North Texas Mean Green

North Texas Mean Green

Jan 3, 2025

Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

North Texas vs Texas State First Responder Bowl Prediction 1/3/2025

The North Texas Mean Green are set to take on the Texas State Bobcats in a highly anticipated First Responders Bowl matchup on January 3, 2025. DraftKings Sportsbook has listed the Bobcats as 11 point favorites, with the total set at 64. With both teams looking to secure a victory, fans can expect an intense game as these two college football powerhouses battle it out on the field. Don't miss out on the action as the Mean Green and Bobcats go head-to-head in what is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game.

Going into this North Texas vs Texas State matchup, bettors can continue reading to get our full breakdown of the game. Here, you will find our keys to victory for both teams in this contest, along with our best bet for the First Responders Bowl. Using our college football betting model and our comprehensive knowledge of the college football betting landscape, you can have faith in our college football predictions for the bowl season.

North Texas With QB Questions Entering Bowl Game

As the college football bowl schedule plays out, one of the most exciting teams on the schedule is the North Texas Mean Green. North Texas had one of the most lethal passing attacks in college football, ranking sixth in the nation in passing yards per game in 2024. But the roster of the Mean Green could prevent them from successfully airing it out in the First Responders Bowl against Texas State.

Starting quarterback Chandler Morris has transferred to Virginia ahead of this bowl matchup. With their starter leaving for an ACC school, North Texas is likely to rely on freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker or Cash McCollum to replace Morris. That is likely to have a significant impact on the output of the North Texas passing game in this matchup from Dallas.

Can Texas State Get to 8-5 With Bowl Win?

The Texas State Bobcats went 7-5 this season, winning three of their final four games in the regular season. Texas State nearly beat Arizona State at home early in the season, a game that has aged very well given that Arizona State earned a bye in the first round of the College Football Playoff since then. The Bobcats will look to close out a strong season with a win in this game, one that would move Texas State three games above the .500 mark at the end of their 2024 campaign.

This season, Texas State's offense was nothing short of spectacular. The Bobcats averaged 41.6 points per game, which ranked second in all of college football this season. They scored over 40 points in five of their 12 regular season games. Against a North Texas team that has struggled on defense at times, the Bobcats could put up another big number on the scoreboard to close out their year.

North Texas vs Texas State Prediction

We are going to take the under in the North Texas vs Texas State matchup in the First Responders Bowl. While Texas State should do plenty of scoring in this matchup, we don't expect the same from North Texas on offense. Look for the freshman quarterbacks for North Texas to struggle to put points on the board, which will help to keep this game under the total as two Texas-based teams do battle in their home state.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+15.5/-108
46% NTX
-15.5/-112
50% TXST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+507
7% NTX
-726
93% TXST

Total Pick Consensus

66.5/-108
47% UN
66.5/-112
53% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

NTX
Team Stats
TXST
13
GM
13
33.5
PPG
24.5
72.8
PLAYS-PG
67.6
488.8
YDS/G
357.6
6.7
YPP
5.3
23.8
1st DPG
19.7
14.5
1st DPass
9.7
6.7
1st DRush
7.8
2.6
1st Pen
2.2
7.0
Pen-Gm
6.3
59.5
Pen-Yds
48.6
0.6
FUM-G
0.7
1.1
INT-G
0.7

Defense/Offense

NTX
Team Stats
TXST
13
GM
13
34.2
PPG
36.5
74.6
PLAYS-PG
73.6
460.5
YDS/G
476.9
6.2
YPP
6.5
23.0
1st DPG
26.1
11.0
1st DPass
12.4
10.2
1st DRush
12.1
1.8
1st Pen
1.6
7.0
Pen-Gm
6.8
63.8
Pen-Yds
64.2
0.4
FUM-G
0.7
0.8
INT-G
1.1

Offense/Defense

NTX
Rushing
TXST
29.5
ATT
36.8
160.6
Y/G
143.0
5.4
Y/A
3.9
1.8
TD/G
1.8

Defense/Offense

NTX
Rushing
TXST
41.8
ATT
40.6
195.9
Y/G
208.2
4.7
Y/A
5.1
2.2
TD/G
2.1

Offense/Defense

NTX
Passing
TXST
27.2
CMP
17.7
43.2
ATT
30.8
62.8
CMP%
57.4
328.2
Y/G
214.6
7.6
Y/A
7
2.5
TD/G
1

Defense/Offense

NTX
Passing
TXST
20.1
CMP
23
32.8
ATT
33
61.3
CMP%
69.7
264.6
Y/G
268.7
8.1
Y/A
8.1
1.8
TD/G
2.4

NTX
Special Teams
TXST
3.6
Punts-GM
3.0
41.0
Punt Avg
37.1
2.2
Kick Ret GM
2.1
21.5
Kick Ret Avg
21.6
1.2
Punt Ret GM
1.6
9.6
Punt Ret Avg
16.7

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NTX TXST
NTX TXST
Consensus
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+10.0 (-108)
-10.0 (-108)
+15.5 (-108)
-15.5 (-112)
+9.5 (-108)
-9.5 (-115)
+14.5 (-108)
-14.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-105)
+16.0 (-110)
-16.0 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
NTX TXST
NTX TXST
Consensus
+281
-366
+507
-726
+295
-375
+470
-650
+270
-345
+480
-690
+280
-375
+540
-835
+285
-365
+500
-700
+290
-375
+475
-700
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
65.5 (-110)
65.5 (-110)
66.5 (-110)
66.5 (-111)
65.5 (-110)
65.5 (-110)
66.5 (-112)
66.5 (-108)
65.5 (-110)
65.5 (-110)
66.5 (-112)
66.5 (-108)
64.5 (-115)
64.5 (-105)
66.5 (-109)
66.5 (-112)
65.5 (-110)
65.5 (-110)
66.5 (-115)
66.5 (-105)
65.5 (-110)
65.5 (-110)
66.5 (-110)
66.5 (-110)

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