Air Force at Baylor Preview, Odds and Best Bet – 9/14/2024

In the upcoming game between the Air Force Falcons and the Baylor Bears on September 14, 2024, the Air Force Falcons are currently listed as 15.5 point underdogs according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Early betting action shows that 63% of spread bets are in favor of the Air Force Falcons, while the Baylor Bears have 37% of the bets. The total of 41.5 has seen 29% of bets placed on the under and 71% on the over. Here, we will break down this Air Force vs Baylor matchup and make our prediction for that contest from Waco.

Air Force Defense to Be Tested

Going into the third week of the college football season, the Air Force Falcons are 1-1. They started their season with a win over FCS Merrimack before losing to the San Jose State Spartans in their Mountain West Conference opener last week. Now, they go to Baylor to face their toughest challenge of the season so far on the defensive side of the ball.

The goal for Air Force in this game will be to run the ball on offense to control the ball and the clock. Doing so will give Baylor fewer chances to score and reduce the margin for error that Baylor has in this matchup. But with Air Force scoring just 28 points combined across their first two games they are going to need to find a way to move the ball beyond just moving it for a few yards at a time on the ground here.

Baylor Must Stop the Run On Saturday

The Baylor Bears are 1-1 to start their season, beating up on FCS Tarleton State before losing to Utah last week. Baylor made that Utah matchup a closer game than anticipated last week, with a hand injury to Cameron Rising of the Utes allowing Baylor to keep things respectable in that game. Here, the mission is clear for Baylor if they want to win this game comfortably and that is to stop the run.

So far this year, Air Force quarterback John Busha has just 125 passing yards through his team's first two games. We don't expect to see much passing from the visitors in this Air Force vs Baylor contest either. Therefore, Baylor will be able to load the box to try and force third and long situations, where Air Force will have to complete low-percentage passes to have a chance to compete.

Air Force vs Baylor Best Bet

It is hard to see Air Force putting up a ton of points in Saturday's Air Force vs Baylor matchup in college football. But we don't see Baylor putting up enough points to cover a big number either. Instead, we will take the under in this matchup, as Air Force should run the ball and keep the clock moving to keep the total score low.

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