Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 4, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction – 3/4/2025


On March 4, 2025, the Houston Rockets will face off against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in a matchup that promises to be a thrilling encounter. The game is set to tip off at 7:00 PM ET and marks a challenging back-to-back for the Rockets, who are coming off a tough loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 137-128. With this being their second game in as many nights, fatigue may play a crucial role in their performance.

The Pacers enter the game as slight favorites, boasting a -3.5 spread and a moneyline of -150, giving them an implied win probability of 58%. This comes in light of their strong recent form, having won 18 of their last 25 contests. In contrast, the Rockets have struggled on the road, currently riding a seven-game losing streak away from home. This trend will surely weigh on their chances as they seek to break their slump against a more rested and cohesive Pacers squad.

Betting enthusiasts are keenly interested in Jalen Green's scoring, making his points prop a popular market to watch, especially with the current line set at Under 23.5 Points (-110). Sharp bettors seem to think the Under presents value, indicating a potential for mispricing in the market.

With both teams having distinct narratives heading into this game, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see if the Rockets can overcome the odds against a confident Pacers side. The implications of fatigue, recent form, and player prop markets make this matchup one to closely monitor.


Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 124.28 vs Indiana Pacers 114.05


Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets42%79%
Pacers58%21%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.0/-110
32% HOU
-5.0/-110
68% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+156
25% HOU
-184
75% IND

Total Pick Consensus

231.0/-112
11% UN
231.0/-108
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
42.6
93.4
FGA
89.9
.455
FG%
.474
12.7
3Pt-FG
12.9
35.8
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.353
3Pt%
.355
29.8
2Pt-FG
29.7
57.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.518
2Pt%
.554
16.7
FT
17.0
22.6
FTA
22.0
.738
FT%
.773
14.6
ORB
11.2
33.8
DRB
33.8
48.5
TRB
45.0
23.3
AST
26.0
8.4
STL
7.2
5.0
BLK
4.5
13.9
TOV
15.0
19.0
PF
18.8
114.3
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
43.6
88.3
FGA
89.3
.459
FG%
.488
12.3
3Pt-FG
13.2
34.5
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.357
3Pt%
.368
28.2
2Pt-FG
30.4
53.8
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.524
2Pt%
.568
16.4
FT
17.0
21.7
FTA
21.6
.759
FT%
.789
10.6
ORB
9.2
31.6
DRB
32.7
42.1
TRB
41.8
23.5
AST
29.2
7.9
STL
8.5
5.7
BLK
5.5
14.3
TOV
13.2
19.2
PF
18.7
109.8
PTS
117.4

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
IND
.523
eFG%
.546
11.8
TOV%
13.1
31.7
RB%
74.5
.178
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
IND
.528
eFG%
.562
12.8
TOV%
11.8
76.2
RB%
21.3
.186
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
42.9
FG
42.3
94.2
FGA
89.2
.455
FG%
.474
12.8
3Pt-FG
12.8
36.2
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.353
3Pt%
.355
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.5
58.1
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.518
2Pt%
.554
16.8
FT
16.9
22.8
FTA
21.9
.738
FT%
.773
14.8
ORB
11.1
34.1
DRB
33.6
48.9
TRB
44.7
23.6
AST
25.8
8.5
STL
7.1
5.1
BLK
4.4
14.0
TOV
14.9
19.2
PF
18.7
115.3
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
43.3
89.1
FGA
88.7
.459
FG%
.488
12.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
34.9
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.357
3Pt%
.368
28.4
2Pt-FG
30.2
54.3
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.524
2Pt%
.568
16.6
FT
16.9
21.9
FTA
21.4
.759
FT%
.789
10.7
ORB
9.1
31.9
DRB
32.4
42.5
TRB
41.5
23.7
AST
29.0
8.0
STL
8.4
5.7
BLK
5.4
14.5
TOV
13.1
19.4
PF
18.6
110.8
PTS
116.5

HOU
Analytics
IND
52
Pythag Wins
46
30
Pythag Losses
36
4.51
Margin Of Victory
2.23
115.3
O Rtg
116.5
110.8
D Rtg
114.3
98.6
Pace
99.9
.242
FTr
.241
.384
3PAr
.400
.553
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU IND
HOU IND
Consensus
+4.0 (-109)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-108)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
HOU IND
HOU IND
Consensus
+150
-178
+156
-184
+150
-180
+170
-205
+152
-180
+150
-178
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
231.5 (-108)
231.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
230.0 (-112)
230.0 (-109)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.0 (-120)
232.0 (+100)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)

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