Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction & Preview

• Date: April 27, 2024
• Venue: Comerica Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Brady Singer - Royals
  • Casey Mize - Tigers
• Run Line: Royals 1.5 -210, Tigers -1.5 180
• Money Line: Royals -105, Tigers -115
• Total (Over/Under): 8

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Kansas City Royals - 49%
• Detroit Tigers - 51%

Projected Win %:

• Kansas City Royals - 49.88%
• Detroit Tigers - 50.12%

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Game Preview & Prediction

The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Kansas City Royals in an American League Central matchup on April 27, 2024, at Comerica Park. The Tigers, with a season record of 14-12, are having an above-average season. Meanwhile, the Royals are enjoying a great season with a record of 17-10.

The Tigers are projected to start right-handed pitcher Casey Mize, who has had an impressive season so far. Mize has started four games, with a win/loss record of 1-0 and an excellent ERA of 2.95. However, his 4.18 xFIP suggests that he may have been lucky and could regress in future performances.

On the other side, the Royals are projected to start Brady Singer, also a right-handed pitcher. Singer has started five games, with a record of 2-1 and an impressive ERA of 2.76. However, his 3.55 xFIP indicates that he may have been fortunate and could see a decline in performance going forward.

The Tigers offense has struggled this season, ranking as the 26th best in MLB. They have also ranked poorly in team batting average, home runs, and stolen bases. In contrast, the Royals offense ranks as the 15th best in MLB, with an average ranking in team batting average and a great ranking in stolen bases.

According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, the Tigers bullpen ranks 13th best in MLB, while the Royals bullpen ranks 14th best. Both teams have average bullpen talent based on underlying metrics.

The Tigers' best hitter this season has been undisclosed, while the Royals' best hitter has also been undisclosed. However, over the last seven games, Mark Canha has been the Tigers' standout hitter, while Salvador Perez has been the Royals' top performer.

In terms of pitching style, Casey Mize is a high-groundball pitcher, which may work in favor of the Royals, as they have a relatively low home run count this season. However, Mize's low walk rate may not take advantage of the Royals' impatience at the plate.

Brady Singer, also a high-groundball pitcher, may find success against the Tigers' offense, which has struggled with power hitting. Their limited home run production may play into Singer's strengths.

The game total for today's match is set at 8.0 runs, indicating an average expectation for scoring. The Tigers and Royals both have an implied win probability of 50%, suggesting a close matchup based on current odds.

Overall, the Tigers and Royals are evenly matched. While the Tigers have the advantage with their starting pitcher, the Royals boast a slightly better offense. It should be an exciting game as both teams look to secure a victory.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

Cracking 5 HRs in the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has been on fire of late.

• Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.

Salvador Perez, the Royals's expected catcher today, profiles as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Typically, bats like Javier Baez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brady Singer.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Game Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 58% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has only hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 12 games at home (-0.05 Units / -0% ROI)

Royals vs Tigers Prediction: Royals 4.58 - Tigers 4.32

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.