UMass Minutemen

UMass Minutemen

Nov 2, 2024

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

UMass vs Mississippi State Betting Pick & Preview – 11/2/2024

The UMass Minutemen are set to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on November 2, 2024, at 4:15 pm ET. The initial odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the UMass Minutemen as 18 point underdogs. The total of 59.0 has seen 29% of bets placed on the under and 71% on the over. Here, we break down UMass vs Mississippi State and determine if the SEC team will hold serve or if they will be put on upset alert.

UMass Still Winless Against FBS Competition

Going into Saturday's action, the UMass Minutemen are 2-6 on the season, with both of those wins coming against FCS opponents. The Minutemen have wins over Central Connecticut and Wagner under their belts, but haven't beat anyone else. The Minutemen have one game against an SEC opponent under their belt already this year, a 45-3 home loss to Missouri. Here, they will look to perform better on the road, albeit against a much worse SEC opponent than Missouri was.

Mississippi State Looking For Break From Nightmare SEC Season

This season has been dreadful for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 1-7 overall this season and 0-5 in the SEC to this point in the year. This game represents a rare chance for the Bulldogs to pick up a win, as they look to improve to 2-7 on the year. But for that to happen, the defense of the Bulldogs has to be better than it has been for most of this season. Mississippi State has allowed 36.4 points per game on the season, one of the worst marks in FBS football, which could put them in trouble even against UMass.

UMass vs Mississippi State Best Bet

We are concerned about the defense of Mississippi State going into Saturday's UMass vs Mississippi State matchup. So instead of betting on the Bulldogs to cover a big number against an inferior opponent, we will instead recommend betting on the over in this contest. Look for both teams to do some scoring and for this game to get into the 60s, as we don't anticipate either team doing enough on defense to win this game in convincing fashion.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+19.5/-110
31% UMASS
-19.5/-110
69% MSPST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+695
2% UMASS
-1132
98% MSPST

Total Pick Consensus

59.0/-112
68% UN
59.0/-108
32% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

UMASS
Team Stats
MSPST
10
GM
10
20.7
PPG
34.4
67.9
PLAYS-PG
71.3
340.2
YDS/G
460.8
5.0
YPP
6.5
20.0
1st DPG
24.1
8.1
1st DPass
11.6
9.6
1st DRush
10.7
2.3
1st Pen
1.8
7.4
Pen-Gm
6.7
66.3
Pen-Yds
61.6
0.2
FUM-G
0.5
0.6
INT-G
0.7

Defense/Offense

UMASS
Team Stats
MSPST
10
GM
10
32.0
PPG
27.6
58.4
PLAYS-PG
67.4
351.0
YDS/G
385.8
6.0
YPP
5.7
18.8
1st DPG
21.2
6.3
1st DPass
10.4
10.1
1st DRush
8.3
2.4
1st Pen
2.5
6.5
Pen-Gm
7.0
56.0
Pen-Yds
63.7
0.3
FUM-G
0.8
0.5
INT-G
0.6

Offense/Defense

UMASS
Rushing
MSPST
40.1
ATT
41.6
155.2
Y/G
214.5
3.9
Y/A
5.2
1.4
TD/G
1.9

Defense/Offense

UMASS
Rushing
MSPST
37.6
ATT
36.7
191.4
Y/G
146.9
5.1
Y/A
4.0
2.7
TD/G
1.7

Offense/Defense

UMASS
Passing
MSPST
15.9
CMP
21.1
27.8
ATT
29.7
57.2
CMP%
71
185
Y/G
246.3
6.7
Y/A
8.3
0.9
TD/G
2.1

Defense/Offense

UMASS
Passing
MSPST
11.8
CMP
18.1
20.8
ATT
30.7
56.7
CMP%
59
159.6
Y/G
238.9
7.7
Y/A
7.8
1.2
TD/G
1.7

UMASS
Special Teams
MSPST
4.5
Punts-GM
3.5
41.2
Punt Avg
44.6
1.7
Kick Ret GM
1.1
17.8
Kick Ret Avg
25.5
1.4
Punt Ret GM
1.3
8.2
Punt Ret Avg
11.1

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
UMASS MSPST
UMASS MSPST
Consensus
+19.5 (-110)
-19.5 (-110)
+19.5 (-110)
-19.5 (-110)
+22.5 (-110)
-22.5 (-110)
+19.5 (-110)
-19.5 (-110)
+17.5 (-110)
-17.5 (-110)
+19.5 (-110)
-19.5 (-110)
+17.5 (-110)
-17.5 (-109)
+18.5 (-110)
-18.5 (-110)
+17.0 (-110)
-17.0 (-110)
+19.5 (-110)
-19.5 (-110)
+17.5 (-105)
-17.5 (-110)
+18.5 (-105)
-18.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
UMASS MSPST
UMASS MSPST
Consensus
+575
-910
+695
-1132
+550
-800
+750
-1200
+540
-800
+740
-1250
+575
-910
+650
-1115
+550
-800
+700
-1100
+600
-900
+700
-1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
58.0 (-110)
58.0 (-110)
59.0 (-109)
59.0 (-110)
58.0 (-110)
58.0 (-110)
59.5 (-108)
59.5 (-112)
58.5 (-110)
58.5 (-110)
59.5 (-110)
59.5 (-110)
58.5 (-105)
58.5 (-117)
59.0 (-108)
59.0 (-113)
58.0 (-110)
58.0 (-110)
59.5 (-110)
59.5 (-110)
58.5 (-110)
58.5 (-110)
59.5 (-110)
59.5 (-110)