Ole Miss Rebels vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction – 3/28/2025

The Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament brings an exciting clash between the No. 6 seed Ole Miss Rebels and the No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans. Scheduled for Friday, March 28, 2025, at 7:09 p.m. Eastern Time at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia, this game promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams vie for a spot in the Elite Eight.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Michigan State Spartans Game Preview

Ole Miss enters this matchup with a 24-11 record, having recently secured a commanding 91-78 victory over the No. 3 seed Iowa State in the second round. The Rebels showcased a balanced offensive attack, with five players scoring in double figures. Guard Sean Pedulla led the charge with 20 points, while Jaemyn Brakefield contributed 19 points off the bench. The team demonstrated efficiency, shooting 58.2% from the field and 57.9% from beyond the arc, while committing only eight turnovers.

On the other side, Michigan State boasts a 29-6 record and advanced to the Sweet 16 by defeating New Mexico 71-63 in the second round. Guard Jaden Akins was instrumental, scoring 16 points, including a pivotal three-pointer that secured the lead. The Spartans displayed resilience, overcoming a 48.2% shooting performance by New Mexico and capitalizing on their own 44.4% shooting. They also maintained control with just nine turnovers and a 34-28 rebounding advantage.

Betting Insights

As of the latest odds, Michigan State is favored by 3.5 points, with a moneyline of -170, while Ole Miss stands at +146. The over/under for the game is set at 144 points. Notably, Michigan State has covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games, indicating strong performance against expectations. Conversely, Ole Miss has covered the spread in four of their last six games, showcasing their ability to exceed projections.

Key player statistics to consider include:

• Michigan State Spartans:
  • Jaden Akins: 12.7 points per game, 3.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists
  • Jase Richardson: 11.9 points per game, 3.2 rebounds, 2.0 assists
• Ole Miss Rebels:
  • Sean Pedulla: 15.2 points per game, 3.5 rebounds, 3.7 assists
  • Jaemyn Brakefield: 11.1 points per game, 4.3 rebounds, 1.8 assists

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction

Analyzing the current form and statistical performance of both teams, this matchup is poised to be closely contested. Michigan State's defensive prowess, allowing an average of 67.2 points per game on 40.3% shooting during the regular season, could pose challenges for Ole Miss's offense. However, the Rebels' recent offensive efficiency, particularly their three-point shooting, suggests they have the capability to counter the Spartans' defense.

Considering the betting odds and team performances, a prudent approach would be to favor Michigan State to win and cover the spread. The Spartans' consistent ability to meet and exceed expectations, coupled with their defensive strength, positions them as the likely victors in this encounter. A final score prediction would be Michigan State 75, Ole Miss 69, with the Spartans advancing to the Elite Eight.