A Big Ten blockbuster is set for Monday afternoon when the Purdue Boilermakers (16-1, 5-1 in Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (12-5, 4-2). Purdue rebounded nicely from their first loss of the season and have won three straight games. Michigan State has been good in conference play and sit in second place. Below is my college basketball betting pick for Purdue vs Michigan State.
Purdue vs Michigan State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Michigan State +3.5 |
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This game will be played at Breslin Center at 2:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 16, 2023.
Why Bet Michigan State +3.5
✅ Michigan State is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.
✅ The Spartans are 5-0 straight up in their last five home games.
✅ Purdue is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played.
NCAABB
Purdue Boilermakers
Michigan State Spartans
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| PUR | Advanced Game Stats | MST |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8 | Pace | 73.1 |
| 123.8 | Off.Rate | 90.9 |
| .443 | FTr | .286 |
| .394 | 3PAr | .392 |
| .637 | TS% | .478 |
| 51.9 | TRB% | 42.9 |
| 66.7 | AST% | 53.3 |
| 7.6 | STL% | 9.2 |
| 8.4 | BLK% | 6.8 |
| .620 | eFG% | .431 |
| 13.6 | TOV% | 16.0 |
| 28.2 | ORB% | 24.4 |
| .303 | TF/FGA | .224 |
Defense/Offense
| PUR | Advanced Game Stats | MST |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8 | Pace | 73.1 |
| 103.5 | Off.Rate | 113.5 |
| .218 | FTr | .410 |
| .385 | 3PAr | .313 |
| .512 | TS% | .543 |
| 48.1 | TRB% | 57.1 |
| 59.3 | AST% | 63.8 |
| 7.6 | STL% | 8.2 |
| 6.0 | BLK% | 13.4 |
| .484 | eFG% | .484 |
| 12.6 | TOV% | 12.6 |
| 29.5 | ORB% | 37.5 |
| .163 | TF/FGA | .328 |
Betting Trends
| PUR | Betting Trends | MST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 73.33 | Avg Score | 64.67 |
| 62.33 | Avg Opp Score | 64.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 70.67 | Avg Score | 74 |
| 64.67 | Avg Opp Score | 59 |
| PUR | Betting Trends | MST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 73.2 | Avg Score | 71.4 |
| 60.2 | Avg Opp Score | 63.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 75 | Avg Score | 71.4 |
| 65.8 | Avg Opp Score | 56.2 |
| PUR | Betting Trends | MST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 74.8 | Avg Score | 67.4 |
| 61.3 | Avg Opp Score | 61.9 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 71.5 | Avg Score | 71.5 |
| 68.1 | Avg Opp Score | 65 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Purdue Boilermakers
Last time out, Purdue hosted a very injured Nebraska Cornhuskers team and comfortably won 73-55. This game was non contest from the start as the Boilermakers jumped out to an early double-digit lead and never looked back. Purdue never trailed, led by as many as 22 points, and just covered the -16.0-point spread.
Fletcher Loyer had 27 points and three assists on the night. Zach Edey added 12 points, 13 rebounds, one assist, and four blocks in the victory.
Through 17 games, Purdue is scoring 75.8 points per game, shooting 45.9% from the field, and assisting on 15.4 made shots. The Boilermakers are allowing 61.1 points, grabbing 40.5 rebounds, blocking 4.2 shots, and stealing the ball 4.8 times.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State visited the Illinois Fighting Illini and suffered a 75-66 defeat. The Spartans were impressive for most of this game, leading until under 10 minutes remaining, but they could not finish the job. Illinois won the second half by 13 points and earned an important win. Michigan State led by as many as nine points, trailed by as many as nine, and could not cover the +6.0-point spread.
AJ Hoggard had 20 points, four rebounds, and one assist on the night. Joey Hauser added 11 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. After 17 games, Michigan State is scoring 70.1 points per game, shooting 44.5% from the field, and assisting on 15.5 made shots. The Spartans are allowing 65.5 points, grabbing 38.1 rebounds, blocking 3.1 shots, and stealing the ball 4.5 times.
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