Matt Carpenter projections, stats and prop bet odds for St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates on Jul 3, 2024
Matt Carpenter Player Prop Bet: Home Runs
Home Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Home Runs 0.5 over: 550
- Home Runs 0.5 under: -909
Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop Bet
When it comes to his home run skill, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup.
In the last 14 days, Matt Carpenter has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.4°.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) provides evidence that Matt Carpenter has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 12.4 actual HR/600.
Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Prop Bet
Matt Carpenter is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
22% of the time that Matt Carpenter has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-worst park in MLB for lefty home runs.
PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for long-balls.
Projection For Today's Matt Carpenter Home Runs Prop Bet
Matt Carpenter is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in todays game.
Matt Carpenter Player Prop Bet: Total Bases
Total Bases Prop Bet Odds:
- Total Bases 0.5 over: -111
- Total Bases 0.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop Bet
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
In the last 14 days, Matt Carpenter has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.4°.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) provides evidence that Matt Carpenter has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 12.4 actual HR/600.
Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Matt Carpenter is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
22% of the time that Matt Carpenter has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-worst park in MLB for lefty home runs.
PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Projection For Today's Matt Carpenter Total Bases Prop Bet
Matt Carpenter is projected to have 0.6 Total Bases in todays game.
Matt Carpenter Player Prop Bet: RBIs
RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- RBIs 0.5 over: 265
- RBIs 0.5 under: -370
Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop Bet
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
In the last 14 days, Matt Carpenter has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.4°.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) provides evidence that Matt Carpenter has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 12.4 actual HR/600.
Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Matt Carpenter is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
22% of the time that Matt Carpenter has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-worst park in MLB for lefty home runs.
PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Projection For Today's Matt Carpenter RBIs Prop Bet
Matt Carpenter is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in todays game.
Matt Carpenter Player Prop Bet: Hits
Hits Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits 0.5 over: -111
- Hits 0.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop Bet
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
In the last 14 days, Matt Carpenter has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.4°.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Matt Carpenter is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
22% of the time that Matt Carpenter has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for long-balls.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Carpenter in today's game.
Projection For Today's Matt Carpenter Hits Prop Bet
Matt Carpenter is projected to have 0.6 Hits in todays game.
Matt Carpenter Player Prop Bet: Hits Runs and RBIs
Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 over: -147
- Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
In the last 14 days, Matt Carpenter has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.4°.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) provides evidence that Matt Carpenter has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 12.4 actual HR/600.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Matt Carpenter is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
22% of the time that Matt Carpenter has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-worst park in MLB for lefty home runs.
PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Projection For Today's Matt Carpenter Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Matt Carpenter is projected to have 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs in todays game.
