Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

• Date: May 25, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Tanner Bibee - Guardians
  • Jose Soriano - Angels

Betting Odds

Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

In a matchup scheduled for May 25th, 2024, the Los Angeles Angels will take on the Cleveland Guardians at Angel Stadium. The Angels will be looking to turn things around after a tough season, currently holding a record of 20-31. On the other hand, the Guardians have been having a great season, boasting a record of 34-17.

The Angels will be sending Jose Soriano to the mound as their starting pitcher. Soriano, a right-handed pitcher, has started seven games this year and holds a 2-4 win/loss record. With an impressive ERA of 3.30, Soriano has shown great performance on the mound. However, his xFIP of 3.82 suggests that he has been lucky this season and may not perform as well going forward.

The Guardians will counter with Tanner Bibee, also a right-handed pitcher. Bibee has started ten games this year, earning a 2-1 record with a 3.93 ERA. While he has been solid on the mound, his high flyball rate of 42% could pose a challenge against the powerful Angels offense, which ranks third in team home runs this season.

This game is the second in a series between these two teams, with the Guardians emerging victorious in the previous matchup. In their last game, the Guardians defeated the Angels with a score of 10-4. Both teams had a closing Moneyline price of -110, indicating a close game. The Angels' offense ranks 12th in MLB, while the Guardians' offense ranks 15th.

According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Soriano is ranked as the 50th best starting pitcher in MLB, while Bibee is ranked 37th. However, it's important to note that these rankings are out of approximately 350 pitchers, highlighting their overall skill. Soriano projects to pitch around 5.2 innings and allow 2.3 earned runs on average. Bibee, on the other hand, projects to pitch around 5.6 innings and allow 2.4 earned runs on average.

Considering the recent performance of the teams, the projections give a slight edge to the Guardians, with a win probability of 54% compared to the Angels' 46%. The Angels' best hitter this season has been Taylor Ward, with 10 home runs and a batting average of .272. Meanwhile, the Guardians' offensive standout has been Jose Ramirez, who has recorded 14 home runs and a batting average of .262.

With the Guardians having a strong season and the Angels looking to bounce back, this game promises to be an exciting matchup. The Angels will rely on their powerful offense, while the Guardians will look to capitalize on Soriano's high groundball rate. The outcome of this game could have significant implications for both teams as they continue their respective journeys in the MLB season.

Quick Takes Cleveland Guardians:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Tanner Bibee will record an average of 5.6 strikeouts in this game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

Will Brennan's 2.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

With 7 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Jose Soriano will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

This year, there has been a decline in Kyren Paris's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.23 ft/sec last year to 28.4 ft/sec currently.

• Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can't beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyren Paris, Mickey Moniak, Jo Adell).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+15.50 Units / 221% ROI)

Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Final Score: Cleveland Guardians 4.64 vs Los Angeles Angels 3.97

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