Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Nov 27, 2024

Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz Best Bet – 11/27/2024

  • Date: November 27, 2024
  • Venue: Delta Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -9.5 (-110), Utah Jazz 9.5 (-110)
Over/Under:231
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -410, Utah Jazz 330


Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 78%Denver Nuggets - 27%
Utah Jazz - 22%Utah Jazz - 73%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Betting Preview

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to face the Utah Jazz at the Delta Center, fans can expect a matchup steeped in divisional rivalry. Scheduled for 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, this game promises to be a captivating clash, despite the apparent disparity in recent form and betting odds.

The Nuggets, holding a 9-7 record, are favored by 9.5 points, reflecting their strong start to the season and recent form, having won nine of their last 15 games. Despite an unexpected 145-118 loss to the New York Knicks in their last outing, Denver’s overall performance suggests they are in a solid position to bounce back.

On the flip side, the Jazz are struggling at 4-13, having dropped 11 of their last 15 contests, including a 128-115 loss to the San Antonio Spurs. The back-to-back scheduling may further strain the Jazz, as the lack of rest could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a rested Denver squad.

From a betting perspective, the Nuggets' moneyline is set at -410, translating to an implied win probability of 78%. In contrast, the Jazz's odds stand at +330, with a 22% implied probability of pulling off an upset. Bettors looking for player prop markets might find value in Nikola Jokic's points and assists, given its popularity and the sharp action on the over at 39.5 combined points and assists.

Overall, the Nuggets’ dominant position in this matchup makes them the clear favorites, but the rivalry and the Jazz's home-court advantage could introduce some unpredictability. With sharp bettors leaning towards the over, it seems there is an expectation for a high-scoring affair, particularly with Jokic’s potential to contribute significantly in both scoring and facilitating.


Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 121.76 vs Utah Jazz 129.73

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-11.0/-105
62% DEN
+11.0/-115
38% UTA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-503
94% DEN
+381
6% UTA

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-108
10% UN
228.5/-112
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
UTA
37
Games
37
45.1
FG
43.6
90.4
FGA
91.3
.499
FG%
.477
11.9
3Pt-FG
14.4
31.1
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.382
3Pt%
.359
33.2
2Pt-FG
29.2
59.2
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.560
2Pt%
.569
18.5
FT
16.3
24.4
FTA
21.4
.761
FT%
.765
10.9
ORB
11.1
34.4
DRB
30.7
45.3
TRB
41.8
31.5
AST
28.5
8.8
STL
10.1
4.7
BLK
6.4
14.1
TOV
11.8
18.1
PF
19.8
120.6
PTS
117.8

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
UTA
37
Games
37
43.3
FG
39.5
93.2
FGA
86.4
.464
FG%
.457
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.8
39.4
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.352
3Pt%
.361
29.4
2Pt-FG
25.7
53.8
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.547
2Pt%
.535
16.1
FT
18.0
20.8
FTA
22.7
.773
FT%
.795
11.7
ORB
12.2
31.9
DRB
33.2
43.6
TRB
45.5
29.4
AST
24.7
8.9
STL
7.0
5.6
BLK
4.9
14.3
TOV
18.2
20.1
PF
18.5
116.5
PTS
110.9

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
UTA
.565
eFG%
.556
12.3
TOV%
10.5
25.5
RB%
75.0
.205
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
UTA
.539
eFG%
.538
12.3
TOV%
15.9
74.6
RB%
28.5
.173
FT/FGA
.209

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
UTA
37
Games
37
44.2
FG
44.0
88.5
FGA
92.1
.499
FG%
.477
11.6
3Pt-FG
14.5
30.5
3Pt-FGA
40.4
.382
3Pt%
.359
32.5
2Pt-FG
29.5
58.0
2Pt-FGA
51.8
.560
2Pt%
.569
18.2
FT
16.5
23.9
FTA
21.5
.761
FT%
.765
10.7
ORB
11.2
33.6
DRB
31.0
44.3
TRB
42.2
30.8
AST
28.7
8.6
STL
10.2
4.6
BLK
6.5
13.8
TOV
11.9
17.8
PF
20.0
118.1
PTS
118.9

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
UTA
37
Games
37
42.4
FG
39.9
91.3
FGA
87.2
.464
FG%
.457
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.6
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.352
3Pt%
.361
28.8
2Pt-FG
25.9
52.7
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.547
2Pt%
.535
15.8
FT
18.2
20.4
FTA
22.9
.773
FT%
.795
11.4
ORB
12.4
31.3
DRB
33.5
42.7
TRB
45.9
28.8
AST
25.0
8.7
STL
7.0
5.5
BLK
5.0
14.0
TOV
18.4
19.6
PF
18.7
114.2
PTS
111.9

DEN
Analytics
UTA
23
Pythag Wins
11
14
Pythag Losses
26
4.05
Margin Of Victory
-6.92
118.1
O Rtg
111.9
114.2
D Rtg
118.9
101.0
Pace
99.1
.270
FTr
.263
.344
3PAr
.444
.597
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN UTA
DEN UTA
Consensus
-7.5 (-109)
+7.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-109)
+10.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-105)
+7.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-105)
+11.0 (-115)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-7.5 (-113)
+7.5 (-113)
-10.0 (-113)
+10.0 (-108)
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-110)
-9.0 (-115)
+9.0 (-105)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN UTA
DEN UTA
Consensus
-310
+250
-503
+381
-285
+230
-575
+425
-310
+250
-600
+450
-305
+245
-455
+350
-320
+250
-455
+345
-375
+290
-550
+400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
229.0 (-112)
229.0 (-108)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
233.5 (-113)
233.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-109)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)