FGA
88.5
.475
FG%
.455
13.4
3Pt-FG
14.7
37.2
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.361
3Pt%
.375
28.8
2Pt-FG
25.6
51.7
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.556
2Pt%
.518
18.5
FT
18.6
24.0
FTA
23.6
.771
FT%
.785
11.1
ORB
9.9
33.0
DRB
34.4
44.1
TRB
44.3
25.8
AST
26.2
7.9
STL
9.1
4.4
BLK
3.5
14.1
TOV
13.8
18.6
PF
17.0
116.4
PTS
113.7

IND
Analytics
MIA
15
Pythag Wins
18
19
Pythag Losses
13
-2.24
Margin Of Victory
2.61
114.1
O Rtg
113.7
116.4
D Rtg
111.1
99.8
Pace
96.9
.244
FTr
.267
.389
3PAr
.442
.591
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
IND MIA
IND MIA
Consensus
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
IND MIA
IND MIA
Consensus
+115
-136
+102
-123
+102
-122
+105
-125
+116
-136
+108
-126
+100
-120
+100
-120
+105
-125
+105
-125
+105
-130
+105
-130
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-109)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
223.5 (-112)
223.5 (-108)
226.5 (-112)
226.5 (-108)
223.5 (-108)
223.5 (-112)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-109)
224.0 (-113)
224.0 (-108)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
224.0 (-105)
224.0 (-115)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
223.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)