Chattanooga Mocs vs Dayton Flyers Pick – 3/22/2025

The National Invitation Tournament (NIT) continues with an exciting second-round game between the Chattanooga Mocs and the Dayton Flyers. Both teams are coming off impressive first-round victories and are eager to advance further in the tournament. This game is scheduled for Saturday, March 22, 2025, at 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time at McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Chattanooga Mocs vs. Dayton Flyers Game Preview

The Chattanooga Mocs (25-9) have demonstrated strong performance throughout the season, culminating in a thrilling triple-overtime victory over Middle Tennessee in the NIT's first round. In that game, Bash Wieland led the team with 31 points, while Trey Bonham contributed a double-double with 27 points and 10 rebounds. Honor Huff added 14 points, including a crucial three-pointer in the final moments of the third overtime. The Mocs' offense has been potent, averaging 79.7 points per game and shooting 48.1% from the field. Their defense, however, has allowed an average of 72.9 points per game.

The Dayton Flyers (23-10) secured their spot in the second round by defeating Florida Atlantic 86-79. Guard Javon Bennett was instrumental in the win, scoring 30 points and hitting eight three-pointers. Forward Nate Santos added 15 points, and Enoch Cheeks contributed 12 points. The Flyers have been consistent offensively, averaging 75.5 points per game on 46.0% shooting. Defensively, they have held opponents to 70.3 points per game.

Betting Insights

• Point Spread: Dayton is favored by 2.5 points.
• Over/Under: The total points line is set at 150.5.

Both teams have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season. Chattanooga boasts a 20-12 ATS record, while Dayton stands at 16-16 ATS. The Mocs have covered the spread in 17 of their last 24 games, and the Flyers have covered in six of their last ten road games. Notably, Chattanooga has won 13 of its last 14 games, indicating strong momentum heading into this matchup.

Chattanooga Mocs vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction

This game features two evenly matched teams with potent offenses and capable defenses. Chattanooga's home-court advantage and recent form give them a slight edge. Their ability to score efficiently and the momentum from their recent triple-overtime victory suggest they can keep the game close and potentially secure a win. Dayton's experience and recent performance, particularly Bennett's shooting prowess, make them formidable opponents.

Considering the betting lines and team performances, the recommendation is to take Chattanooga to cover the +2.5 point spread. Additionally, given both teams' offensive capabilities and recent trends, the total points are likely to exceed 150.5, making the over a favorable bet.

Final Prediction: Chattanooga Mocs to cover +2.5; Over 150.5 total points.