Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Nov 27, 2024

Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz Best Bet – 11/27/2024

  • Date: November 27, 2024
  • Venue: Delta Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -9.5 (-110), Utah Jazz 9.5 (-110)
Over/Under:231
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -410, Utah Jazz 330


Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 78%Denver Nuggets - 27%
Utah Jazz - 22%Utah Jazz - 73%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Betting Preview

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to face the Utah Jazz at the Delta Center, fans can expect a matchup steeped in divisional rivalry. Scheduled for 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, this game promises to be a captivating clash, despite the apparent disparity in recent form and betting odds.

The Nuggets, holding a 9-7 record, are favored by 9.5 points, reflecting their strong start to the season and recent form, having won nine of their last 15 games. Despite an unexpected 145-118 loss to the New York Knicks in their last outing, Denver’s overall performance suggests they are in a solid position to bounce back.

On the flip side, the Jazz are struggling at 4-13, having dropped 11 of their last 15 contests, including a 128-115 loss to the San Antonio Spurs. The back-to-back scheduling may further strain the Jazz, as the lack of rest could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a rested Denver squad.

From a betting perspective, the Nuggets' moneyline is set at -410, translating to an implied win probability of 78%. In contrast, the Jazz's odds stand at +330, with a 22% implied probability of pulling off an upset. Bettors looking for player prop markets might find value in Nikola Jokic's points and assists, given its popularity and the sharp action on the over at 39.5 combined points and assists.

Overall, the Nuggets’ dominant position in this matchup makes them the clear favorites, but the rivalry and the Jazz's home-court advantage could introduce some unpredictability. With sharp bettors leaning towards the over, it seems there is an expectation for a high-scoring affair, particularly with Jokic’s potential to contribute significantly in both scoring and facilitating.


Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 121.76 vs Utah Jazz 129.73

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-11.0/-105
62% DEN
+11.0/-115
38% UTA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-503
94% DEN
+381
6% UTA

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-108
10% UN
228.5/-112
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
UTA
66
Games
66
45.7
FG
43.8
90.2
FGA
92.4
.507
FG%
.474
12.2
3Pt-FG
14.8
31.8
3Pt-FGA
41.4
.382
3Pt%
.359
33.5
2Pt-FG
28.9
58.4
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.574
2Pt%
.567
17.5
FT
17.4
22.6
FTA
22.7
.774
FT%
.769
11.2
ORB
11.3
34.6
DRB
31.8
45.8
TRB
43.1
31.0
AST
29.1
8.1
STL
9.9
4.7
BLK
6.5
14.1
TOV
11.8
17.6
PF
19.8
121.1
PTS
119.8

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
UTA
66
Games
66
43.2
FG
40.5
93.0
FGA
88.2
.465
FG%
.458
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.9
38.5
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.364
3Pt%
.355
29.2
2Pt-FG
26.6
54.5
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.536
2Pt%
.541
16.2
FT
17.7
20.6
FTA
23.0
.784
FT%
.772
11.6
ORB
12.4
30.8
DRB
33.8
42.4
TRB
46.1
29.1
AST
25.8
8.8
STL
6.6
5.3
BLK
4.7
13.1
TOV
17.5
18.8
PF
18.9
116.6
PTS
112.5

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
UTA
.574
eFG%
.554
12.3
TOV%
10.3
26.7
RB%
74.8
.194
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
UTA
.540
eFG%
.537
11.4
TOV%
15.1
74.9
RB%
28.0
.174
FT/FGA
.201

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
UTA
66
Games
66
45.3
FG
43.6
89.5
FGA
92.0
.507
FG%
.474
12.1
3Pt-FG
14.8
31.6
3Pt-FGA
41.2
.382
3Pt%
.359
33.3
2Pt-FG
28.8
57.9
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.574
2Pt%
.567
17.4
FT
17.4
22.5
FTA
22.6
.774
FT%
.769
11.2
ORB
11.3
34.3
DRB
31.7
45.4
TRB
43.0
30.8
AST
29.0
8.0
STL
9.8
4.7
BLK
6.4
14.0
TOV
11.7
17.5
PF
19.7
120.1
PTS
119.3

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
UTA
66
Games
66
42.9
FG
40.3
92.3
FGA
87.9
.465
FG%
.458
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.2
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.364
3Pt%
.355
29.0
2Pt-FG
26.5
54.1
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.536
2Pt%
.541
16.0
FT
17.7
20.4
FTA
22.9
.784
FT%
.772
11.5
ORB
12.3
30.6
DRB
33.6
42.1
TRB
46.0
28.9
AST
25.7
8.7
STL
6.6
5.2
BLK
4.7
13.0
TOV
17.4
18.7
PF
18.8
115.7
PTS
112.1

DEN
Analytics
UTA
41
Pythag Wins
19
25
Pythag Losses
47
4.45
Margin Of Victory
-7.24
120.1
O Rtg
112.1
115.7
D Rtg
119.3
100.0
Pace
99.7
.251
FTr
.260
.353
3PAr
.444
.604
TS%
.572

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN UTA
DEN UTA
Consensus
-7.5 (-109)
+7.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-109)
+10.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-105)
+7.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-105)
+11.0 (-115)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-7.5 (-113)
+7.5 (-113)
-10.0 (-113)
+10.0 (-108)
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-110)
-9.0 (-115)
+9.0 (-105)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN UTA
DEN UTA
Consensus
-310
+250
-503
+381
-285
+230
-575
+425
-310
+250
-600
+450
-305
+245
-455
+350
-320
+250
-455
+345
-375
+290
-550
+400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
229.0 (-112)
229.0 (-108)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
233.5 (-113)
233.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-109)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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