San Jose State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction – 3/13/2025

The Mountain West Conference Men's Basketball Tournament is heating up as the top-seeded New Mexico Lobos prepare to face the eighth-seeded San Jose State Spartans in a quarterfinal matchup. The game is scheduled for Thursday, March 13, 2025, at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, tipping off at 3:00 PM EDT. Both teams are eager to advance, but the Lobos enter as the clear favorites.

San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos Game Preview

The New Mexico Lobos (25-6, 17-3 MWC) have had an impressive season, clinching their first outright regular-season conference title in 12 years. Under the guidance of coach Richard Pitino, the Lobos have been dominant, boasting a potent offense that averages 80.9 points per game while allowing 71.4 points per game. They are currently on a three-game winning streak, including a recent 81-67 victory over UNLV. Senior center Nelly Junior Joseph has been a standout performer, contributing 26 points, 16 rebounds, four assists, two steals, and three blocks in that game.

On the other hand, the San Jose State Spartans (15-18, 8-13 MWC) have faced a challenging season but have shown resilience in recent games. They secured a 66-61 win over Wyoming in the first round of the tournament, marking their second consecutive victory. The Spartans' offense averages 70.9 points per game, while their defense concedes 74.5 points per game. Guard Josh Uduje has been a key player, averaging 16.1 points per game, and Donovan Yap delivered an impressive 30-point performance in the season finale against Fresno State.

Betting Insights

• Point Spread: New Mexico favored by 14.5 points
• Over/Under: 150.5 points
• Moneyline: New Mexico -1087, San Jose State +695

The Lobos have a 13-13 record against the spread (ATS) this season, while the Spartans have been more favorable for bettors, posting a 21-9 ATS record. The total has gone over in 19 of San Jose State's 31 games and in 11 of New Mexico's 26 games. Notably, in their most recent meeting on January 14, 2025, the Spartans edged out a 71-70 victory over the Lobos, highlighting their potential to challenge higher-seeded teams.

San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction

While the Spartans have demonstrated grit and the ability to compete, the Lobos' consistent performance throughout the season positions them favorably in this matchup. New Mexico's high-scoring offense and solid defense provide a balanced attack that could prove challenging for San Jose State to counter. Considering the betting odds and team dynamics, the Lobos are expected to secure a victory and cover the spread. However, bettors should remain cautious, as the Spartans have shown they can defy expectations.

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