A West Coast Conference blockbuster is set for late Saturday night when the #12 Gonzaga Bulldogs (19-4, 8-1 in WCC) visit the #18 Saint Mary’s Gaels (20-4, 9-0). Saint Mary’s can get one step closer to a WCC regular season title with a win and will prove to themselves that they are a different team this year. Below is my college basketball prediction for Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s.
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Saint Mary’s -3.5 |
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This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 4, 2023.
Why Bet Saint Mary’s -3.5
✅ Saint Mary’s is 10-0 in their last 10 games played.
✅ The Gaels are 6-0 in their last six home games.
✅ Gonzaga is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
NCAABB
Gonzaga Bulldogs
Saint Mary's Gaels
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| GNZG | Advanced Game Stats | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| 74.9 | Pace | 66.7 |
| 134.5 | Off.Rate | 105.4 |
| .297 | FTr | .242 |
| .368 | 3PAr | .335 |
| .633 | TS% | .520 |
| 59.1 | TRB% | 38.0 |
| 59.8 | AST% | 64.1 |
| 14.2 | STL% | 7.5 |
| 10.1 | BLK% | 5.0 |
| .610 | eFG% | .497 |
| 10.5 | TOV% | 11.4 |
| 38.0 | ORB% | 22.7 |
| .225 | TF/FGA | .165 |
Defense/Offense
| GNZG | Advanced Game Stats | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| 74.9 | Pace | 66.7 |
| 87.7 | Off.Rate | 124.4 |
| .297 | FTr | .449 |
| .377 | 3PAr | .324 |
| .493 | TS% | .583 |
| 40.9 | TRB% | 62.0 |
| 35.2 | AST% | 58.6 |
| 7.6 | STL% | 8.5 |
| 6.8 | BLK% | 7.4 |
| .449 | eFG% | .543 |
| 19.1 | TOV% | 12.3 |
| 20.5 | ORB% | 45.6 |
| .229 | TF/FGA | .330 |
Betting Trends
| GNZG | Betting Trends | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 89.67 | Avg Score | 67.33 |
| 75.67 | Avg Opp Score | 57.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
| 85.33 | Avg Score | 73.67 |
| 77 | Avg Opp Score | 59.67 |
| GNZG | Betting Trends | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 90.2 | Avg Score | 70.6 |
| 74 | Avg Opp Score | 55.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-1 |
| 82.8 | Avg Score | 78 |
| 76.4 | Avg Opp Score | 57.2 |
| GNZG | Betting Trends | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
| 4-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-3-1 |
| 91.5 | Avg Score | 75 |
| 72.5 | Avg Opp Score | 56.9 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-2-2 |
| 80.8 | Avg Score | 75 |
| 75.3 | Avg Opp Score | 58.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Gonzaga Bulldogs
Last time out, Gonzaga hosted the Santa Clara Broncos and comfortably won 88-70. The Bulldogs wasted no time in this one as they built a 19-point halftime lead and never looked back. Santa Clara kept fighting, but were never able to get back into the game. Gonzaga led by as many as 22 points, never trailed by more than three, and covered the -13.5-point spread.
Drew Timme had 15 points, 11 rebounds, five assists, one steal, and one block on the night. Julian Strawther added 16 points, three rebounds, three assists, one steal, and one block in the victory.
Through 23 games, Gonzaga is scoring 86.4 points per game, shooting 52.1% from the field, and assisting on 16.6 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 73.2 points, grabbing 37.3 rebounds, blocking 3.1 shots, and stealing the ball 7.9 times.
Saint Mary’s Gaels
Saint Mary’s welcomed the San Francisco Dons and had to fight to win 68-59. It was a tight first 10 minutes, but the Gaels went on a run and built a nine-point advantage at the break. Coming out of halftime fast, the Dons fought back and made it a one-possession game late. Ultimately, the Gaels ended the game on another big run to earn the win. Saint Mary’s led by as many as 13 points, never trailed by more than three, and could not cover the -12.5-point spread.
Alex Ducas had 18 points, eight rebounds, and two blocks in the game. Mitchell Saxen added 10 points, 10 rebounds, one assist, one steal, and two blocks in the victory.
After 24 games, Saint Mary’s is scoring 71.3 points per game, shooting 46.1% from the field, and assisting on 12.7 made shots. The Gaels are allowing 57.2 points, grabbing 36.5 rebounds, blocking 3.6 shots, and stealing the ball 7.5 times.
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