Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers

Jan 2, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat Prediction For 1/2/2025

  • Date: January 2, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Indiana Pacers 1.5 (-110), Miami Heat -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under:224
Moneyline:Indiana Pacers 105, Miami Heat -125


Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Indiana Pacers - 47%Indiana Pacers - 34%
Miami Heat - 53%Miami Heat - 66%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers (16-18) face off against the Miami Heat (17-14) in a Thursday night showdown at Kaseya Center, set to tip off at 7:30 PM ET. This matchup carries significant implications for both teams as they look to improve their standings.

The Pacers are entering this game after a tough loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, falling 120-112. They have struggled on the road lately, winning only 8 of their last 20 away games. In contrast, the Heat are coming off a solid 119-108 victory against the New Orleans Pelicans and have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 games at Kaseya Center.

Despite being a slight favorite, the Heat face a challenge as this game marks a back-to-back for them, which could impact their performance. The spread currently sits at Heat -1.5, with the Moneyline for Miami at -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. The Pacers, on the other hand, are listed at +105 on the Moneyline, with an implied probability of 47%.

For those considering player prop bets, Bennedict Mathurin's Points and Rebounds market has garnered attention, indicating interest in his performance. Sharp bettors are leaning toward the Under on Mathurin’s total, currently priced at Under 21.5 Points and Rebounds (-115), suggesting that many believe this line may be mispriced.

As both teams prepare for this critical matchup, the Pacers will need to capitalize on the Heat's fatigue, while Miami aims to maintain their strong home performance amidst the challenge of a quick turnaround.


Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Indiana Pacers 113.37 vs Miami Heat 119.07

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-110
34% IND
-2.0/-110
66% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+112
23% IND
-133
77% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

225.5/-110
10% UN
225.5/-110
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
43
Games
42
43.1
FG
41.2
88.0
FGA
89.0
.490
FG%
.462
12.6
3Pt-FG
13.6
33.7
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.373
3Pt%
.358
30.5
2Pt-FG
27.6
54.3
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.562
2Pt%
.540
16.4
FT
14.2
21.3
FTA
18.0
.771
FT%
.789
8.9
ORB
11.2
32.9
DRB
34.5
41.8
TRB
45.7
28.3
AST
27.0
8.2
STL
7.2
5.2
BLK
5.1
13.9
TOV
14.3
19.4
PF
17.8
115.2
PTS
110.1

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
43
Games
42
41.7
FG
39.8
88.7
FGA
87.0
.471
FG%
.458
13.0
3Pt-FG
14.3
36.9
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.352
3Pt%
.370
28.7
2Pt-FG
25.6
51.8
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.555
2Pt%
.528
18.1
FT
17.2
23.2
FTA
21.7
.779
FT%
.792
11.0
ORB
9.4
33.0
DRB
34.1
44.0
TRB
43.5
25.8
AST
26.3
7.6
STL
8.5
4.5
BLK
3.8
14.3
TOV
13.4
18.6
PF
15.8
114.6
PTS
111.1

Offense/Defense

IND
Four Factors
MIA
.561
eFG%
.539
12.5
TOV%
12.9
21.2
RB%
75.4
.186
FT/FGA
.160

Defense/Offense

IND
Four Factors
MIA
.544
eFG%
.540
12.6
TOV%
12.2
75.0
RB%
21.4
.204
FT/FGA
.198

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
43
Games
42
43.1
FG
42.0
88.1
FGA
90.8
.490
FG%
.462
12.6
3Pt-FG
13.9
33.8
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.373
3Pt%
.358
30.5
2Pt-FG
28.1
54.3
2Pt-FGA
52.1
.562
2Pt%
.540
16.4
FT
14.5
21.3
FTA
18.4
.771
FT%
.789
8.9
ORB
11.4
33.0
DRB
35.2
41.9
TRB
46.5
28.4
AST
27.5
8.2
STL
7.4
5.2
BLK
5.2
13.9
TOV
14.6
19.4
PF
18.1
115.2
PTS
112.3

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
43
Games
42
41.8
FG
40.6
88.8
FGA
88.7
.471
FG%
.458
13.0
3Pt-FG
14.5
36.9
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.352
3Pt%
.370
28.8
2Pt-FG
26.1
51.8
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.555
2Pt%
.528
18.1
FT
17.5
23.2
FTA
22.1
.779
FT%
.792
11.0
ORB
9.6
33.0
DRB
34.8
44.0
TRB
44.4
25.8
AST
26.8
7.6
STL
8.6
4.5
BLK
3.9
14.3
TOV
13.7
18.6
PF
16.1
114.6
PTS
113.2

IND
Analytics
MIA
22
Pythag Wins
22
21
Pythag Losses
20
0.60
Margin Of Victory
0.98
115.2
O Rtg
113.2
114.6
D Rtg
112.3
99.5
Pace
96.9
.242
FTr
.250
.383
3PAr
.444
.591
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
IND MIA
IND MIA
Consensus
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-108)
+2.0 (-109)
-2.0 (-111)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-109)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-115)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
IND MIA
IND MIA
Consensus
+115
-136
+112
-133
+102
-122
+114
-135
+116
-136
+112
-132
+100
-120
+105
-124
+105
-125
+115
-135
+105
-130
+115
-140
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-109)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
226.5 (-112)
226.5 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-109)
225.0 (-112)
225.0 (-109)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
225.0 (-105)
225.0 (-115)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)

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