The College Football Playoff National Championship is set for Monday night when the #3 TCU Horned Frogs (13-1) battle the #1 Georgia Bulldogs (14-0). Both teams played in classic semifinal games, but skeptics still don’t believe that TCU is for real. Will they prove everyone wrong against the defending champions? Below is my college football pick for TCU vs Georgia.
TCU vs Georgia Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | TCU +13.5 |
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This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 8:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 31, 2022.
This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 7:30 p.m. on Monday, January 9, 2023.
Why Bet TCU +13.5
✅ TCU is 10-3-1 against the spread in 14 games played this season.
✅ Georgia is 7-7 ATS in their 14 games played.
✅ There is some pixy dust with this TCU team, and I think they keep this game close.
NCAAFB
TCU Horned Frogs
Georgia Bulldogs
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| TCU | Passing | GA |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4 | CMP | 18.2 |
| 37.8 | ATT | 30.9 |
| 67.2 | CMP% | 58.7 |
| 317.6 | Y/G | 208.7 |
| 8.4 | Y/A | 6.8 |
| 2.1 | TD/G | 1 |
Defense/Offense
| TCU | Passing | GA |
|---|---|---|
| 18.4 | CMP | 24.3 |
| 31.4 | ATT | 37 |
| 58.6 | CMP% | 65.7 |
| 192.7 | Y/G | 284.6 |
| 6.1 | Y/A | 7.7 |
| 1.2 | TD/G | 2.2 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| TCU | Rushing | GA |
|---|---|---|
| 30.6 | ATT | 34.8 |
| 114.3 | Y/G | 127.8 |
| 3.7 | Y/A | 3.7 |
| 2.2 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Defense/Offense
| TCU | Rushing | GA |
|---|---|---|
| 38.6 | ATT | 30.8 |
| 164.3 | Y/G | 129.2 |
| 4.3 | Y/A | 4.2 |
| 1.8 | TD/G | 1.8 |
Special Teams
| TCU | Special Teams | GA |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | Punts-GM | 3.2 |
| 42.3 | Punt Avg | 47.6 |
| 1.4 | Kick Ret GM | 0.8 |
| 18.5 | Kick Ret Avg | 15.2 |
| 2.1 | Punt Ret GM | 1.5 |
| 11.0 | Punt Ret Avg | 8.1 |
Betting Trends
| TCU | Betting Trends | GA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 47 | Avg Score | 43 |
| 30 | Avg Opp Score | 28.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 32.33 | Avg Score | 43 |
| 27.67 | Avg Opp Score | 28.33 |
| TCU | Betting Trends | GA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 37.4 | Avg Score | 38 |
| 25.6 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 35.2 | Avg Score | 39.6 |
| 29 | Avg Opp Score | 23.6 |
| TCU | Betting Trends | GA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
| 6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 38.1 | Avg Score | 38.2 |
| 28.2 | Avg Opp Score | 17.5 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
| 5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 29.9 | Avg Score | 42.3 |
| 33.4 | Avg Opp Score | 15.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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TCU Horned Frogs
Last time out, TCU played #2 Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl and won a 51-45 classic. This was a wild game that felt like Michigan dominated, but the Wolverines never even led. TCU led 14-0 after the first quarter and 21-6 at the half. It all popped off in the third quarter when 44 combined points were scored, and Michigan cut the lead to 11. The Wolverines cut the lead to one score multiple times in the final quarter, but the Horned Frogs continued their magical season and got the win. TCU won outright as 7.5-point underdogs.
Max Duggan went 14/29 for 225 yards, two touchdowns, two interceptions, and added 57 yards and two touchdowns in the ground. Emari Demercado had 150 rushing yards and one touchdown, and Quentin Johnston hauled in six catches for 163 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, TCU allowed 528 total yards, but forced three turnovers, two interceptions and one recovered fumble. The TCU defense returned both of those interceptions for touchdowns and recovered that fumble in the endzone.
Through 14 games, TCU is scoring 41.1 points per game and gaining 474.1 yards, 269.6 through the air and 204.5 on the ground. Defensively, the Horned Frogs allow 25.0 points and 385.1 yards, 235.6 passing and 149.5 rushing.
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia played #4 Ohio State in the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl and escaped with a 42-41 win. This was another thrilling game that saw the Bulldogs clinch the win right as the East Coast hit the New Year. The game was tied after the first quarter, but Ohio State held a slight 28-24 lead at the half. Ohio State won the third quarter 10-0 and led by 14 going into the fourth quarter. Georgia showed their championship mentality and fought back to take their 42-41 lead with 54 seconds left. However, Ohio State had a chance to win, but Noah Ruggles badly missed a 50-yard field goal to clinch the win for the defending champs. Georgia did not cover the five-point spread.
Stetson Bennett went 23/34 for 398 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Arian Smith had three catches for 129 yards and one touchdown in the win. Defensively, Georgia allowed 467 total yards and did not force any Ohio State turnovers.
After 14 games, Georgia is scoring 39.4 points per game and gaining 494.4 yards, 293.0 through the air and 201.9 on the ground. Defensively, the Bulldogs allow 12.8 points and 292.1 yards, 215.1 passing and 77.0 rushing.
