Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks

Mar 27, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction – 3/27/2025


The Atlanta Hawks (35-37) face off against the Miami Heat (31-41) on March 27, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET in the Kaseya Center. This matchup is significant as both teams are divisional rivals, adding an extra layer of motivation for a victory.

Miami enters the game as a slight favorite, with a spread of Heat -1.5 and a moneyline of -120. The Hawks, on the other hand, are listed at +100 on the moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 48%. The Heat's implied win probability stands at 52%.

Both teams have struggled recently, with the Hawks losing 22 of their last 40 games. In their most recent outing, Atlanta fell to the Houston Rockets 121-114. Conversely, the Heat managed to secure a win against the Golden State Warriors, triumphing 112-86 as 4.5-point underdogs, a surprising result given their 37% chance of winning that game.

For bettors looking at player prop markets, Kel'el Ware's Points and Rebounds have emerged as a popular betting option. Initially set at Under 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-110), the prop has since shifted to Under 20.5 (-125), indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under.

As the Hawks and Heat prepare to clash, fans and bettors alike will be keenly watching how this rivalry unfolds, especially given the stakes for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in a competitive landscape.


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Hawks 109.11 vs Miami Heat 118.09


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hawks48%25%
Heat52%75%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-105
52% ATL
-1.0/-115
48% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+102
36% ATL
-121
64% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

224.5/-112
11% UN
224.5/-108
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
43.4
FG
41.3
91.8
FGA
88.6
.472
FG%
.466
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.7
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.358
3Pt%
.360
29.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
54.1
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.552
2Pt%
.545
18.0
FT
13.9
23.2
FTA
17.9
.775
FT%
.776
11.9
ORB
10.7
32.6
DRB
33.9
44.5
TRB
44.7
29.6
AST
26.5
9.7
STL
7.5
5.1
BLK
4.7
15.5
TOV
13.8
19.1
PF
17.0
118.2
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
43.4
FG
40.5
90.2
FGA
87.0
.481
FG%
.465
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.8
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.377
3Pt%
.367
29.2
2Pt-FG
26.8
52.4
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.557
2Pt%
.538
18.2
FT
16.0
22.7
FTA
20.2
.802
FT%
.791
10.3
ORB
9.7
33.4
DRB
33.7
43.7
TRB
43.4
28.2
AST
26.4
9.2
STL
8.1
4.9
BLK
3.8
16.0
TOV
13.6
19.1
PF
15.5
119.3
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.546
eFG%
.543
13.2
TOV%
12.5
26.3
RB%
75.8
.196
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.560
eFG%
.544
13.8
TOV%
12.4
76.0
RB%
22.3
.202
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
42.3
89.0
FGA
90.9
.472
FG%
.466
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.5
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.358
3Pt%
.360
29.0
2Pt-FG
28.3
52.5
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.552
2Pt%
.545
17.4
FT
14.3
22.5
FTA
18.4
.775
FT%
.776
11.5
ORB
11.0
31.6
DRB
34.8
43.1
TRB
45.8
28.7
AST
27.2
9.4
STL
7.7
5.0
BLK
4.8
15.1
TOV
14.2
18.5
PF
17.4
114.6
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.1
FG
41.5
87.5
FGA
89.3
.481
FG%
.465
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.377
3Pt%
.367
28.3
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.8
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.557
2Pt%
.538
17.6
FT
16.4
22.0
FTA
20.7
.802
FT%
.791
10.0
ORB
10.0
32.3
DRB
34.5
42.3
TRB
44.5
27.4
AST
27.1
8.9
STL
8.4
4.8
BLK
3.9
15.5
TOV
13.9
18.5
PF
16.0
115.7
PTS
113.5

ATL
Analytics
MIA
38
Pythag Wins
42
44
Pythag Losses
40
-1.13
Margin Of Victory
0.56
114.6
O Rtg
113.5
115.7
D Rtg
112.9
102.6
Pace
96.2
.252
FTr
.232
.410
3PAr
.429
.579
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-106)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-115)
+1.0 (-106)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-106)
-1.0 (-114)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
-105
-115
+102
-121
-105
-115
-102
-118
-102
-116
+102
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
224.5 (-108)
224.5 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
225.0 (-115)
225.0 (-105)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)

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