Florida Gators

Florida Gators

Feb 11, 2025

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction – 2/11/2025

The anticipation is buzzing as the Florida Gators set to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on February 11, 2025, at 7:00 pm EST. With the opening betting odds pegging the Bulldogs as +1.5 underdogs, this matchup promises to deliver nail-biting action on the court. Will the Gators assert their dominance, or will the Bulldogs defend their home ground with vigor? Let’s dive into what you need to know, including key betting insights and a pick analysis that could give you the edge.

Overview of Florida Gators

The Florida Gators have consistently been a formidable force in college basketball, characterized by their potent offense and tenacious defense. Known for executing a fast-paced game, they have a reputation for pushing opponents to the limit, often outpacing them with quick transitions and aggressive play. Their record this season reflects a team that knows how to capitalize on opportunities, often pulling away in the second half with strategic adjustments. The Gators’ ability to adapt, combined with their extensive experience playing under pressure, makes them a tough contender, especially as the season heats up.

Overview of Mississippi State Bulldogs

Conversely, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are known for their gritty and resilient style of play. As their current standing suggests, the Bulldogs thrive on controlling the pace of the game, emphasizing solid defensive play and capitalizing on opponent errors. Playing at home offers the Bulldogs a familiar advantage, where their disciplined approach and strong home-court performance have often led them to skimp victories. This season, their strategy of applying constant defensive pressure has paid dividends, especially in tightly contested matchups. Their resilience and tactical prowess make them a worthy opponent for any team visiting their court.

Betting Insights

When looking at the betting landscape for this game, bettors will find intriguing possibilities. The Bulldogs being +1.5 underdogs suggests that despite Florida's prowess, Mississippi State’s home advantage is not to be underestimated. The total is set at 152.0, indicating expectations of an entertaining, high-scoring affair. The Gators' track record in converting turnovers into points could potentially exploit the Bulldogs if they aren't careful. Evaluating team trends, such as each side’s performance against the spread (ATS) in recent games, can provide essential clues toward making a more informed bet.

Key Factors

Several critical factors could influence the outcome of this game. Florida’s ability to maintain their offensive tempo and effectively break through the Bulldogs’ defensive setup will be crucial. On the other hand, Mississippi State will aim to leverage their defensive strength, curbing the Gators’ scoring opportunities to turn the tide in their favor. Watch for momentum shifts, particularly at crucial junctures in the game, which could swing betting scenarios rapidly. Additionally, the effectiveness of each team’s bench and their contribution can often be the unsung hero in tightly matched contests.

Pick and Analysis

Given the dynamics of both teams, the pick here leans towards the Florida Gators covering the spread of -1.5. While Mississippi State’s home record and defensive grit offer substantial challenges, Florida's propensity to adjust strategies effectively and execute on both ends of the court under pressure gives them a slight edge. The expected high pace could play into Florida’s hands more favorably, as their track record shows effectiveness in high-scoring games. For those considering the total, betting on the over at 152.0 seems plausible, based on both the offensive profiles and the likelihood of a closely contested encounter leading to scoring surges in the second half. In a matchup where every possession will count, look for the Gators to outlast the Bulldogs in what promises to be a thrilling game.

Visit the NCAABB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-112
91% FL
-2.5/-108
9% MSPST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+116
76% FL
-140
24% MSPST

Total Pick Consensus

154.5/-108
57% UN
154.5/-112
43% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Advanced Game Stats
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

FL
Team Stats Per Game
MSPST
84.48
PTS GM
74.15
64.16
FGA
57.76
.469
FG%
.439
.352
3PT%
.361
13.97
ORB
10.55
0.92
DRB
0.76
42.42
TRB
35.64
20.32
FTA
20.45
.711
FT%
.695
15.84
AST
13.48
4.74
BLK
3.15
10.68
TO
13.39
16.81
PF
17.33

Defense/Offense

FL
Team Stats Per Game
MSPST
68.19
PTS GM
79.76
60.65
FGA
63.48
.395
FG%
.451
.296
3PT%
.314
11.39
ORB
12.97
0.73
DRB
0.76
34.03
TRB
38.15
19.32
FTA
20.09
.710
FT%
.700
11.03
AST
15.27
3.13
BLK
4.61
12.32
TO
10.64
16.94
PF
17.36

Offense/Defense

FL
Advanced Game Stats
MSPST
70.6
Pace
69.7
119.6
Off.Rate
105.2
.317
FTr
.354
.438
3PAr
.442
.572
TS%
.549
55.5
TRB%
48.3
52.7
AST%
53.2
11.1
STL%
8.7
12.4
BLK%
8.6
.546
eFG%
.519
12.6
TOV%
16.6
38.1
ORB%
29.5
.225
TF/FGA
.246

Defense/Offense

FL
Advanced Game Stats
MSPST
70.6
Pace
69.7
96.5
Off.Rate
113.1
.319
FTr
.316
.369
3PAr
.423
.488
TS%
.546
44.5
TRB%
51.7
46.1
AST%
53.3
8.9
STL%
13.1
8.7
BLK%
14.3
.449
eFG%
.517
15.0
TOV%
12.7
28.6
ORB%
34.1
.226
TF/FGA
.221

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
FL MSPST
FL MSPST
Consensus
-4.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-114)
-2.5 (-108)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-113)
+4.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-108)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-115)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
FL MSPST
FL MSPST
Consensus
-195
+155
+116
-140
-192
+160
+124
-148
-134
+112
+114
-137
-195
+155
+112
-137
-125
+105
+130
-155
-145
+120
+118
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
153.5 (-113)
153.5 (-108)
154.5 (-109)
154.5 (-112)
151.5 (-110)
151.5 (-110)
154.5 (-112)
154.5 (-108)
151.5 (-110)
151.5 (-110)
153.5 (-115)
153.5 (-105)
153.5 (-113)
153.5 (-108)
154.5 (-106)
154.5 (-114)
151.5 (-110)
151.5 (-110)
154.5 (-115)
154.5 (-105)
151.5 (-105)
151.5 (-115)
154.5 (-110)
154.5 (-110)

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