Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oct 28, 2024

Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Betting Pick & Preview – 10/28/2024

  • Date: October 28, 2024
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets -8.5 (-110), Toronto Raptors 8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 220.5
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets -350, Toronto Raptors 290

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 75% Denver Nuggets - 68%
Toronto Raptors - 25% Toronto Raptors - 32%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets, currently sitting at 0-2, are set to clash with the Toronto Raptors, who hold a 1-2 record, in a Monday night showdown at Scotiabank Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET, and despite being on the road, the Nuggets enter as significant favorites. The spread is Nuggets -8.5, indicating strong confidence in Denver's ability to secure their first win of the season. The moneyline odds further underscore this, with the Nuggets at -350 and the Raptors at +290.

Denver's implied win probability stands at a commanding 75%, while Toronto's chances are pegged at 25%. The Raptors have struggled lately, losing two of their last three games, including a 112-101 defeat to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are also coming off a narrow loss, having been edged out by the LA Clippers 109-104.

For bettors eyeing player props, Michael Porter Jr.'s performance in points and rebounds is attracting considerable attention. His points and rebounds market is set at 22.5 (-105), and sharp bettors are leaning towards the over, suggesting that there might be value in this line.

Toronto will need to overcome their recent slump and find a way to contain Denver's high-powered offense. On the other hand, the Nuggets will be looking to capitalize on Toronto's recent struggles and establish their dominance early in the season. With both teams eager to bounce back from recent losses, this matchup promises to deliver an intriguing contest for basketball fans and bettors alike.

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 115.52 vs Toronto Raptors 109.26

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.5/-110
56% DEN
+8.5/-110
44% TOR

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-367
81% DEN
+295
19% TOR

Total Pick Consensus

223.5/-108
17% UN
223.5/-112
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
TOR
27
Games
30
44.6
FG
41.2
89.7
FGA
88.5
.497
FG%
.466
11.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
31.0
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.380
3Pt%
.351
32.8
2Pt-FG
27.9
58.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.559
2Pt%
.552
18.8
FT
21.6
25.0
FTA
27.6
.753
FT%
.782
11.0
ORB
11.4
34.2
DRB
32.0
45.2
TRB
43.4
31.3
AST
25.8
8.9
STL
9.4
4.7
BLK
6.0
14.9
TOV
14.1
18.3
PF
19.2
119.8
PTS
117.3

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
TOR
27
Games
30
43.4
FG
42.0
93.4
FGA
90.5
.465
FG%
.464
13.9
3Pt-FG
11.5
38.9
3Pt-FGA
33.2
.357
3Pt%
.345
29.6
2Pt-FG
30.5
54.6
2Pt-FGA
57.3
.542
2Pt%
.533
15.6
FT
16.7
20.4
FTA
22.3
.761
FT%
.747
11.9
ORB
12.6
31.8
DRB
32.4
43.6
TRB
45.0
29.6
AST
28.6
9.2
STL
7.7
6.0
BLK
4.7
14.8
TOV
16.2
20.9
PF
22.7
116.3
PTS
112.1

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
TOR
.563
eFG%
.541
12.9
TOV%
12.3
25.7
RB%
74.0
.210
FT/FGA
.244

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
TOR
.539
eFG%
.527
12.6
TOV%
13.9
74.3
RB%
28.2
.166
FT/FGA
.184

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
TOR
27
Games
30
43.5
FG
40.9
87.6
FGA
87.9
.497
FG%
.466
11.5
3Pt-FG
13.2
30.3
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.380
3Pt%
.351
32.0
2Pt-FG
27.7
57.3
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.559
2Pt%
.552
18.4
FT
21.4
24.4
FTA
27.4
.753
FT%
.782
10.7
ORB
11.3
33.4
DRB
31.8
44.1
TRB
43.1
30.5
AST
25.6
8.7
STL
9.3
4.6
BLK
5.9
14.5
TOV
14.0
17.9
PF
19.0
117.0
PTS
116.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
TOR
27
Games
30
42.4
FG
41.6
91.3
FGA
89.8
.465
FG%
.464
13.6
3Pt-FG
11.4
38.0
3Pt-FGA
33.0
.357
3Pt%
.345
28.9
2Pt-FG
30.3
53.3
2Pt-FGA
56.8
.542
2Pt%
.533
15.2
FT
16.5
20.0
FTA
22.1
.761
FT%
.747
11.6
ORB
12.5
31.0
DRB
32.1
42.6
TRB
44.6
28.9
AST
28.4
9.0
STL
7.6
5.8
BLK
4.6
14.4
TOV
16.1
20.4
PF
22.5
113.6
PTS
111.2

DEN
Analytics
TOR
16
Pythag Wins
10
11
Pythag Losses
20
3.44
Margin Of Victory
-5.27
117.0
O Rtg
111.2
113.6
D Rtg
116.4
101.2
Pace
99.7
.279
FTr
.246
.346
3PAr
.367
.595
TS%
.559

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN TOR
DEN TOR
Consensus
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-108)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-115)
+8.0 (-105)
-9.0 (-115)
+9.0 (-105)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN TOR
DEN TOR
Consensus
-300
+246
-367
+295
-325
+260
-360
+285
-300
+245
-370
+295
-345
+260
-375
+295
-345
+270
-430
+328
-350
+260
-375
+290
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
223.5 (-111)
223.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
223.5 (-112)
223.5 (-108)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-109)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
223.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)