Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State Bulldogs

Sep 28, 2024

UNLV Rebels

UNLV Rebels
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Fresno State at UNLV Pick & Prediction – 9/28/2024

The Fresno State Bulldogs will take on the UNLV Rebels in a matchup on September 28, 2024. The betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Bulldogs as three-point underdogs. Early betting action shows that 9% of spread bets are on Fresno State, while 91% are on the Rebels. The total of 49 points has seen 43% of bets on the under and 57% on the over. Here, we break down Fresno State vs UNLV, a game that has become much more interesting thanks to some off-field happenings leading up to the game.

Fresno State Looks For Fourth Straight Win

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 3-1 heading into Saturday's massive matchup against UNLV in the Mountain West. After losing their season opener to the defending champion Michigan Wolverines, the Bulldogs have beaten Sacramento State out of the FCS along with New Mexico and New Mexico State. This week, Fresno State will face the best defense that they have faced since going up against Michigan in Ann Arbor. But it is the Fresno State defense that will be the most interesting part of this game for the Bulldogs, as they have to adjust to some major changes for the UNLV offense coming into this game.

NIL Drama Consumes UNLV Program

Going into this Fresno State vs UNLV matchup, the UNLV Rebels have been the biggest story in college football, but not in a good way. This week, starting quarterback Matthew Sluka announced that he was going to redshirt the rest of this season due to NIL commitments not being met at UNLV. That leaves the Rebels needing to replace Sluka without much time to prepare for this contest, which could hurt their chances of coming away with a key victory. While Sluka was by no means great through the air early in the season, a lack of continuity on offense could be devastating as UNLV looks to improve to 4-0 on the season with a win here.

Fresno State vs UNLV Best Bet

This Fresno State vs UNLV matchup will hinge on how well the Rebels can adjust to a change at the quarterback position. We don't see things going all that well in that department this week, as UNLV may need some time to get used to a new leader of their offense. We will take the points with Fresno State on the road here in a game they could win outright against a UNLV team that is clearly dealing with some problems off the field at this point in time.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-108
67% FREST
-2.5/-112
33% UNLV

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+113
19% FREST
-136
81% UNLV

Total Pick Consensus

51.0/-112
35% UN
51.0/-108
65% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

FREST
Team Stats
UNLV
10
GM
10
27.8
PPG
23.4
64.0
PLAYS-PG
71.5
348.8
YDS/G
372.0
5.5
YPP
5.2
19.5
1st DPG
20.6
11.3
1st DPass
12.0
5.8
1st DRush
6.3
2.4
1st Pen
2.3
5.7
Pen-Gm
6.9
53.6
Pen-Yds
63.0
0.1
FUM-G
0.3
1.3
INT-G
1.6

Defense/Offense

FREST
Team Stats
UNLV
10
GM
10
25.3
PPG
39.9
71.2
PLAYS-PG
66.1
349.0
YDS/G
435.1
4.9
YPP
6.6
20.5
1st DPG
21.9
9.0
1st DPass
8.2
9.1
1st DRush
11.8
2.4
1st Pen
1.9
7.2
Pen-Gm
5.7
65.4
Pen-Yds
53.8
0.5
FUM-G
0.2
1.3
INT-G
0.4

Offense/Defense

FREST
Rushing
UNLV
31.1
ATT
32.4
95.2
Y/G
111.5
3.1
Y/A
3.4
1.7
TD/G
1.4

Defense/Offense

FREST
Rushing
UNLV
36.5
ATT
44.0
149.0
Y/G
249.1
4.1
Y/A
5.7
1.1
TD/G
2.3

Offense/Defense

FREST
Passing
UNLV
23
CMP
22.8
32.9
ATT
39.1
69.9
CMP%
58.3
253.6
Y/G
260.5
7.7
Y/A
6.7
1.6
TD/G
1.6

Defense/Offense

FREST
Passing
UNLV
18.5
CMP
13.4
34.7
ATT
22.1
53.3
CMP%
60.6
200
Y/G
186
5.8
Y/A
8.4
1.6
TD/G
2

FREST
Special Teams
UNLV
4.2
Punts-GM
3.5
39.5
Punt Avg
42.1
1.5
Kick Ret GM
1.9
13.9
Kick Ret Avg
18.5
1.5
Punt Ret GM
2.5
14.0
Punt Ret Avg
12.2

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
FREST UNLV
FREST UNLV
Consensus
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
FREST UNLV
FREST UNLV
Consensus
+158
-190
+113
-136
+164
-198
+114
-135
+146
-176
+110
-132
+130
-157
+110
-134
+158
-190
+118
-140
+145
-175
+115
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
51.5 (-110)
51.5 (-110)
51.0 (-109)
51.0 (-111)
52.0 (-110)
52.0 (-110)
51.0 (-108)
51.0 (-112)
52.5 (-110)
52.5 (-110)
49.5 (-115)
49.5 (-105)
52.5 (-109)
52.5 (-112)
51.0 (-110)
51.0 (-110)
51.5 (-110)
51.5 (-110)
51.0 (-105)
51.0 (-115)
52.5 (-110)
52.5 (-110)
50.5 (-110)
50.5 (-110)