Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas Razorbacks

Oct 26, 2024

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Pick & Prediction For 10/26/2024

The Arkansas Razorbacks will go head-to-head with the Mississippi State Bulldogs on October 26, 2024, at 12:45 pm ET. DraftKings Sportsbook has the Razorbacks as seven-point favorites, with 33% of spread bets in their favor. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have captured 67% of the betting action. With a total of 58, the majority of bets (91%) are leaning towards the under, while only 9% are favoring the over. Here, we break down Arkansas vs Mississippi State in the SEC.

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A Must-Win Game For Arkansas

Arkansas is 4-3 overall this season and 2-2 in SEC play. After winning their conference opener on the road against Auburn, the Razorbacks have dropped two of their last three conference contests, facing a tough schedule against LSU, Tennessee, and Texas A&M. This week, the Arkansas schedule lightens up briefly, as they face a struggling Mississippi State team. That makes this game one of vital importance for Arkansas, as they need to take advantage of their more winnable games like this one, while not taking for granted the fact that they are playing one of the softer opponents in the SEC.

Can Mississippi State Avoid Another SEC Loss?

Mississippi State is 1-6 overall this season and 0-4 so far in the SEC. The Bulldogs have lost six games in a row and are 0-6 against their FBS opponents this season, with their lone win coming against FCS Eastern Kentucky in their season opener. Mississippi State is also coming off of a brutal stretch of its schedule, playing its last three games against Texas, Georgia, and Texas A&M. They too will look to take advantage of a more beatable opponent this week, though that is anything but a guarantee with the way the Bulldogs have played this season.

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction

So far this year, Mississippi State has lost to every FBS opponent it has played by seven points or more. We will bank on that trend continuing in this weekend's Arkansas vs Mississippi State matchup. We will lay the points with Arkansas, who should be able to move back above the .500 mark for the season in conference play by extending Mississippi State's losing streak to seven games in a row.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-7.5/-108
72% ARK
+7.5/-112
28% MSPST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-293
84% ARK
+237
16% MSPST

Total Pick Consensus

55.0/-108
53% UN
55.0/-112
47% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

ARK
Team Stats
MSPST
12
GM
12
30.3
PPG
34.1
70.2
PLAYS-PG
72.0
451.2
YDS/G
456.4
6.4
YPP
6.3
24.5
1st DPG
23.8
11.8
1st DPass
11.3
11.4
1st DRush
10.8
1.3
1st Pen
1.8
6.9
Pen-Gm
6.3
61.0
Pen-Yds
58.8
1.1
FUM-G
0.4
0.8
INT-G
0.6

Defense/Offense

ARK
Team Stats
MSPST
12
GM
12
24.9
PPG
25.8
67.5
PLAYS-PG
65.6
366.0
YDS/G
377.2
5.4
YPP
5.8
19.7
1st DPG
20.3
10.8
1st DPass
10.2
6.3
1st DRush
7.8
2.5
1st Pen
2.3
6.8
Pen-Gm
6.8
56.8
Pen-Yds
60.3
0.4
FUM-G
0.8
0.7
INT-G
0.7

Offense/Defense

ARK
Rushing
MSPST
37.4
ATT
43.6
182.0
Y/G
216.9
4.9
Y/A
5.0
2.7
TD/G
2.0

Defense/Offense

ARK
Rushing
MSPST
35.5
ATT
34.9
121.8
Y/G
137.9
3.4
Y/A
3.9
1.1
TD/G
1.6

Offense/Defense

ARK
Passing
MSPST
20.3
CMP
20
32.8
ATT
28.4
62.1
CMP%
70.4
269.2
Y/G
239.5
8.2
Y/A
8.4
1.2
TD/G
1.9

Defense/Offense

ARK
Passing
MSPST
19.9
CMP
17.9
32
ATT
30.7
62.2
CMP%
58.4
244.2
Y/G
239.3
7.6
Y/A
7.8
1.8
TD/G
1.6

ARK
Special Teams
MSPST
3.1
Punts-GM
3.7
44.9
Punt Avg
44.8
1.1
Kick Ret GM
1.0
16.9
Kick Ret Avg
25.7
0.8
Punt Ret GM
1.5
6.8
Punt Ret Avg
9.1

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ARK MSPST
ARK MSPST
Consensus
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-109)
-8.5 (-108)
+8.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-115)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
ARK MSPST
ARK MSPST
Consensus
-275
+216
-293
+237
-345
+275
-285
+230
-275
+220
-285
+230
-275
+215
-315
+245
-292
+235
-292
+235
-275
+220
-300
+240
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
59.5 (-110)
59.5 (-112)
55.0 (-111)
55.0 (-109)
57.5 (-110)
57.5 (-110)
55.0 (-112)
55.0 (-108)
58.5 (-110)
58.5 (-110)
55.5 (-104)
55.5 (-118)
59.5 (-109)
59.5 (-112)
55.0 (-112)
55.0 (-109)
57.5 (-110)
57.5 (-110)
55.0 (-110)
55.0 (-110)
57.5 (-110)
57.5 (-110)
55.5 (-105)
55.5 (-115)