Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120) at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Pros
- Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 84th percentile, posting an enormous 16.9 points per game at home this year.
- Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game playing at home this year.
- The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
- The Thunder will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Cons
- Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile — among the NBA’s highest-fouling.
- The faceoff with Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the other side’s starting Cs hitting just 5.6 baskets per game this year.
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
- The matchup with Jusuf Nurkic when it comes to getting to the charity stripe lands in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the opposition’s starting Cs attempting just 2.7 free throws per game this year.
Prop Projection: Chet Holmgren is projected for 14.7 Points
