Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

May 6, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Prediction – 5/6/2025

On May 6, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves in the opening game of their second-round NBA playoff series in the Western Conference. Scheduled to tip off at 9:30 PM ET at the Target Center, both teams enter the game with impressive records of 53-37 and 53-34, respectively.

The Timberwolves come into this contest with a slight edge, having had an extra six days of rest since their last game, where they defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 103-96. This unexpected victory came as a 6.0-point underdog, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure. The extra days off could prove critical as they look to capitalize on their home-court advantage.

Conversely, the Warriors will be feeling the strain of a cross-country trip, which could hinder their performance. Despite winning 33 of their last 50 games, the travel fatigue may impact their chances against a Timberwolves team that is favored by 7.0 points. The current moneyline reflects this sentiment, with the Timberwolves at -275 and the Warriors at +235, suggesting an implied win probability of 71% for Minnesota compared to just 29% for Golden State.

Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in the points and assists market, particularly focusing on Jimmy Butler's performance. The line is currently set at Under 27.5 Points and Assists (-105), indicating a belief that Butler may struggle to hit that mark.

With both teams showing solid recent form, this matchup will be pivotal as they vie for postseason positioning. The Timberwolves, bolstered by their recent success and home advantage, will look to assert themselves against a determined Warriors squad.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 105.47, Minnesota Timberwolves 109.77

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Warriors29%38%
Timberwolves71%62%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-110
70% GS
-6.0/-110
30% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+201
56% GS
-242
44% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

210.0/-110
4% UN
210.0/-110
96% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
MIN
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
MIN
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

GS
Analytics
MIN
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS MIN
GS MIN
Consensus
+5.5 (-114)
-5.5 (-113)
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-114)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-113)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-105)
-6.0 (-115)
+5.5 (-118)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-118)
-6.5 (-102)
Open
Current
Book
GS MIN
GS MIN
Consensus
+185
-225
+201
-242
+180
-218
+195
-238
+188
-225
+198
-240
+185
-225
+205
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-113)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
210.5 (-112)
210.5 (-108)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-113)
210.0 (-112)
210.0 (-108)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
210.5 (-115)
210.5 (-105)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Prediction – 5/6/2025