Jared Jones Prop projections for Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates on Jun 9, 2024
Jared Jones Player Prop: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -194
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 139
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Jared Jones's overall pitching skill is in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for home runs.
PNC Park has the 9th-deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums.
In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 40%.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jared Jones is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Henry Davis (the Pirates's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.
Jared Jones has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .252 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Jared Jones Pitching Outs Prop Projection
Jared Jones is projected to have 15.3 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Jared Jones Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 6.5 over: -110
- Strikeouts 6.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jared Jones in the 91st percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
The Minnesota Twins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Byron Buxton, Ryan Jeffers, Trevor Larnach).
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 40%.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Jared Jones will hold that advantage in today's game.
Out of all starting pitchers, Jared Jones's fastball velocity of 96.6 mph ranks in the 98th percentile this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jared Jones is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Henry Davis (the Pirates's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
PNC Park projects as the #21 field in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Jared Jones Strikeouts Prop Projection
Jared Jones is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in todays game.
Jared Jones Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 102
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -139
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Henry Davis (the Pirates's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.
Jared Jones has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .252 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Minnesota Twins batters jointly rank 2nd- in the game for power since the start of last season when using their 10.3% Barrel%.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Jared Jones's overall pitching skill is in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for home runs.
PNC Park has the 9th-deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums.
In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 40%.
Jared Jones Earned Runs Prop Projection
Jared Jones is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in todays game.
