American Eagles

American Eagles

Mar 19, 2025

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

American Eagles vs Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Pick – 3/19/2025

The American Eagles and the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are set to face off in a First Four matchup of the NCAA Tournament on Wednesday, March 19, 2025, at 6:40 p.m. ET at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio. Both teams enter the game with identical 22-12 records, aiming to advance to the Round of 64.

American Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Game Preview

American University secured its spot in the tournament by clinching the Patriot League title, marking their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2014. The Eagles have demonstrated resilience throughout the season, particularly in close contests, boasting a 5-1 record in games decided by three points or fewer. Offensively, they average 68.6 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field. Defensively, they allow 67.3 points per game, holding opponents to a 45.4% field goal percentage.

Leading the charge for the Eagles is Matt Rogers, who averages 17 points and 5.6 rebounds per game. Elijah Stephens contributes significantly with 10.6 points and 3.7 assists per game, while Lincoln Ball leads the team in rebounding with 5.8 boards per game.

Mount St. Mary's enters the tournament as the MAAC conference champion, making their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2021. The Mountaineers have been on a hot streak, winning nine of their last 11 games. They average 70.4 points per game on 44.2% shooting and are particularly strong defensively, allowing just 40.6% shooting from opponents.

The Mountaineers are led by Dola Adebayo, who averages 13.2 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Dallas Hobbs adds 12.6 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, while Jedy Cordilia leads the team in rebounding with 7.3 boards per game.

Betting Insights

As of the latest reports, the betting line favors American by 2.5 points, with an over/under set at 129.5 points. The moneyline stands at American (-142) and Mount St. Mary's (+120). These odds suggest a closely contested game, with a slight edge given to the Eagles.

Key betting trends to consider:

  • American has won each of its last four games.
  • Mount St. Mary's has also won each of its last four games.
  • American has lost each of its last three games against non-conference opponents.
  • Mount St. Mary's has lost 17 of its last 19 Wednesday night games against non-conference opponents.

American Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Prediction

Both teams enter this matchup with momentum, having secured their respective conference titles and riding winning streaks. American's experience in close games and slightly more efficient offense provide a marginal advantage. However, Mount St. Mary's defensive prowess and recent form cannot be overlooked.

Considering the betting line and team performances, a closely contested game is anticipated. A final score prediction would be American 70, Mount St. Mary's 68, suggesting that while American may secure the win, Mount St. Mary's could cover the spread. Bettors might also consider the over on the total points, given both teams' recent scoring trends.

As always, it's important to consider all factors and trends before making a wager. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to perform under pressure, making this First Four matchup one to watch closely.

Stay informed with the most recent NCAABB news and our analytics-driven NCAABB picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-115
53% AMERCN
+2.5/-105
47% MSTM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-154
83% AMERCN
+127
17% MSTM

Total Pick Consensus

128.0/-112
17% UN
128.0/-108
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Advanced Game Stats
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

AMERCN
Team Stats Per Game
MSTM
68.65
PTS GM
69.79
54
FGA
60.85
.443
FG%
.406
.347
3PT%
.312
7.71
ORB
10.85
0.67
DRB
0.66
30.32
TRB
33.26
16.41
FTA
16.21
.756
FT%
.735
12.53
AST
12.97
1.85
BLK
3.09
11.06
TO
11.21
17.85
PF
16.21

Defense/Offense

AMERCN
Team Stats Per Game
MSTM
67.26
PTS GM
70.35
53.26
FGA
55.85
.454
FG%
.442
.329
3PT%
.348
8.47
ORB
10.32
0.7
DRB
0.8
32.29
TRB
37.68
18.41
FTA
17.68
.696
FT%
.734
12.15
AST
15
2.76
BLK
2.79
11.94
TO
15.15
15.74
PF
15.79

Offense/Defense

AMERCN
Advanced Game Stats
MSTM
64.4
Pace
68.0
105.1
Off.Rate
101.2
.304
FTr
.266
.449
3PAr
.443
.555
TS%
.509
48.4
TRB%
46.9
52.4
AST%
52.4
10.1
STL%
13.0
5.3
BLK%
9.4
.521
eFG%
.476
15.2
TOV%
14.1
24.4
ORB%
28.4
.230
TF/FGA
.196

Defense/Offense

AMERCN
Advanced Game Stats
MSTM
64.4
Pace
68.0
103.0
Off.Rate
102.0
.346
FTr
.316
.348
3PAr
.410
.542
TS%
.547
51.6
TRB%
53.1
50.2
AST%
60.7
9.1
STL%
8.9
9.3
BLK%
8.2
.511
eFG%
.514
16.1
TOV%
19.1
27.2
ORB%
31.5
.241
TF/FGA
.232

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
AMERCN MSTM
AMERCN MSTM
Consensus
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-107)
+3.0 (-115)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-107)
-3.0 (-107)
+3.0 (-114)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
AMERCN MSTM
AMERCN MSTM
Consensus
-147
+121
-154
+127
-142
+120
-155
+130
-144
+122
-142
+118
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
129.5 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
128.0 (-113)
128.0 (-108)
129.5 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
128.5 (-108)
128.5 (-112)
129.5 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
128.5 (-110)
128.5 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
128.0 (-113)
128.0 (-108)
129.5 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
128.0 (-110)
128.0 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
129.5 (-110)
128.5 (-110)
128.5 (-110)

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