Princeton vs Penn College Basketball ATS Prediction 1/16/23

Vincent Senick on January 17th, 2023

A classic Ivy League matchup is set for Monday night when the Princeton Tigers (12-5, 3-1 in Ivy League) visit the Penn Quakers (9-9, 2-2). Princeton is currently second in the conference and look like they are probably the best team in the Ivy. Below is my college basketball prediction for Princeton vs Penn.

Princeton vs Penn Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	Princeton -1.5
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This game will be played at The Palestra at 7:00 p.m. ET on Monday, January 16, 2023.

Why Bet Princeton -1.5

✅ Princeton is 6-0 against the spread in their last six games against Penn.

✅ The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last five road games.

✅ Penn is 1-7 straight up in their last eight home games against Princeton.

NCAABB

Jan 16, 2023 07:00 PM

Princeton Tigers

Pennsylvania Quakers

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A PRNCE

PENN N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-104

-118

N/A PRNCE

PENN N/A

Total Pick Consensus

144.5/

144.5/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

PRNCE	Team Stats Per Game	PENN
76.42	PTS GM	72.9
58.58	FGA	59.7
.455	FG%	.446
.383	3PT%	.394
8.83	ORB	12.4
2.05	DRB	2.63
33.42	TRB	38.7
17.92	FTA	14.6
.684	FT%	.753
15.58	AST	14.7
1.75	BLK	3.1
10.25	TO	10
15.83	PF	16.1

Defense/Offense

PRNCE	Team Stats Per Game	PENN
71	PTS GM	62.6
57.33	FGA	55.9
.438	FG%	.381
.341	3PT%	.275
9.25	ORB	11.6
2.1	DRB	2.25
34.5	TRB	34.1
17.92	FTA	19.9
.721	FT%	.658
13	AST	11.6
3.75	BLK	1.5
12.67	TO	11.3
16.42	PF	15

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

PRNCE	Advanced Game Stats	PENN
68.9	Pace	64.6
110.9	Off.Rate	112.8
.306	FTr	.245
.482	3PAr	.370
.569	TS%	.547
49.2	TRB%	53.2
58.4	AST%	55.3
10.8	STL%	9.1
5.1	BLK%	10.1
.548	eFG%	.518
13.3	TOV%	13.0
25.9	ORB%	35.5
.209	TF/FGA	.184

Defense/Offense

PRNCE	Advanced Game Stats	PENN
68.9	Pace	64.6
103.1	Off.Rate	96.8
.313	FTr	.356
.406	3PAr	.449
.539	TS%	.479
50.8	TRB%	46.8
51.8	AST%	54.5
9.3	STL%	7.6
12.4	BLK%	4.0
.507	eFG%	.443
16.1	TOV%	14.7
27.3	ORB%	30.6
.225	TF/FGA	.234

Betting Trends

PRNCE	Betting Trends	PENN
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
71	Avg Score	74.67
63	Avg Opp Score	72.67
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-1-0
71	Avg Score	83.67
63	Avg Opp Score	67.33

PRNCE	Betting Trends	PENN
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-2-0
74	Avg Score	78.6
65	Avg Opp Score	69.4
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-2-0
72	Avg Score	83.4
64.4	Avg Opp Score	72

PRNCE	Betting Trends	PENN
OVERALL		OVERALL
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
5-4-0	ATS W/L/P	5-4-0
74.6	Avg Score	77.6
64.6	Avg Opp Score	71.6
AWAY		HOME
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
6-3-1	ATS W/L/P	5-4-0
76.1	Avg Score	79.9
67.5	Avg Opp Score	73.1

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/05/2022	PRNCE PENN	153.5 2.5	-146 +119	93 70
01/17/2022	PENN PRNCE	146.5 -3.5	+140 -175	64 74
01/10/2020	PENN PRNCE	144.5 1.0	-120 +100	58 63
01/04/2020	PRNCE PENN	147.0 -7.0	+265 -330	78 64
01/12/2019	PRNCE PENN	141.0 -6.0	+225 -265	62 53
01/05/2019	PENN PRNCE	144.5 2.5	-140 +120	65 68
02/06/2018	PENN PRNCE	139.0 -5.5	+190 -230	82 65
01/06/2018	PRNCE PENN	140.0 -2.5	+125 -145	70 76
01/05/2018	PRNCE PENN	139.0 -2.5	+125 -145	0 0
03/11/2017	PRNCE PENN	127.5 8.0	-400 +310	72 64

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/20/24	UNLV PRNCE	224.1 -5.6	+235 -290	134 123
03/16/24	BROWN PRNCE	39.3 -2.7	+112 -151	26 23
03/09/24	PRNCE PENN	56.3 1.0	-113 +89	42 33
03/02/24	CORNEL PRNCE	142.1 -4.6	+162 -202	70 72
03/01/24	COLMB PRNCE	237.2 -21.2	+1004 -1738	114 137
02/24/24	PRNCE DART	204.8 23.8	-3643 +1687	104 86
02/23/24	PRNCE HARVRD	77.4 1.8	-147 +116	36 29
02/17/24	YALE PRNCE	152.8 -4.4	+164 -205	68 80
02/16/24	BROWN PRNCE	53.2 -5.1	+265 -468	24 27
02/10/24	PENN PRNCE	43.4 -3.4	+140 -208	22 24

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/09/24	PRNCE PENN	56.3 1.0	-113 +89	42 33
03/02/24	COLMB PENN	136.6 -3.2	+133 -163	66 77
03/01/24	CORNEL PENN	256.7 12.0	-323 +264	142 132
02/24/24	PENN HARVRD	218.6 -4.6	+202 -245	107 114
02/23/24	PENN DART	74.1 1.7	-126 +102	45 38
02/17/24	BROWN PENN	153.3 -6.0	+218 -275	78 70
02/16/24	YALE PENN	52.5 0.8	-92 +74	29 23
02/10/24	PENN PRNCE	43.4 -3.4	+140 -208	22 24
02/03/24	PENN YALE	117.2 -11.4	+580 -1001	49 63
02/02/24	PENN BROWN	228.9 -1.6	+163 -199	99 114

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Princeton Tigers

Last time out, Princeton visited the Brown Bears and left with a surprising 72-70 defeat. The Tigers were impressive in the first half, leading by eight at the half, but that lead quickly evaporated after the break. Brown took the lead six minutes into the second half and never gave it back as they finished off the upset. Princeton led by as much as 10, never trailed by more than eight, and lost outright as three-point road favorites.

Matt Allocco had 21 points, one rebound, and three assists on the day. Tosan Evbuomwan added 10 points, four rebounds, eight assists, and one steal in the loss.

Through 17 games, Princeton is scoring 74.9 points per game, shooting 47.6% from the field, and assisting on 14.4 made shots. The Tigers are allowing 64.7 points, grabbing 39.5 rebounds, blocking 3.2 shots, and stealing the ball 5.3 times.

Penn Quakers

Penn took a trip to Dartmouth and lost 75-71 to Big Green. The Quakers were impressive from late in the first until late in the second, but they could not finish the second half strong. Dartmouth took the lead with just over one minute left in the game and were able to hold on for the surprising win. Penn led by as much as 13 points, never trailed by more than four, and lost outright as five-point road favorites.

Nick Spinoso had 22 points, five rebounds, three assists, one steal, and one block in the defeat. Max Martz added 22 points, seven rebounds, one assist, and one steal on the day.

After 18 games, Penn is scoring 74.3 points per game, shooting 46.3% from the field, and assisting on 15.8 made shots. The Quakers are allowing 72.7 points, grabbing 36.6 rebounds, blocking 3.0 shots, and stealing the ball 5.7 times.