A fun American Athletic Conference game is set for Wednesday night when the Houston Cougars (18-2, 6-1 in AAC) visit the UCF Knights (13-6, 4-3). Houston is coming off their first conference loss of the season, but they are still one of the top teams in the country. Below is my college basketball prediction for Houston vs UCF.
Houston vs UCF Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Houston -7 |
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This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena at 7:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 25, 2023.
Why Bet Houston -7
✅ Houston is 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games.
✅ The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Knights.
✅ UCF is 0-6 in their last six games against Houston.
NCAABB
Houston Cougars
UCF Knights
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| HOU | Advanced Game Stats | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 62.9 | Pace | 71.0 |
| 119.2 | Off.Rate | 101.5 |
| .273 | FTr | .282 |
| .331 | 3PAr | .400 |
| .555 | TS% | .519 |
| 53.9 | TRB% | 48.5 |
| 49.4 | AST% | 50.2 |
| 12.6 | STL% | 9.1 |
| 19.3 | BLK% | 7.6 |
| .526 | eFG% | .489 |
| 11.7 | TOV% | 16.9 |
| 37.6 | ORB% | 32.5 |
| .201 | TF/FGA | .200 |
Defense/Offense
| HOU | Advanced Game Stats | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 62.9 | Pace | 71.0 |
| 87.4 | Off.Rate | 109.0 |
| .386 | FTr | .400 |
| .468 | 3PAr | .392 |
| .468 | TS% | .538 |
| 46.1 | TRB% | 51.5 |
| 55.6 | AST% | 58.6 |
| 6.9 | STL% | 11.4 |
| 7.3 | BLK% | 12.6 |
| .417 | eFG% | .488 |
| 19.2 | TOV% | 13.9 |
| 29.8 | ORB% | 35.1 |
| .272 | TF/FGA | .305 |
Betting Trends
| HOU | Betting Trends | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 72.67 | Avg Score | 82.67 |
| 64.33 | Avg Opp Score | 88.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-0-1 |
| 80.33 | Avg Score | 81.33 |
| 56.33 | Avg Opp Score | 67.33 |
| HOU | Betting Trends | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 75.4 | Avg Score | 79.4 |
| 61 | Avg Opp Score | 76 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 72.6 | Avg Score | 76.6 |
| 55.6 | Avg Opp Score | 65.6 |
| HOU | Betting Trends | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
| 76.3 | Avg Score | 72.5 |
| 57.1 | Avg Opp Score | 68.3 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-3-2 |
| 69.4 | Avg Score | 73.5 |
| 55.2 | Avg Opp Score | 62.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Houston Cougars
Last time out, Houston hosted the Temple Owls and suffered a shocking 56-55 defeat. The Cougars could never find a groove in this one as the Owls defense came up big and kept it close. Temple was ahead most of the game and were able to hold on for one of the more surprising upsets this season. Houston trailed by as many as seven points, never led by more than three, and lost outright as 19-point home favorites.
Marcus Sasser had 12 points, three rebounds, five assists, and four steals on the day. Jamal Shead added 13 points, five rebounds, one assist, and one steal in the loss.
Through 20 games, Houston is scoring 75.1 points per game, shooting 46.5% from the field, and assisting on 14.4 made shots. The Cougars are allowing 53.4 points, grabbing 39.5 rebounds, blocking 5.1 shots, and stealing the ball 8.7 times.
UCF Knights
UCF visited the South Florida Bulls and were easily beaten 85-72. This was a close game for 24 minutes, but the Bulls started gaining some steam and rolled through the Knights. A poor performance by the Knights. UCF trailed by as many as 15 points, never led by more than three, and lost outright as -3.5-point road favorites.
C.J. Kelly came off the bench and had 18 points, five rebounds, four assists, one steal, and one block in the defeat.
After 19 games, UCF is scoring 72.1 points per game, shooting 43.0% from the field, and assisting on 13.7 made shots. The Knights are allowing 64.5 points, grabbing 37.3 rebounds, blocking 4.1 shots, and stealing the ball 6.5 times.
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