A Big12/SEC challenge battle is set for Saturday afternoon when the Arkansas Razorbacks (14-6, 0-4 away) visit the #17 Baylor Bears (15-5- 9-2 home). Arkansas has taken advantage of favorable opponents to win two games in a row, while Baylor enters this game on a five-game winning streak. Below is my college basketball best bet for Arkansas vs Baylor.
Arkansas vs Baylor Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Baylor -4.5 |
| ? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: | First Bet on Caesars up to $1,250 |
| ? Promo Code: | ATSBONUSFULL |
This game will be played at Ferrell Center at 4:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 28, 2023.
Why Bet Baylor -4.5
✅ Baylor is 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five games.
✅ The Bears are 15-2 in their last 17 home games.
✅ Arkansas is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games played.
NCAABB
Arkansas Razorbacks
Baylor Bears
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| ARK | Advanced Game Stats | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3 | Pace | 69.6 |
| 100.1 | Off.Rate | 112.6 |
| .215 | FTr | .207 |
| .350 | 3PAr | .420 |
| .533 | TS% | .569 |
| 51.0 | TRB% | 49.5 |
| 45.1 | AST% | 60.0 |
| 15.4 | STL% | 9.6 |
| 21.8 | BLK% | 9.7 |
| .517 | eFG% | .553 |
| 15.9 | TOV% | 15.5 |
| 27.6 | ORB% | 35.0 |
| .141 | TF/FGA | .144 |
Defense/Offense
| ARK | Advanced Game Stats | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3 | Pace | 69.6 |
| 87.1 | Off.Rate | 114.5 |
| .193 | FTr | .253 |
| .409 | 3PAr | .405 |
| .485 | TS% | .562 |
| 49.0 | TRB% | 50.5 |
| 45.7 | AST% | 58.2 |
| 10.6 | STL% | 11.0 |
| 6.1 | BLK% | 7.3 |
| .465 | eFG% | .542 |
| 21.5 | TOV% | 14.1 |
| 26.5 | ORB% | 36.4 |
| .129 | TF/FGA | .174 |
Betting Trends
| ARK | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-0-1 |
| 68.33 | Avg Score | 72.67 |
| 58.67 | Avg Opp Score | 67.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 73 | Avg Score | 81.33 |
| 82.67 | Avg Opp Score | 74.67 |
| ARK | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-0-1 |
| 71.6 | Avg Score | 75 |
| 71.4 | Avg Opp Score | 67.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 72.8 | Avg Score | 83.2 |
| 77.2 | Avg Opp Score | 73.6 |
| ARK | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-1 |
| 70.9 | Avg Score | 76.2 |
| 66.5 | Avg Opp Score | 70.5 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 74.1 | Avg Score | 81.8 |
| 75.8 | Avg Opp Score | 67 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Arkansas Razorbacks
Last time out, Arkansas hosted the LSU Tigers and dominated in a 60-40 win. The final score does not do justice to how much the Razorbacks controlled this game, and just how bad the Tigers are. At the half, the Razorbacks led by 24 points and they cruised in the second half. Arkansas led by as many as 25 points, never trailed in the game, and easily covered the -12.5-point spread.
Davonte Davis had 16 points, seven rebounds, three assists, and two steals on the night. Anthony Black added 14 points, seven rebounds, three assists, and three steals in the victory.
Through 20 games, Arkansas is scoring 75.1 points per game, shooting 47.1% from the field, and assisting on 13.2 made shots. The Razorbacks are allowing 65.0 points, grabbing 36.3 rebounds, blocking 4.7 shots, and stealing the ball 9.1 times.
Baylor Bears
Baylor hosted #9 Kansas and secured an impressive 75-69 win. The Bears completely controlled this game from start to finish and never gave the Jayhawks any hope of a win. Leading by seven at the half, the Bears were able to keep Kansas at arm’s length throughout the final 20 minutes. Baylor led by as many as 13 points, never trailed by more than one, and covered the -2.0-point spread.
LJ Cryer had 22 points, two rebounds, and three assists in the game. Adam Flagler added 17 points, two rebounds, two assists, and two steals in the victory. After 20 games, Baylor is scoring 79.4 points per game, shooting 45.2% from the field, and assisting on 15.7 made shots. The Bears are allowing 69.3 points, grabbing 36.3 rebounds, blocking 2.9 shots, and stealing the ball 7.4 times
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