A bottom of the standings SEC tilt is set for Wednesday night when the LSU Tigers (12-11, 1-9 in SEC) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-8, 3-7). These are two of the worst four teams in the conference, but the Bulldogs enter this game on a three-game winning streak. Below is my college basketball pick for LSU vs Mississippi State.
LSU vs Mississippi State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Mississippi State -9 |
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This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum at 9:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 8, 2023.
Why Bet Mississippi State -9
✅ Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in their last five games played.
✅ The Bulldogs are 15-5 in their last 20 home games.
✅ LSU is 0-10 in their last 10 games played.
NCAABB
LSU Tigers
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| LSU | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9 | Pace | 72.6 |
| 110.2 | Off.Rate | 92.9 |
| .399 | FTr | .391 |
| .399 | 3PAr | .402 |
| .566 | TS% | .506 |
| 53.7 | TRB% | 48.4 |
| 47.0 | AST% | 55.3 |
| 8.3 | STL% | 5.8 |
| 11.3 | BLK% | 7.1 |
| .528 | eFG% | .468 |
| 16.9 | TOV% | 19.7 |
| 34.7 | ORB% | 29.1 |
| .290 | TF/FGA | .263 |
Defense/Offense
| LSU | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9 | Pace | 72.6 |
| 93.9 | Off.Rate | 120.7 |
| .337 | FTr | .329 |
| .330 | 3PAr | .410 |
| .467 | TS% | .567 |
| 46.3 | TRB% | 51.6 |
| 38.3 | AST% | 60.5 |
| 10.9 | STL% | 16.0 |
| 8.7 | BLK% | 15.5 |
| .416 | eFG% | .539 |
| 14.2 | TOV% | 10.0 |
| 30.7 | ORB% | 33.7 |
| .251 | TF/FGA | .234 |
Betting Trends
| LSU | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 71.33 | Avg Score | 70 |
| 80.67 | Avg Opp Score | 59 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 61 | Avg Score | 67.67 |
| 84.33 | Avg Opp Score | 62.33 |
| LSU | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 62 | Avg Score | 66.4 |
| 75.8 | Avg Opp Score | 60.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 62 | Avg Score | 65.2 |
| 79.2 | Avg Opp Score | 62.2 |
| LSU | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-10-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
| 2-8-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 60.8 | Avg Score | 62.1 |
| 76.2 | Avg Opp Score | 64.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 65.7 | Avg Score | 66.4 |
| 74.1 | Avg Opp Score | 62.4 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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LSU Tigers
Last time out, LSU hosted the #4 Alabama Crimson Tide and suffered a routing 79-69 defeat. The Crimson Tide were in complete control of this game throughout, but they could never quite get to the point where they could put in the bench. LSU is a bad team, and they cannot wait for this season to end. The Tigers trailed by as many as 12 points, led by four, and covered the +11.5-point spread.
Derek Fountain had 26 points, seven rebounds, two assists, and four blocks in the loss.
Through 23 games, LSU is scoring 67.1 points per game, shooting 41.3% from the field, and assisting on 12.4 made shots. The Tigers are allowing 69.0 points, grabbing 34.9 rebounds, blocking 2.9 shots, and stealing the ball 7.2 times.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State hosted the Missouri Tigers and earned a comfortable 63-52 victory. The Bulldogs were in control most of this game as they put together one of the more impressive performances of 2023. Trailing by six points at the half, the Tigers could never claw their way back into the game. Mississippi State ed by as many as 15 points, never trailed in the game, and covered the -3.5-point spread.
Tolu Smith had 25 points, 12 rebounds, two assists, and one block in the game. Cameron Matthews added 10 points, seven rebounds, two assists, and three steals in the win.
After 23 games, Mississippi State is scoring 65.5 points per game, shooting 41.6% from the field, and assisting on 14.5 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 58.7 points, grabbing 38.0 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 9.6 times.
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