Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Apr 28, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Pick – 4/28/2025

The Houston Rockets face off against the Golden State Warriors in Game 4 in their first-round playoff series in the Western Conference on April 28, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET, taking place at Chase Center. With the Rockets boasting a 53-32 record and the Warriors at 51-35, both teams have shown strong performances recently, winning 30 of their last 50 and 33 of their last 50 games, respectively. Golden State has a 2-1 series lead heading into this contest.

Despite Houston's solid record, they come into this game at a disadvantage due to the long cross-country travel. This road trip could impact their performance, especially against a Warriors team that is slightly favored at home with a spread of -3.5. The Warriors have shown resilience, recently defeating the Rockets 104-93 in their last encounter, which adds an extra layer of motivation for both squads.

From a betting perspective, the Warriors have an implied win probability of 61%, while the Rockets sit at 39%. The Moneyline reflects this, with Golden State at -170 and Houston at +150. Bettors might find value in the player prop market, particularly with Jimmy Butler's Points and Assists, which has garnered significant attention. Initially set at Under 26.5 Points and Assists (-115), the prop total has since dropped to 25.5 (-115), indicating sharp action on the Under.

As the Rockets look to bounce back from their recent loss, they will need to overcome both the travel fatigue and the Warriors' home-court advantage. This matchup promises to be a thrilling contest with significant implications for both teams as they head toward the postseason.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 104.23, Golden State Warriors 107.41

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets39%41%
Warriors61%59%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-108
33% HOU
-3.5/-112
67% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+145
27% HOU
-175
73% GS

Total Pick Consensus

199.0/-110
16% UN
199.0/-110
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
40.4
93.4
FGA
86.9
.455
FG%
.465
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.2
35.8
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.353
3Pt%
.363
29.8
2Pt-FG
27.3
57.6
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.518
2Pt%
.539
16.7
FT
16.4
22.6
FTA
21.4
.738
FT%
.769
14.6
ORB
10.6
33.8
DRB
33.5
48.5
TRB
44.1
23.3
AST
25.9
8.4
STL
7.6
5.0
BLK
5.4
13.9
TOV
15.7
19.0
PF
18.6
114.3
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
40.8
88.3
FGA
90.4
.459
FG%
.451
12.3
3Pt-FG
15.4
34.5
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.2
2Pt-FG
25.3
53.8
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.524
2Pt%
.528
16.4
FT
16.9
21.7
FTA
22.1
.759
FT%
.764
10.6
ORB
12.5
31.6
DRB
32.8
42.1
TRB
45.4
23.5
AST
29.1
7.9
STL
9.4
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.3
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
19.2
109.8
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
.523
eFG%
.541
11.8
TOV%
14.1
31.7
RB%
75.6
.178
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
.528
eFG%
.536
12.8
TOV%
12.3
76.2
RB%
27.3
.186
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
42.9
FG
40.9
94.2
FGA
87.8
.455
FG%
.465
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
36.2
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.353
3Pt%
.363
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.6
58.1
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.518
2Pt%
.539
16.8
FT
16.6
22.8
FTA
21.6
.738
FT%
.769
14.8
ORB
10.7
34.1
DRB
33.8
48.9
TRB
44.5
23.6
AST
26.1
8.5
STL
7.7
5.1
BLK
5.4
14.0
TOV
15.9
19.2
PF
18.8
115.3
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
41.2
89.1
FGA
91.4
.459
FG%
.451
12.4
3Pt-FG
15.6
34.9
3Pt-FGA
42.8
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.4
2Pt-FG
25.6
54.3
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.524
2Pt%
.528
16.6
FT
17.0
21.9
FTA
22.3
.759
FT%
.764
10.7
ORB
12.7
31.9
DRB
33.2
42.5
TRB
45.9
23.7
AST
29.4
8.0
STL
9.5
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.5
TOV
14.2
19.4
PF
19.4
110.8
PTS
115.0

HOU
Analytics
GS
52
Pythag Wins
49
30
Pythag Losses
33
4.51
Margin Of Victory
3.30
115.3
O Rtg
115.0
110.8
D Rtg
111.7
98.6
Pace
98.7
.242
FTr
.244
.384
3PAr
.469
.553
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+4.0 (-109)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-112)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-112)
-4.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+156
-188
+144
-170
+154
-185
+145
-175
+166
-198
+146
-174
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.0 (-110)
202.0 (-110)
199.0 (-110)
199.0 (-112)
202.0 (-110)
202.0 (-110)
199.0 (-110)
199.0 (-110)
202.5 (-112)
202.5 (-108)
199.0 (-110)
199.0 (-110)
202.0 (-109)
202.0 (-112)
199.0 (-109)
199.0 (-112)
202.0 (-110)
202.0 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)
199.5 (-110)

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