Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Dec 26, 2024

Bowling Green Falcons

Bowling Green Falcons
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
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  • Props

Arkansas State vs Bowling Green 68 Ventures Bowl Best Bet – 12/26/2024

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will take on the Bowling Green Falcons in the 68 Ventures Bowl on December 26, 2024, at 9:00 pm EST. The betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook favor the Bowling Green Falcons by seven points going into the game. The total for the game is set at 50.5 points. Both teams will be looking to secure a win in this matchup, making it an exciting game to watch for fans and bettors alike. Be sure to tune in to see how these two teams stack up against each other on the field.

Before the 68 Ventures Bowl kicks off, you can continue reading to get our preview of Arkansas State vs Bowling Green. Here, you will find our breakdown of this matchup, including the most important key to the game for each team. You will also find our best bet for this game, which leans on our in-depth knowledge of college football and our decade-plus of using statistical modeling to project the outcome of college football games.

Which Arkansas State Defense Shows Up to Bowl Game?

Arkansas State went 7-5 this season and had a winning record in Sun Belt Conference play for the year. The Red Wolves will look to close their season out with a win, overcoming the college football odds by winning this game as an underdog. For that to happen, the Red Wolves will need to find some consistency on defense after a rough stretch on that side of the ball late in the regular season.

Arkansas State allowed 40 or more points twice in their final four games, including a game where they allowed 55 points to Louisiana. To make matters worse, starting cornerback Dontay Joyner has hit the transfer portal, receiving an offer from Michigan State that could take him out of this game. Unless the Red Wolves step up defensively, they could be in for a rough day at the 68 Ventures Bowl.

Bowling Green Looks to Rebound From MAC Disappointment

The Bowling Green Falcons could have made the MAC championship game had they won their regular season finale against Miami (OH). But the Falcons lost 28-12 at home in that game, dropping them out of the top-two in the conference and ending their conference title hopes. Here, the Falcons will look to rebound from that disappointing result as they take on Arkansas State in Mobile, AL.

For Bowling Green, the big story going into this game is the play of prolific tight end Harold Fannin. Fannin caught 100 passes for 1,342 yards and nine touchdowns this season, with many thinking he should have won the John Mackey Award over Penn State’s Tyler Warren. Fannin is expected to play in this game and he will look to make an impact for Bowling Green against an inconsistent Arkansas State defense.

Arkansas State vs Bowling Green Betting Pick

We will take the over as our best bet for Arkansas State vs Bowling Green in the 68 Ventures Bowl. Bowling Green should be able to move the ball consistently with Fannin as the ultimate safety valve. Meanwhile, Arkansas State should do their part offensively after scoring 27 or more points in their final three games of the regular season, as we expect an entertaining affair in Alabama.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+10.5/-112
31% ARKST
-10.5/-108
67% BOWLGR

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+303
12% ARKST
-388
88% BOWLGR

Total Pick Consensus

53.5/-112
37% UN
53.5/-108
63% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

ARKST
Team Stats
BOWLGR
13
GM
13
25.8
PPG
21.6
71.5
PLAYS-PG
62.5
384.4
YDS/G
331.3
5.4
YPP
5.3
21.8
1st DPG
17.5
11.1
1st DPass
8.3
8.7
1st DRush
7.8
2.1
1st Pen
1.4
5.6
Pen-Gm
5.2
51.7
Pen-Yds
44.0
0.6
FUM-G
0.2
0.8
INT-G
0.9

Defense/Offense

ARKST
Team Stats
BOWLGR
13
GM
13
32.2
PPG
27.1
67.1
PLAYS-PG
64.9
461.8
YDS/G
377.4
6.9
YPP
5.8
22.8
1st DPG
19.8
10.6
1st DPass
10.9
10.4
1st DRush
7.6
1.8
1st Pen
1.3
7.2
Pen-Gm
5.3
58.6
Pen-Yds
45.8
0.5
FUM-G
0.4
1.1
INT-G
0.5

Offense/Defense

ARKST
Rushing
BOWLGR
37.5
ATT
34.1
156.9
Y/G
145.9
4.2
Y/A
4.3
1.4
TD/G
1.1

Defense/Offense

ARKST
Rushing
BOWLGR
37.2
ATT
32.7
211.7
Y/G
136.8
5.7
Y/A
4.2
2.5
TD/G
1.5

Offense/Defense

ARKST
Passing
BOWLGR
21.1
CMP
16.5
34
ATT
28.5
62
CMP%
57.8
227.5
Y/G
185.4
6.7
Y/A
6.5
1.5
TD/G
1.3

Defense/Offense

ARKST
Passing
BOWLGR
18.8
CMP
21.2
29.9
ATT
32.2
63
CMP%
65.9
250.1
Y/G
240.6
8.4
Y/A
7.5
1.8
TD/G
1.5

ARKST
Special Teams
BOWLGR
4.5
Punts-GM
3.8
42.8
Punt Avg
40.8
2.5
Kick Ret GM
2.2
19.7
Kick Ret Avg
23.3
1.2
Punt Ret GM
1.8
18.5
Punt Ret Avg
4.5

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ARKST BOWLGR
ARKST BOWLGR
Consensus
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-112)
-7.0 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-120)
+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-118)
+10.0 (-114)
-10.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-115)
+10.0 (-105)
-10.0 (-115)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
ARKST BOWLGR
ARKST BOWLGR
Consensus
+212
-263
+303
-388
+210
-258
+300
-380
+198
-245
+290
-375
+210
-265
+300
-400
+210
-260
+300
-385
+200
-250
+275
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
50.5 (-110)
50.5 (-111)
53.5 (-111)
53.5 (-110)
50.5 (-112)
50.5 (-108)
54.5 (-108)
54.5 (-112)
49.5 (-115)
49.5 (-105)
53.5 (-114)
53.5 (-106)
50.5 (-108)
50.5 (-113)
53.5 (-112)
53.5 (-109)
50.5 (-110)
50.5 (-110)
53.5 (-110)
53.5 (-110)
50.5 (-110)
50.5 (-110)
53.5 (-115)
53.5 (-105)