Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Apr 26, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 3 Pick – 4/26/2025

The Houston Rockets (53-31) are set to face off against the Golden State Warriors (50-35) in Game 3 of their Western Conference first round playoff series on Saturday night, April 26, 2025, with tip-off scheduled for 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center. Both teams come into the matchup with a well-deserved rest, having last played three days ago, giving players valuable time to recover. This series is tied 1-1 heading to San Francisco for this pivotal contest.

The Rockets are looking to build on their recent success, having won 31 of their last 50 games. Their confidence is bolstered by their last outing, where they convincingly defeated the Warriors 109-94. However, traveling cross-country poses a challenge, potentially impacting their performance on the road.

On the other side, the Warriors enter this game aiming to bounce back from that loss. They have been solid lately, winning 28 of their last 40 games, and will be looking to leverage their home-court advantage. The Warriors are currently favored by 3.0 points, with a Moneyline of -155, translating to an implied win probability of 59%. The Rockets, with a Moneyline of +135, have an implied win probability of 41%.

For those interested in player prop markets, Brandin Podziemski's Points, Rebounds, and Assists are drawing attention. This prop opened at Over 22.5 and has since moved to 24.5, indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 3 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 109.67, Golden State Warriors 110.28

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 3 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets41%48%
Warriors59%52%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-110
35% HOU
-3.5/-110
65% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+136
25% HOU
-162
75% GS

Total Pick Consensus

203.5/-112
12% UN
203.5/-108
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
40.4
93.4
FGA
86.9
.455
FG%
.465
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.2
35.8
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.353
3Pt%
.363
29.8
2Pt-FG
27.3
57.6
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.518
2Pt%
.539
16.7
FT
16.4
22.6
FTA
21.4
.738
FT%
.769
14.6
ORB
10.6
33.8
DRB
33.5
48.5
TRB
44.1
23.3
AST
25.9
8.4
STL
7.6
5.0
BLK
5.4
13.9
TOV
15.7
19.0
PF
18.6
114.3
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
40.8
88.3
FGA
90.4
.459
FG%
.451
12.3
3Pt-FG
15.4
34.5
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.2
2Pt-FG
25.3
53.8
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.524
2Pt%
.528
16.4
FT
16.9
21.7
FTA
22.1
.759
FT%
.764
10.6
ORB
12.5
31.6
DRB
32.8
42.1
TRB
45.4
23.5
AST
29.1
7.9
STL
9.4
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.3
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
19.2
109.8
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
.523
eFG%
.541
11.8
TOV%
14.1
31.7
RB%
75.6
.178
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
.528
eFG%
.536
12.8
TOV%
12.3
76.2
RB%
27.3
.186
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
42.9
FG
40.9
94.2
FGA
87.8
.455
FG%
.465
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
36.2
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.353
3Pt%
.363
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.6
58.1
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.518
2Pt%
.539
16.8
FT
16.6
22.8
FTA
21.6
.738
FT%
.769
14.8
ORB
10.7
34.1
DRB
33.8
48.9
TRB
44.5
23.6
AST
26.1
8.5
STL
7.7
5.1
BLK
5.4
14.0
TOV
15.9
19.2
PF
18.8
115.3
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
41.2
89.1
FGA
91.4
.459
FG%
.451
12.4
3Pt-FG
15.6
34.9
3Pt-FGA
42.8
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.4
2Pt-FG
25.6
54.3
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.524
2Pt%
.528
16.6
FT
17.0
21.9
FTA
22.3
.759
FT%
.764
10.7
ORB
12.7
31.9
DRB
33.2
42.5
TRB
45.9
23.7
AST
29.4
8.0
STL
9.5
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.5
TOV
14.2
19.4
PF
19.4
110.8
PTS
115.0

HOU
Analytics
GS
52
Pythag Wins
49
30
Pythag Losses
33
4.51
Margin Of Victory
3.30
115.3
O Rtg
115.0
110.8
D Rtg
111.7
98.6
Pace
98.7
.242
FTr
.244
.384
3PAr
.469
.553
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-107)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-106)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.0 (-106)
-3.0 (-114)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-105)
+3.0 (-105)
-3.0 (-115)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+140
-167
+132
-157
+136
-162
+136
-162
+138
-164
+130
-154
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-108)
203.5 (-112)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
203.5 (-112)
203.5 (-108)
202.0 (-113)
202.0 (-108)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
203.5 (-115)
203.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 3 Pick – 4/26/2025