Florida State Seminoles

Florida State Seminoles

Sep 28, 2024

SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Florida State at SMU Preview and Betting Pick For 9/28/2024

The Florida State Seminoles will take on the SMU Mustangs on September 28, 2024 at 8:00 pm ET. DraftKings Sportsbook has opened with the Seminoles as 6-point underdogs. Currently, 19% of spread bets are on Florida State, while 81% are on SMU. The total of 48 has yet to see any significant action on either side. Here, we will preview Saturday's Florida State vs SMU matchup and give you our best bet for what should be an interesting contest in the ACC.

Florida State Looks to Even Conference Record

After a disastrous 0-3 start that included two losses to conference opponents, the Florida State Seminoles finally got into the win column last week with a 14-9 win over the Cal Golden Bears. That victory was by no means pretty for the Seminoles, but their defense did enough to lock Cal down, while Florida State benefited from some poor special teams play from their opponents. This week, Florida State will look for a second straight win that would bring them to 2-3 overall and 2-2 in the ACC if they can get it. But the offensive struggles of the Seminoles could continue to be a problem against an SMU team that can put up points in bunches.

SMU Set For First Conference Game In the ACC

SMU enters their first conference game as a member of the ACC with a 3-1 overall record. The Mustangs put up 66 points in a win over TCU in their final non-conference game leading up to league play last week. This week, the offense of SMU will have to contend with a better defense than they saw at any point in their non-conference schedule. But the Mustangs will also likely benefit from playing one of the worst offenses they have seen so far this season, as Florida State has averaged just 15 points per game through their first four games of the season.

Florida State vs SMU Best Bet

Though they got a win last week to end their season-opening losing streak, we still don't trust the Florida State Seminoles to deliver against high-quality competition just yet. The key to this Florida State vs SMU matchup will be whether or not Seminoles quarterback DJ Uiagalelei can find something in the passing game more consistently than he has. We do not expect that to happen and will lay the points with SMU as they should improve to 4-1 on the season with a win.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-110
24% FLST
-6.0/-110
76% SMU

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+181
6% FLST
-220
94% SMU

Total Pick Consensus

46.5/-110
50% UN
46.5/-110
50% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

FLST
Team Stats
SMU
10
GM
10
13.3
PPG
22.4
60.4
PLAYS-PG
71.0
258.9
YDS/G
348.6
4.3
YPP
4.9
14.2
1st DPG
19.2
8.2
1st DPass
11.4
4.9
1st DRush
5.3
1.1
1st Pen
2.5
6.3
Pen-Gm
7.6
53.0
Pen-Yds
67.5
0.4
FUM-G
0.6
1.3
INT-G
1.4

Defense/Offense

FLST
Team Stats
SMU
10
GM
10
29.8
PPG
39.9
68.2
PLAYS-PG
68.7
398.8
YDS/G
445.3
5.8
YPP
6.5
21.5
1st DPG
22.9
9.1
1st DPass
10.1
10.1
1st DRush
10.6
2.3
1st Pen
2.2
4.7
Pen-Gm
7.8
42.1
Pen-Yds
77.7
0.1
FUM-G
1.0
0.2
INT-G
0.7

Offense/Defense

FLST
Rushing
SMU
30.0
ATT
33.5
80.5
Y/G
99.0
2.7
Y/A
3.0
0.5
TD/G
1.0

Defense/Offense

FLST
Rushing
SMU
41.0
ATT
40.6
192.4
Y/G
190.9
4.7
Y/A
4.7
1.9
TD/G
2.4

Offense/Defense

FLST
Passing
SMU
14.8
CMP
20.8
30.4
ATT
37.5
48.7
CMP%
55.5
178.4
Y/G
249.6
5.9
Y/A
6.7
0.8
TD/G
1.9

Defense/Offense

FLST
Passing
SMU
16.8
CMP
17.8
27.2
ATT
28.1
61.8
CMP%
63.3
206.4
Y/G
254.4
7.6
Y/A
9.1
1.3
TD/G
1.9

FLST
Special Teams
SMU
5.0
Punts-GM
2.7
48.2
Punt Avg
45.1
2.3
Kick Ret GM
2.0
22.4
Kick Ret Avg
20.0
1.1
Punt Ret GM
1.8
0.5
Punt Ret Avg
8.7

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
FLST SMU
FLST SMU
Consensus
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-120)
-4.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-120)
-6.5 (-102)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
FLST SMU
FLST SMU
Consensus
+170
-205
+181
-220
+170
-205
+170
-205
+158
-194
+172
-210
+175
-220
+180
-225
+170
-205
+180
-220
+185
-225
+180
-225
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
46.0 (-110)
46.0 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
47.5 (-115)
47.5 (-106)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
47.0 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)
46.5 (-110)