Updated April 5, 2026
The 2026 NCAA Tournament will conclude with the men's championship game on Monday night, which will be played by the UConn Huskies and Michigan Wolverines. Michigan enjoyed another dominant performance to reach the national title game, while UConn showed its nerves of steel to hold on late once again on Final Four Saturday. Who will win the title game on Monday? Continue reading for my UConn vs Michigan prediction in college hoops.
The dominance of the Michigan Wolverines has been the story of this tournament so far. Michigan has won every game they have played in this tournament by double-digits, including a landslide victory over the Arizona Wildcats in the Final Four on Saturday. The Wolverines had over 20 points off turnovers in their semifinal victory, but may not be able to rely on as many mistakes against a disciplined UConn team.
Speaking of UConn, they held off a late charge to beat the Illinois Fighting Illini on Saturday. Tarris Reed Jr. was again the star for UConn in that game, scoring 17 points and pulling down 11 rebounds to help offset some struggles shooting from the outside for the Huskies. The question for UConn will be whether Reed can have another big game against the size that Michigan possesses, though the size of Illinois didn't do much to slow him down.
Another massive story is the health of Michigan's Yaxel Lendeborg. Lendeborg played just five minutes in the first half against Arizona due to a combination of foul trouble and injury issues. He was reportedly dealing with a knee sprain and an ankle injury, but looked excellent when he was on the floor. As long as Lendeborg can play, Michigan should like its chances to finish the job and win the title.
UConn Huskies
Michigan Wolverines
I took Michigan to win the championship once the bracket was released on Selection Sunday. I'm sticking with that decision in the title game and laying the points with the Wolverines. Lendeborg looked find when he was on the court for Michigan in the Final Four, despite his injury concerns. As long as that remains the case here, I think Michigan has enough size and strength to bother Reed and enough shooting to create separation en route to the national title.
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