After a break from the PGA Tour’s new Designated Events, at least for one week, those return this week with another loaded field, and this time they head for one of the toughest courses on Tour for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, at the famed Bay Hill Club & Lodge.
As has been the case with the first two designated events of the week, it’s a stacked group of players, despite the field being just 120 players this week. Nine of the current Top-10 players in the world rankings are in the field, and 44 of the Top-50. This is about as close to a major-type field as you can get on the PGA Tour, without it being a major.
Bay Hill also presents a stern test for this week’s event, with length and accuracy needed. With all that in mind, here’s this week’s golf betting picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Pick
|ℹ️ The Pick:||Scottie Scheffler|
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Why Bet On Scottie Scheffler:
✅ In his last time out, Scheffler defended his title at the WM Phoenix Open, and he just so happens to be the defending champion of this event. Scheffler combines the things you need at this course: Power and accuracy.
✅ We noted it above, but being good off the tee is doubly important at Bay Hill, with rough that will rivals any tournament on Tour outside the US Open. Over the last 24 rounds, Scheffler is the best golfer in the PGA off the tee.
✅ And it’s not just length off the tee that’s needed, but length on approaches. All four Par 3s this week are over 200 yards, and with reachable Par 5s, the course has more 200+ yard approaches than any other on Tour. Scheffler’s ranking over that same 24 round period in Ball Striking: No. 1
Arnold Palmer Invitational Course Breakdown
Since the 70s this tournament has been played at the famous Bay Hill Club & Lodge, and in recent years, has become maybe the toughest non-major tournament that the players will face all season.
The course is a whopper at around 7,500 yards as it is, then you throw in deep rough that penalizes almost any shot that misses the fairway, and you have a recipe for winning scores that won’t be too far under par. The last three winners have gone -5, -11, -4. Oh, and this week there is the added challenge of 20+ MPH winds in the forecast for Saturday and Sunday. So if a player plans to go low, he better do it early in the tournament.
The course will play as a Par 72.
Other Golfers Who Can Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational
Jon Rahm: It feels old saying this, but there’s not a hotter golfer on the planet, and if he’s playing well, it doesn’t feel like anyone can beat him. He checks all the boxes for a tournament like this, even being the favorite.
Collin Morikawa: Perhaps the best pure ball striker in the field, Morikawa has been solid to start the PGA Tour season, and on a tough test like this, should find himself in contention come Sunday. His iron play especially is reason to think he has a good shot at winning this week, and has a bit longer odds than some of the other big names.
Jason Day: A longshot here who has really rounded into form of late, the former World No. 1 won this event back in 2017, so the combination of his surge in recent play, plus his familiarity with the course makes Day a good option with a potentially very good payout.