South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks Pick – 3/12/2025

The SEC Tournament heats up as the No. 9 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (19-12, 8-10 SEC) face off against the No. 16 seed South Carolina Gamecocks (12-19, 2-16 SEC) on Wednesday, March 12, 2025, at 1:00 p.m. ET at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. This matchup offers intriguing opportunities for bettors, with both teams looking to advance in the tournament.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Game Preview

Arkansas enters the tournament with a 19-12 overall record and an 8-10 mark in SEC play. The Razorbacks have been led by Adou Thiero, who averages 15.7 points and 6.0 rebounds per game. D.J. Wagner contributes 11.1 points and 3.5 assists per contest, while Johnell Davis adds 1.7 three-pointers per game. Defensively, Thiero leads with 1.7 steals per game, and Zvonimir Ivisic averages 2.1 blocks per game.

South Carolina, on the other hand, has struggled this season, posting a 12-19 overall record and a 2-16 conference record. The Gamecocks are led by Collin Murray-Boyles, who averages 16.8 points and 8.1 rebounds per game. Jamarii Thomas adds 13.1 points and 3.0 assists per game, while also leading the team with 1.6 three-pointers per game. Defensively, Murray-Boyles contributes 1.4 steals and 1.4 blocks per game.

In their most recent encounter on March 1, 2025, South Carolina dominated Arkansas with a 72-53 victory. Murray-Boyles had a standout performance, scoring a career-high 35 points on 12-for-16 shooting. Arkansas struggled offensively, shooting just 28.8% from the field and 13.6% from three-point range.

Betting Insights

• Point Spread: Arkansas is favored by 3.5 points.
• Moneyline: Arkansas -156, South Carolina +130.
• Over/Under: 138.5 points.

Arkansas has been favored in 15 games this season, winning 12 of them, which translates to an 80% success rate. When favored by 3.5 points or more, they have a 38.5% cover rate. South Carolina has been an underdog in 20 games, winning only 2, resulting in a 10% success rate. As an underdog of 3.5 points or more, they have covered the spread 43.8% of the time.

Betting Trends

• Arkansas is 8-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 games.
• South Carolina is 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.
• The over is 10-2-1 in South Carolina's last 13 games as an underdog of 13.0 points or greater.
• The under is 5-2 in Arkansas' last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Prediction

Considering the recent performance and statistical advantages, Arkansas appears to be the stronger team. Despite their previous loss to South Carolina, the Razorbacks have shown resilience and have a more balanced offensive and defensive profile. South Carolina's inconsistency and struggles in conference play make it challenging to back them confidently. Therefore, the prediction is that Arkansas will cover the 3.5-point spread, with the final score projected to be around 75-69 in favor of the Razorbacks.