Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+100).
Pros
- Aaron Gordon has attempted 12.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he’s attempted overall this year.
- Aaron Gordon has successfully made 44.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% more than he’s converted from 3-point range in all games this year on his home court.
- Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon measures in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 30.7 minutes per game playing at home this year.
- The Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
- Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the opposition’s starting SFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Cons
- The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
- The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year.
- The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
- As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 20.1 free throw attempts per game.
Prop Projection: Aaron Gordon is projected for 13.9 Points
