The best rivalry in college basketball is renewed when the North Carolina Tar Heels (15-7, 7-4 in ACC) visit the Duke Blue Devils (16-6, 7-4) Saturday night. Both teams have struggled a bit in conference play, but the winner will be in good position to earn a top four spot. Below is my college basketball prediction for North Carolina vs Duke.
North Carolina vs Duke Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Duke -3 |
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This game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 4, 2023.
Why Bet Duke -3
✅ Duke is 11-0 in their last 11 home games.
✅ The Blue Devils are 3-1 in their last four games overall.
✅ North Carolina is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played.
NCAABB
North Carolina Tar Heels
Duke Blue Devils
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| NCAR | Advanced Game Stats | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4 | Pace | 71.0 |
| 126.4 | Off.Rate | 81.7 |
| .397 | FTr | .224 |
| .377 | 3PAr | .419 |
| .590 | TS% | .435 |
| 55.8 | TRB% | 42.5 |
| 53.7 | AST% | 50.6 |
| 9.3 | STL% | 9.5 |
| 13.7 | BLK% | 7.2 |
| .532 | eFG% | .390 |
| 9.7 | TOV% | 17.6 |
| 34.2 | ORB% | 23.9 |
| .338 | TF/FGA | .183 |
Defense/Offense
| NCAR | Advanced Game Stats | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4 | Pace | 71.0 |
| 98.6 | Off.Rate | 124.6 |
| .212 | FTr | .247 |
| .409 | 3PAr | .483 |
| .512 | TS% | .593 |
| 44.2 | TRB% | 57.5 |
| 42.7 | AST% | 56.3 |
| 4.4 | STL% | 12.3 |
| 7.9 | BLK% | 12.9 |
| .480 | eFG% | .569 |
| 13.2 | TOV% | 11.3 |
| 24.2 | ORB% | 36.6 |
| .167 | TF/FGA | .187 |
Betting Trends
| NCAR | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 72 | Avg Score | 78.67 |
| 67.33 | Avg Opp Score | 64.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
| 70 | Avg Score | 73.33 |
| 64 | Avg Opp Score | 69.33 |
| NCAR | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 73.6 | Avg Score | 73.6 |
| 65 | Avg Opp Score | 66.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 74.6 | Avg Score | 77.6 |
| 70.4 | Avg Opp Score | 66 |
| NCAR | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-8-0 |
| 74.9 | Avg Score | 72.6 |
| 68.5 | Avg Opp Score | 69.7 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
| 2-8-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 76.5 | Avg Score | 76.4 |
| 76.3 | Avg Opp Score | 62.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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North Carolina Tar Heels
Last time out, North Carolina hosted the Pitt Panthers and suffered a tough 65-64 defeat. This game was tight throughout and produced a fascinating final two minutes. The Tar Heels trailed by one with 1:47 left, but took the lead and led until there was three seconds left in the game. Jamarius Burton was fouled and made both free throws to give the Panthers the massive road win. North Carolina led by as many as seven points, trailed by seven, and lost outright as nine-point home favorites.
Caleb Love had 22 points, six rebounds, and one assists on the night. Armando Bacot added 15 points, 11 rebounds, one assist, and two blocks in the loss.
Through 22 games, North Carolina is scoring 78.5 points per game, shooting 44.8% from the field, and assisting on 12.5 made shots. The Tar Heels are allowing 71.7 points, grabbing 39.3 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 6.0 times.
Duke Blue Devils
The Duke Blue Devils won their last game, taking care of business at home against Wake Forest. They kept the Demon Deacons at arm’s length for much of that game, ultimately winning by a bucket thanks to a late three as time expired for the Demon Deacons. In this game, the Blue Devils will look to get the better of their bitter rival to try and make a statement that they should be ranked.
Coming into this game, the Blue Devils are averaging 72.9 points per game on 44.1% shooting. They are led by Kyle Filipowski, who is averaging 15.8 points per game for Duke. Defensively, Duke is allowing 63.7 points per game on the year.
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