A SEC battle is set for Tuesday night when the Tennessee Volunteers (14-3, 4-1 in SEC) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-5, 1-4). Tennessee is coming off a surprising loss over the weekend, while Mississippi State continued their poor conference form. Below is my college basketball pick for Tennessee vs Mississippi State.
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Tennessee -6.5 |
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This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum at 7:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 17, 2023.
Why Bet Tennessee -6.5
✅ Tennessee is 13-2 in their last 15 games played.
✅ The Vols are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games against the Bulldogs.
✅ Mississippi State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.
NCAABB
Tennessee Volunteers
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| TENN | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8 | Pace | 69.7 |
| 121.4 | Off.Rate | 97.2 |
| .338 | FTr | .350 |
| .423 | 3PAr | .405 |
| .601 | TS% | .522 |
| 57.6 | TRB% | 46.5 |
| 58.4 | AST% | 55.1 |
| 12.7 | STL% | 7.2 |
| 19.2 | BLK% | 7.6 |
| .571 | eFG% | .492 |
| 14.2 | TOV% | 18.1 |
| 40.0 | ORB% | 27.7 |
| .252 | TF/FGA | .234 |
Defense/Offense
| TENN | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8 | Pace | 69.7 |
| 83.7 | Off.Rate | 120.7 |
| .260 | FTr | .328 |
| .496 | 3PAr | .408 |
| .442 | TS% | .563 |
| 42.4 | TRB% | 53.5 |
| 47.1 | AST% | 58.0 |
| 9.0 | STL% | 14.2 |
| 5.7 | BLK% | 12.1 |
| .400 | eFG% | .538 |
| 18.8 | TOV% | 10.7 |
| 28.0 | ORB% | 35.8 |
| .194 | TF/FGA | .225 |
Betting Trends
| TENN | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 72.67 | Avg Score | 59 |
| 57.67 | Avg Opp Score | 60.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 72.67 | Avg Score | 61 |
| 58.67 | Avg Opp Score | 63.33 |
| TENN | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 73.6 | Avg Score | 59.4 |
| 57 | Avg Opp Score | 69.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 73.2 | Avg Score | 64 |
| 62 | Avg Opp Score | 63 |
| TENN | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 75.8 | Avg Score | 63.7 |
| 54.6 | Avg Opp Score | 63.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 69.8 | Avg Score | 66.5 |
| 60.1 | Avg Opp Score | 56.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Tennessee Volunteers
Last time out, Tennessee hosted the Kentucky Wildcats and suffered a surprising 63-56 defeat. The Volunteers scored the first eight points of the game, but the Wildcats ended the first half on a 33-18 run to lead by eight at the break. Kentucky was able to hold off all the Tennessee runs to get a massive road win. Tennessee led by as many as eight points, trailed by as much as nine, and lost outright as -10.5-point home favorites.
Uros Plavsic had 19 points, three rebounds, one assist, and one block in the loss. Santiago Vescovi added 13 points, one rebound, one assist, and four steals on the day.
Through 17 games, Tennessee is scoring 74.4 points per game, shooting 44.2% from the field, and assisting on 18.0 made shots. The Volunteers are allowing 54.0 points, grabbing 40.0 rebounds, blocking 4.1 shots, and stealing the ball 10.0 times.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State visited the #21 Auburn Tigers and left with a tough 69-63 loss. The Tigers were in control throughout this one, but the Bulldogs were able to stay within arm’s length for all 40 minutes. Unable to get over the hump and take the lead, the Bulldogs suffered yet another SEC loss. Mississippi State never led by more than two points, trailed by as much as 13, and covered the +7.0-point spread.
Tolu Smith had 20 points, 10 rebounds, and one assist on the night. Dashawn Davis added 13 points, three rebounds, four assists, and two steals in the defeat.
After 17 games, Mississippi State is scoring 65.6 points per game, shooting 40.9% from the field, and assisting on 14.5 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 57.5 points, grabbing 38.8 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 10.1 times.
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