New York Mets

New York Mets

Oct 2, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Prediction, Odds & Picks – 10/2/2024

  • Date: October 2, 2024
  • Venue: American Family Field
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Sean Manaea - Mets
    • Frankie Montas - Brewers

Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets -110, Brewers -110
Runline: Mets 1.5 -220, Brewers -1.5 185
Over/Under Total: 7.5 -110

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
New York Mets - 50% New York Mets - 48.94%
Milwaukee Brewers - 50% Milwaukee Brewers - 51.06%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Betting Preview

As the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets gear up for the second game of their National League Wild Card series on October 2, 2024, the Brewers find themselves in a must-win situation at American Family Field after dropping Game 1 at home to the Mets. The Brewers, holding home-field advantage, are projected to send right-hander Frankie Montas to the mound, while the Mets will counter with lefty Sean Manaea.

Milwaukee's offense has shown impressive depth, ranking 8th in batting average and 2nd in stolen bases this season. While their home run power sits at an average 16th, their ability to manufacture runs in various ways could be crucial against Manaea. Meanwhile, the Mets boast a powerful lineup, with their home run capability ranked 6th, providing them a potential edge if they can capitalize on Montas' offerings.

THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives a slight nod to the Brewers with a 51% win probability, marginally above the implied 50% from betting markets. This suggests Milwaukee might hold a slight edge in this matchup. Gary Sanchez has been a standout for the Brewers over the past week, posting a .400 batting average and 1.155 OPS, while Francisco Lindor has been equally impactful for the Mets, with two home runs and a .946 OPS across five games.

In yesterday's series opener, the Mets had an explosive eight-run showing on offense, making them the highest-scoring team on the opening day of the MLB postseason. With this game being a pick 'em on the moneyline, bettors and fans alike can expect a nail-biting affair as the Brewers aim to capitalize on their home advantage to even this series and the Mets look to leverage their power-hitting prowess to complete a two-game sweep.

Quick Takes New York Mets:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the New York Mets will record 4.28 runs on average in this matchup: the most of all teams in action today.

  • THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Positioned 2nd-steepest in the majors this year, Milwaukee Brewers bats collectively have put up a 16.4ยฐ launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable metric to assess power skills).

  • If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn't do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Game Trends

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games at home (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 104 games (+21.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: New York Mets 4.28 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4.15

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+109
42% NYM
-127
58% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

7.5/-105
11% UN
7.5/-115
89% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-205
59% NYM
-1.5/+170
41% MIL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
NYM
Team Stats
MIL
4.55
ERA
4.04
.248
Batting Avg Against
.232
1.38
WHIP
1.22
.297
BABIP
.275
9.9%
BB%
8.2%
22.5%
K%
23.0%
72.3%
LOB%
73.6%
.236
Batting Avg
.233
.399
SLG
.377
.715
OPS
.689
.317
OBP
.312
NYM
Team Records
MIL
46-35
Home
47-34
43-38
Road
46-35
65-51
vRHP
69-45
24-22
vLHP
24-24
47-46
vs>.500
52-41
42-27
vs<.500
41-28
5-5
Last10
5-5
11-9
Last20
11-9
20-10
Last30
17-13
S. Manaea
F. Montas
N/A
Innings
N/A
N/A
GS
N/A
N/A
W-L
N/A
N/A
ERA
N/A
N/A
K/9
N/A
N/A
BB/9
N/A
N/A
HR/9
N/A
N/A
LOB%
N/A
N/A
HR/FB%
N/A
N/A
FIP
N/A
N/A
xFIP
N/A

S. Manaea

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/30 PIT
Brubaker N/A
L6-7 N/A
6.2
5
3
3
6
3
72-110
4/24 LAD
Kershaw N/A
L2-10 N/A
4.1
6
7
6
5
3
52-86
4/18 CIN
Lodolo N/A
W4-1 N/A
6
6
1
1
6
2
60-78
4/13 SF
Webb N/A
L1-2 N/A
6
4
2
2
6
2
49-86
4/8 ARI
Kelly N/A
W3-0 N/A
7
0
0
0
7
1
66-88

F. Montas

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/4 TB
Kluber N/A
L0-3 N/A
7
4
0
0
6
1
65-103
4/23 TEX
Perez N/A
L0-2 N/A
7.1
3
2
2
8
1
62-96
4/18 BAL
Watkins N/A
W5-1 N/A
6
2
1
1
5
2
54-83
4/13 TB
McClanahan N/A
W4-2 N/A
6.1
5
2
1
6
0
61-89
4/8 PHI
Nola N/A
L5-9 N/A
5
6
5
5
6
1
64-92

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYM MIL
NYM MIL
Consensus
-105
-115
+109
-127
-105
-115
+114
-135
-108
-108
+108
-126
-109
-108
+100
-118
-105
-115
+110
-130
-110
-110
+110
-130
Open
Current
Book
NYM MIL
NYM MIL
Consensus
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
+1.5 (-196)
-1.5 (+165)
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-225)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
7.5 (-103)
7.5 (-118)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-104)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-118)
7.5 (-102)
7.0 (-122)
7.0 (+100)
7.5 (-118)
7.5 (-104)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-109)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (+100)
7.0 (-120)
7.0 (+100)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (+100)

Game Props

  • First To 2 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 5 Or More Runs
  • Stolen Bases
  • Each Pitcher To Record 1+ Strikeouts
  • To Score First And Win
  • Both Teams Score 3 Or More Runs
  • 3+ Run Scoring Play
  • To Score A Run
  • Both Teams Score 2 Or More Runs
  • First Team To Score
  • To Hit a Grand Slam
  • First Team To 7 Runs
  • Most Hits (3-Way)
  • Total Runs Odd/Even
  • Doubles
  • Over/Under 1.5 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 4 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 3 Runs
  • Total Batting Strikeouts
  • Singles
  • Either Pitcher to Strike Out the Side
  • Total Home Runs
  • Triples
  • 2+ Total Strikeouts
  • Total Bases
  • To Play Extra Innings
  • Both Teams Score 7 Or More Runs
  • To Score Last And Win
  • First Team To 4 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 6 Or More Runs
  • Both Teams Score 1 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 6 Runs
  • Team To Score First and Win
  • 3+ Total Strikeouts
  • To Win To Nil
  • First Team To 5 Runs
  • Walks Allowed
  • Shutout
  • Team To Record Highest Scoring Inning (3-Way)
  • 2+ Run Scoring Play
  • First To 2 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 5 Or More Runs
  • Stolen Bases
  • Each Pitcher To Record 1+ Strikeouts
  • To Score First And Win
  • Both Teams Score 3 Or More Runs
  • 3+ Run Scoring Play
  • To Score A Run
  • Both Teams Score 2 Or More Runs
  • First Team To Score
  • To Hit a Grand Slam
  • First Team To 7 Runs
  • Most Hits (3-Way)
  • Total Runs Odd/Even
  • Doubles
  • Over/Under 1.5 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 4 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 3 Runs
  • Total Batting Strikeouts
  • Singles
  • Either Pitcher to Strike Out the Side
  • Total Home Runs
  • Triples
  • 2+ Total Strikeouts
  • Total Bases
  • To Play Extra Innings
  • Both Teams Score 7 Or More Runs
  • To Score Last And Win
  • First Team To 4 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 6 Or More Runs
  • Both Teams Score 1 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 6 Runs
  • Team To Score First and Win
  • 3+ Total Strikeouts
  • To Win To Nil
  • First Team To 5 Runs
  • Walks Allowed
  • Shutout
  • Team To Record Highest Scoring Inning (3-Way)
  • 2+ Run Scoring Play
Open
Current
Book
Home Neither Away
Home Neither Away
Consensus
-107
+2000
-129
+102
+2100
-140
+2000
-140
-107
+2100
-129
+102
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+700
-3000
+675
-3000
Consensus
-777
+405
-739
+413
+376
-654
+355
-604
-3000
+700
-3000
+675
+425
-800
+450
-900
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-104
-141
-104
-141
-141
-104
-141
-104
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-118
-109
-116
-112
-120
-112
-112
-110
-115
-110
-115
-110
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-237
+188
-240
+185
-235
+180
-230
+184
-250
+190
-250
+190
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+102
-140
+102
-140
Consensus
-300
+200
-350
+190
Consensus
+1000
-10000
+950
-10000
Consensus
-1100
+425
-1100
+450
-135
-101
-135
-101
-145
+105
-145
+105
+200
-350
+190
-350
+1050
-10000
+950
-10000
-1100
+400
-1100
+425
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-250
+200
-250
+200
+200
-250
+200
-250
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-136
+112
-136
+105
Consensus
-132
+104
-140
+106
Consensus
-130
+106
-138
+108
Consensus
-215
+160
-215
+172
Consensus
-147
+110
-150
+119
Consensus
+118
-142
+122
-150
Consensus
+110
-134
+110
-138
Consensus
+116
-148
+112
-142
Consensus
+110
-132
+104
-132
-135
+105
-150
+120
+112
-138
+108
-140
+106
-130
+102
-124
-134
+106
-130
+106
+172
-200
+172
-210
+110
-132
+114
-134
-144
+116
-150
+118
-134
+108
-138
+110
+114
-144
+114
-142
+112
-128
+106
-128
+105
-135
+110
-135
-155
+120
-160
+125
+105
-140
+105
-140
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+167
-242
+167
-242
Consensus
+175
-275
+180
-350
Consensus
+500
-1200
+475
-1200
Consensus
-120
-120
-120
-125
+165
-234
+165
-234
-250
+170
-250
+170
+175
-275
+180
-275
+475
-1400
+475
-1200
-125
-125
-125
-125
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+116
-150
+110
-142
+110
-140
+110
-140
-145
+110
-160
+125
+110
-145
+115
-160
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+1200
-2500
+1100
-2500
+1100
-2500
+1100
-2500
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Neither
Away Home Neither
Consensus
+383
+471
-251
+385
+421
-236
+360
+370
-230
+350
+420
-250
-260
+475
+380
-260
+450
+400
-245
+440
+520
-240
+420
+590
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Draw
Away Home Draw
Consensus
+750
+155
-145
+955
+155
-140
-130
+100
+1200
-120
+105
+1200
+155
+710
-125
+160
+710
-130
Open
Current
Book
Even Odd
Even Odd
Consensus
-285
+225
-280
+210
Consensus
+217
-272
+217
-280
Consensus
+137
-163
+131
-164
Consensus
-280
+217
-280
+217
Consensus
+215
-275
+217
-270
Consensus
+300
-380
+290
-400
Consensus
+217
-270
+217
-257
Consensus
+225
-285
+225
-285
Consensus
-270
+210
-262
+215
Consensus
-262
+210
-255
+205
+225
-250
+200
-280
-280
+225
-280
+225
-160
+130
-160
+130
+210
-250
+200
-260
+195
-240
+210
-260
-400
+290
-380
+300
+200
-260
+210
-250
+210
-280
+225
-260
+210
-260
+210
-260
-250
+210
-260
+200
-290
+225
-290
+220
+220
-265
+210
-265
-170
+138
-172
+140
+235
-290
+225
-300
-280
+220
-280
+210
+210
-290
+225
-290
-290
+225
-280
+225
+210
-280
+210
-265
-260
+205
-260
+210
+125
-155
+135
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
+100
-146
+100
-146
+100
-146
+100
-146
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
+280
-375
+290
-375
Consensus
-400
+290
-385
+285
Consensus
+290
-400
+300
-400
Consensus
-650
+420
-620
+430
Consensus
+290
-400
+320
-430
Consensus
-385
+290
-370
+270
Consensus
+290
-375
+290
-375
Consensus
-410
+310
-410
+330
Consensus
-385
+320
-430
+300
-375
+285
-385
+280
+290
-400
+285
-385
-400
+290
-385
+290
+440
-650
+420
-650
-420
+310
-400
+320
+285
-355
+270
-385
-385
+290
-385
+290
+330
-420
+320
-420
+290
-385
+290
-420
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-900
+400
-900
+400
Consensus
-317
+219
-332
+210
Consensus
+750
-10000
+800
-5000
+213
-314
+196
-284
+400
-900
+400
-900
-350
+220
-350
+225
+750
-10000
+750
-5000
Open
Current
Book
Home Away Neither
Home Away Neither
Consensus
+756
+114
-109
+756
+118
-109
+800
+111
-108
+750
+101
-116
+115
-105
+700
+110
-105
+700
-104
+118
+790
+104
+116
+820
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
+100
-146
-146
-111
-146
+100
-111
-131
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
+102
-149
-152
+104
+102
-152
-152
+104
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+950
+950
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
+124
-166
+124
-166
+124
-166
+124
-166
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-458
+266
-458
+266
+266
-458
+266
-458
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+198
-290
+200
-270
-290
+194
-270
+192
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-113
-119
-123
-129
-123
-119
-113
-119
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-1233
+666
-1166
+680
+680
-1200
+700
-1300
-1100
+725
-1200
+700
+600
-1100
+650
-1200
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+1089
-8002
+1089
-7502
+964
-6004
+964
-5004
+1300
-10000
+1250
-10000
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-260
+205
-260
+210
+210
-260
+198
-260
Open
Current
Book
Neither Home Away
Neither Home Away
Consensus
+139
+130
+321
+154
+118
+313
+325
+128
+122
+330
+140
+111
+125
+145
+310
+120
+140
+295
+172
+136
+320
+158
+128
+320
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-2052
+692
-1952
+692
-1604
+634
-1604
+594
+775
-2500
+750
-2500
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-250
+160
-275
+160
Consensus
-450
+260
-450
+260
Consensus
-165
+120
-185
+120
Consensus
+482
-952
+465
-1002
+448
-904
+464
-904
-275
+160
-250
+160
-450
+260
-450
+260
+120
-165
+120
-175
-1100
+500
-1000
+500
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Neither
Away Home Neither
Consensus
+261
+305
-135
+253
+308
-137
+275
+240
-126
+245
+230
-118
-135
+310
+265
-145
+310
+250
+280
+330
-130
+280
+340
-132
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+190
+145
+185
+155
+200
+145
+190
+165
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-108
-122
-112
-128
-108
-128
-112
-122
Open
Current
Book
Neither Home Away
Neither Home Away
Consensus
-1000
+1100
+1000
-1000
+1000
+1100
-850
+1000
+1000
-1050
+900
+1100
Open
Current
Book
Away Neither Home
Away Neither Home
Consensus
+205
+149
+170
+206
+144
+183
+160
+150
+170
+170
+160
+190
+170
+200
+155
+220
+200
+150
+190
+235
+152
+194
+240
+146
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-117
-125
-117
-125
-117
-125
-117
-125
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+1000
+800
+750
+800
+900
+800
+1000
+800
Open
Current
Book
Home Away Draw
Home Away Draw
Consensus
+140
+135
+310
+120
+140
+310
+140
+135
+320
+125
+135
+310
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+300
-400
+340
-450
-450
+340
-400
+340