Royals vs Orioles Game 2 Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 10/2/2024

• Date: October 2, 2024
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Seth Lugo - Royals
  • Zach Eflin - Orioles

Royals vs Orioles Game 2 Betting Odds

Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Royals vs Orioles Game 2 Betting Preview

As the Baltimore Orioles host the Kansas City Royals on October 2, 2024, both teams are locked in a crucial American League Wild Card matchup. The Orioles, boosted by home-field advantage at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, aim to capitalize on their season-long offensive prowess to even this series at a game apiece after the Orioles were shut out by the Royals in Game 1. With a #7 ranking in team batting average and the #2 spot in home runs, Baltimore's lineup is potent and capable of putting up runs in a hurry. Meanwhile, the Royals come in with a respectable #11 ranking in team batting average, but their power has lagged, sitting at #20 in home runs.

Zach Eflin, Baltimore's right-handed pitcher, brings his #34 Power Ranking to the mound, underscoring his status as one of the better arms in the league. He'll face off against Kansas City's Seth Lugo, who holds an above-average #66 ranking. While Eflin has shown consistent form, Lugo will need to navigate a challenging Orioles lineup that has been firing on all cylinders.

The leading projection system, THE BAT X, slightly favors the Orioles, giving them a 55% win probability, compared to the Royals' projected 45%. This suggests a competitive game, despite the Orioles being betting favorites with a 60% implied win probability. The Royals, considered underdogs, might present some value for bettors, as their win probability is projected to be 5% higher than the betting market suggests.

The Game Total sits at 7.5 runs, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair, likely due to the strength of the pitching matchup. However, with the Orioles' ability to hit home runs, they could surpass expectations and make a statement in this pivotal Wild Card clash.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams playing today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Kansas City Royals are expected to record the 4th-least runs (3.99 on average) of the day.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

Rating 4th-steepest in the game this year, Baltimore Orioles hitters collectively have notched a 14.3° launch angle (an advanced metric to study the ability to lift the ball for power).

• A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Game Trends

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 120 games (+17.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)

Royals vs Orioles Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Royals 3.99 vs Baltimore Orioles 4.18

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