Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

May 6, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Prediction – 5/6/2025

On May 6, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves in the opening game of their second-round NBA playoff series in the Western Conference. Scheduled to tip off at 9:30 PM ET at the Target Center, both teams enter the game with impressive records of 53-37 and 53-34, respectively.

The Timberwolves come into this contest with a slight edge, having had an extra six days of rest since their last game, where they defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 103-96. This unexpected victory came as a 6.0-point underdog, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure. The extra days off could prove critical as they look to capitalize on their home-court advantage.

Conversely, the Warriors will be feeling the strain of a cross-country trip, which could hinder their performance. Despite winning 33 of their last 50 games, the travel fatigue may impact their chances against a Timberwolves team that is favored by 7.0 points. The current moneyline reflects this sentiment, with the Timberwolves at -275 and the Warriors at +235, suggesting an implied win probability of 71% for Minnesota compared to just 29% for Golden State.

Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in the points and assists market, particularly focusing on Jimmy Butler's performance. The line is currently set at Under 27.5 Points and Assists (-105), indicating a belief that Butler may struggle to hit that mark.

With both teams showing solid recent form, this matchup will be pivotal as they vie for postseason positioning. The Timberwolves, bolstered by their recent success and home advantage, will look to assert themselves against a determined Warriors squad.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 105.47, Minnesota Timberwolves 109.77

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Warriors29%38%
Timberwolves71%62%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.0/-112
0% GS
-7.0/-108
0% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+230
0% GS
-285
0% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

209.5/-112
0% UN
209.5/-108
0% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
82
Games
82
40.8
FG
40.5
90.4
FGA
88.0
.451
FG%
.460
15.4
3Pt-FG
12.7
42.4
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.364
3Pt%
.353
25.3
2Pt-FG
27.8
48.0
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.528
2Pt%
.534
16.9
FT
15.7
22.1
FTA
20.4
.764
FT%
.767
12.5
ORB
11.0
32.8
DRB
31.8
45.4
TRB
42.9
29.1
AST
24.8
9.4
STL
8.4
4.8
BLK
4.5
14.0
TOV
14.7
19.2
PF
19.2
113.8
PTS
109.3

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
82
Games
82
40.4
FG
41.0
86.9
FGA
87.6
.465
FG%
.468
13.2
3Pt-FG
15.0
36.3
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.363
3Pt%
.377
27.3
2Pt-FG
26.0
50.6
2Pt-FGA
47.7
.539
2Pt%
.545
16.4
FT
17.2
21.4
FTA
21.8
.769
FT%
.789
10.6
ORB
11.1
33.5
DRB
33.2
44.1
TRB
44.3
25.9
AST
26.1
7.6
STL
8.0
5.4
BLK
5.0
15.7
TOV
14.5
18.6
PF
18.3
110.5
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
MIN
.536
eFG%
.532
12.3
TOV%
13.2
27.3
RB%
75.1
.187
FT/FGA
.178

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
MIN
.541
eFG%
.554
14.1
TOV%
13.0
75.6
RB%
25.8
.189
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
41.3
91.4
FGA
89.7
.451
FG%
.460
15.6
3Pt-FG
12.9
42.8
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.364
3Pt%
.353
25.6
2Pt-FG
28.3
48.5
2Pt-FGA
53.0
.528
2Pt%
.534
17.0
FT
16.0
22.3
FTA
20.8
.764
FT%
.767
12.7
ORB
11.3
33.2
DRB
32.5
45.9
TRB
43.7
29.4
AST
25.3
9.5
STL
8.5
4.8
BLK
4.6
14.2
TOV
15.0
19.4
PF
19.5
115.0
PTS
111.5

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
41.8
87.8
FGA
89.3
.465
FG%
.468
13.3
3Pt-FG
15.3
36.7
3Pt-FGA
40.7
.363
3Pt%
.377
27.6
2Pt-FG
26.5
51.2
2Pt-FGA
48.7
.539
2Pt%
.545
16.6
FT
17.6
21.6
FTA
22.3
.769
FT%
.789
10.7
ORB
11.3
33.8
DRB
33.9
44.5
TRB
45.2
26.1
AST
26.6
7.7
STL
8.1
5.4
BLK
5.1
15.9
TOV
14.8
18.8
PF
18.6
111.7
PTS
116.6

GS
Analytics
MIN
49
Pythag Wins
53
33
Pythag Losses
29
3.30
Margin Of Victory
5.00
115.0
O Rtg
116.6
111.7
D Rtg
111.5
98.7
Pace
97.3
.244
FTr
.249
.469
3PAr
.455
.568
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS MIN
GS MIN
Consensus
+5.5 (-111)
-5.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-111)
-7.0 (-108)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-110)
+7.0 (-112)
-7.0 (-108)
+5.5 (-106)
-5.5 (-114)
+7.0 (-106)
-7.0 (-114)
+5.5 (-113)
-5.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-113)
-7.0 (-108)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-115)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
GS MIN
GS MIN
Consensus
+185
-225
+224
-272
+180
-218
+230
-285
+188
-225
+230
-280
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-113)
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-112)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-113)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Prediction – 5/6/2025