Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

May 10, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 3 Pick – 5/10/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 10, 2024
  • Venue: Target Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets 4.5 (-110), Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 204.5
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets 160, Minnesota Timberwolves -185

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 37% Denver Nuggets - 37%
Minnesota Timberwolves - 63% Minnesota Timberwolves - 63%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

In a highly-anticipated matchup, the Denver Nuggets (61-28) will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (62-26) on Friday night at 9:30 PM ET. This game is the third game of their best-of-seven playoff series in the second round, with the Timberwolves entering this contest up 2-0 over the defending champions.

The game will take place at the Target Center, the home arena of the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves, being the favored team at home, will look to capitalize on their home court advantage after winning the first two games of this series in Denver.

The Nuggets and the Timberwolves both had four days off prior to this game, providing them with ample time for rest and preparation. This could potentially benefit the Nuggets, giving their players extra recovery time and increasing their chances of success.

Based on the current odds, the Timberwolves enter the game as the favorites with a spread of -4.5. The Moneyline for the Timberwolves stands at -190, indicating a 63% implied win probability. On the other hand, the Nuggets have a Moneyline of +165, suggesting a 37% implied win probability.

The Timberwolves come into this game riding a six-game winning streak, showcasing their strong form and momentum. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have performed well recently, winning 35 of their last 50 games.

In their previous encounter, the Timberwolves emerged victorious over the Nuggets with a convincing 106-80 scoreline. This result was considered an upset, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 7.0 underdogs with only a 28% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop betting, keep an eye on Anthony Edwards and his Points and Rebounds. This market has been the most popular among bettors so far, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over. Initially set at Over 32.5 Points and Rebounds (-120), the prop total has since moved to 33.5 (-120).

As the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves take the court on Friday night, fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating this divisional clash. With the Timberwolves' hot streak and the Nuggets' desire for redemption, this game promises to be an exciting showdown with potential implications for both teams' playoff hopes.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 103.43 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 108.18

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-110
27% DEN
-3.5/-110
73% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+133
25% DEN
-159
75% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

205.0/-110
9% UN
205.0/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
24
Games
25
44.3
FG
39.4
89.5
FGA
87.0
.494
FG%
.454
11.5
3Pt-FG
11.6
30.4
3Pt-FGA
35.0
.380
3Pt%
.333
32.7
2Pt-FG
27.8
59.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.553
2Pt%
.535
19.2
FT
15.0
25.5
FTA
19.1
.753
FT%
.788
11.0
ORB
10.6
34.0
DRB
32.4
45.0
TRB
43.0
30.8
AST
23.8
9.1
STL
9.3
4.7
BLK
4.8
14.9
TOV
16.1
18.4
PF
19.4
119.2
PTS
105.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
24
Games
25
43.5
FG
39.2
93.1
FGA
85.4
.468
FG%
.459
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.8
38.8
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.359
3Pt%
.371
29.6
2Pt-FG
24.4
54.3
2Pt-FGA
45.4
.545
2Pt%
.537
15.5
FT
16.5
20.4
FTA
20.8
.759
FT%
.794
12.0
ORB
9.5
31.8
DRB
33.3
43.8
TRB
42.8
29.5
AST
24.8
9.1
STL
8.8
5.8
BLK
4.8
15.0
TOV
16.0
21.2
PF
18.2
116.5
PTS
109.8

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
MIN
.559
eFG%
.520
12.9
TOV%
14.5
25.7
RB%
75.9
.214
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
MIN
.542
eFG%
.546
12.8
TOV%
14.4
74.0
RB%
22.7
.166
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
24
Games
25
43.3
FG
40.0
87.5
FGA
88.3
.494
FG%
.454
11.3
3Pt-FG
11.8
29.7
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.380
3Pt%
.333
32.0
2Pt-FG
28.2
57.8
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.553
2Pt%
.535
18.7
FT
15.3
24.9
FTA
19.4
.753
FT%
.788
10.8
ORB
10.7
33.2
DRB
32.9
44.0
TRB
43.7
30.1
AST
24.1
8.9
STL
9.5
4.6
BLK
4.9
14.5
TOV
16.4
18.0
PF
19.7
116.5
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
24
Games
25
42.6
FG
39.8
91.0
FGA
86.8
.468
FG%
.459
13.6
3Pt-FG
15.1
37.9
3Pt-FGA
40.7
.359
3Pt%
.371
29.0
2Pt-FG
24.8
53.1
2Pt-FGA
46.1
.545
2Pt%
.537
15.2
FT
16.7
20.0
FTA
21.1
.759
FT%
.794
11.7
ORB
9.7
31.1
DRB
33.8
42.8
TRB
43.5
28.9
AST
25.2
8.9
STL
8.9
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.6
TOV
16.2
20.7
PF
18.5
113.9
PTS
111.5

DEN
Analytics
MIN
14
Pythag Wins
16
10
Pythag Losses
9
2.71
Margin Of Victory
4.24
116.5
O Rtg
111.5
113.9
D Rtg
107.2
101.4
Pace
97.7
.284
FTr
.243
.339
3PAr
.469
.592
TS%
.580

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIN
DEN MIN
Consensus
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-114)
-4.0 (-108)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIN
DEN MIN
Consensus
+135
-165
+133
-159
+136
-162
+136
-162
+136
-162
+130
-154
+160
-195
+135
-162
+162
-195
+126
-150
+140
-170
+160
-190
+135
-165
+135
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.0 (-109)
205.0 (-112)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.5 (-112)
205.5 (-108)
203.5 (-112)
203.5 (-109)
205.0 (-109)
205.0 (-112)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
206.5 (-115)
206.5 (-105)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)