Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 4, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction – 3/4/2025


On March 4, 2025, the Houston Rockets will face off against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in a matchup that promises to be a thrilling encounter. The game is set to tip off at 7:00 PM ET and marks a challenging back-to-back for the Rockets, who are coming off a tough loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 137-128. With this being their second game in as many nights, fatigue may play a crucial role in their performance.

The Pacers enter the game as slight favorites, boasting a -3.5 spread and a moneyline of -150, giving them an implied win probability of 58%. This comes in light of their strong recent form, having won 18 of their last 25 contests. In contrast, the Rockets have struggled on the road, currently riding a seven-game losing streak away from home. This trend will surely weigh on their chances as they seek to break their slump against a more rested and cohesive Pacers squad.

Betting enthusiasts are keenly interested in Jalen Green's scoring, making his points prop a popular market to watch, especially with the current line set at Under 23.5 Points (-110). Sharp bettors seem to think the Under presents value, indicating a potential for mispricing in the market.

With both teams having distinct narratives heading into this game, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see if the Rockets can overcome the odds against a confident Pacers side. The implications of fatigue, recent form, and player prop markets make this matchup one to closely monitor.


Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 124.28 vs Indiana Pacers 114.05


Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets42%79%
Pacers58%21%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-112
37% HOU
-3.5/-108
63% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+130
34% HOU
-155
66% IND

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-110
11% UN
232.5/-110
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
IND
61
Games
59
41.7
FG
42.4
93.3
FGA
89.1
.447
FG%
.476
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.0
35.5
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.344
3Pt%
.358
29.5
2Pt-FG
29.4
57.8
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.510
2Pt%
.556
17.2
FT
17.6
23.1
FTA
22.5
.748
FT%
.780
14.6
ORB
11.2
33.5
DRB
33.2
48.1
TRB
44.4
22.5
AST
26.7
8.5
STL
7.4
5.1
BLK
4.5
14.0
TOV
15.0
19.6
PF
18.5
112.9
PTS
115.3

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
IND
61
Games
59
40.2
FG
43.5
88.3
FGA
88.5
.455
FG%
.491
12.1
3Pt-FG
13.0
34.6
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.351
3Pt%
.372
28.0
2Pt-FG
30.5
53.7
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.522
2Pt%
.569
16.8
FT
16.7
22.4
FTA
21.3
.751
FT%
.783
10.9
ORB
8.9
32.1
DRB
32.2
43.0
TRB
41.1
23.0
AST
29.1
8.0
STL
8.5
6.0
BLK
5.2
14.6
TOV
13.5
19.7
PF
18.9
109.3
PTS
116.6

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
IND
.512
eFG%
.548
11.9
TOV%
13.2
31.2
RB%
74.2
.185
FT/FGA
.197

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
IND
.523
eFG%
.565
12.9
TOV%
12.1
75.5
RB%
21.1
.191
FT/FGA
.189

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
61
Games
59
42.0
FG
42.3
94.0
FGA
88.9
.447
FG%
.476
12.3
3Pt-FG
12.9
35.8
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.344
3Pt%
.358
29.7
2Pt-FG
29.3
58.2
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.510
2Pt%
.556
17.4
FT
17.5
23.2
FTA
22.5
.748
FT%
.780
14.7
ORB
11.2
33.8
DRB
33.1
48.4
TRB
44.3
22.7
AST
26.6
8.6
STL
7.4
5.1
BLK
4.5
14.1
TOV
15.0
19.7
PF
18.4
113.7
PTS
115.0

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
61
Games
59
40.5
FG
43.4
89.0
FGA
88.2
.455
FG%
.491
12.2
3Pt-FG
12.9
34.8
3Pt-FGA
34.8
.351
3Pt%
.372
28.2
2Pt-FG
30.4
54.1
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.522
2Pt%
.569
17.0
FT
16.6
22.6
FTA
21.3
.751
FT%
.783
11.0
ORB
8.9
32.4
DRB
32.1
43.3
TRB
41.0
23.1
AST
29.0
8.0
STL
8.5
6.1
BLK
5.2
14.7
TOV
13.4
19.9
PF
18.9
110.1
PTS
116.3

HOU
Analytics
IND
37
Pythag Wins
32
24
Pythag Losses
27
3.57
Margin Of Victory
1.27
113.7
O Rtg
116.3
110.1
D Rtg
115.0
98.8
Pace
99.7
.247
FTr
.241
.380
3PAr
.394
.546
TS%
.596

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU IND
HOU IND
Consensus
+4.0 (-107)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-107)
-3.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-112)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-113)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-102)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
HOU IND
HOU IND
Consensus
+150
-178
+127
-150
+150
-180
+130
-155
+152
-180
+126
-148
+130
-155
+123
-148
+152
-180
+130
-155
+145
-175
+125
-155
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-112)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
230.0 (-112)
230.0 (-109)
231.5 (-109)
231.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
232.5 (-105)
232.5 (-115)

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