A Mountain West Conference battle is set for Friday night when the Air Force Falcons (12-9, 3-5 in MWC) visit the New Mexico Lobos (18-3, 5-3). Air Force is trending towards the bottom of the MWC standings, while New Mexico is looking to rebound and get back into the top four. Below is my college basketball best bet for Air Force vs New Mexico.
Air Force vs New Mexico Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | New Mexico -12.5 |
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This game will be played at The Pit at 10:00 p.m. ET on Friday, January 27, 2023.
Why Bet New Mexico -12.5
✅ New Mexico is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.
✅ The Lobos are 15-1 straight up in their last 16 home games.
✅ Air Force is 0-12 in their last 12 road games at New Mexico.
NCAABB
Air Force Falcons
New Mexico Lobos
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| AIRF | Advanced Game Stats | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0 | Pace | 76.1 |
| 103.6 | Off.Rate | 98.5 |
| .392 | FTr | .350 |
| .468 | 3PAr | .363 |
| .568 | TS% | .543 |
| 48.0 | TRB% | 48.4 |
| 63.4 | AST% | 58.4 |
| 8.5 | STL% | 9.2 |
| 9.8 | BLK% | 8.2 |
| .551 | eFG% | .520 |
| 17.4 | TOV% | 20.3 |
| 22.4 | ORB% | 29.4 |
| .246 | TF/FGA | .228 |
Defense/Offense
| AIRF | Advanced Game Stats | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0 | Pace | 76.1 |
| 107.4 | Off.Rate | 114.1 |
| .322 | FTr | .384 |
| .367 | 3PAr | .340 |
| .547 | TS% | .553 |
| 52.0 | TRB% | 51.6 |
| 49.6 | AST% | 60.5 |
| 8.4 | STL% | 13.8 |
| 8.7 | BLK% | 16.0 |
| .516 | eFG% | .525 |
| 14.5 | TOV% | 13.0 |
| 28.5 | ORB% | 34.7 |
| .230 | TF/FGA | .257 |
Betting Trends
| AIRF | Betting Trends | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 64.67 | Avg Score | 84 |
| 75.33 | Avg Opp Score | 77.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 62.67 | Avg Score | 80 |
| 68 | Avg Opp Score | 70.33 |
| AIRF | Betting Trends | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 66 | Avg Score | 82 |
| 69.6 | Avg Opp Score | 75 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 62 | Avg Score | 81 |
| 68 | Avg Opp Score | 72.8 |
| AIRF | Betting Trends | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 66.7 | Avg Score | 81.2 |
| 70.3 | Avg Opp Score | 73.7 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 6-2-2 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-0 |
| 62 | Avg Score | 87.5 |
| 69.7 | Avg Opp Score | 71.4 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Air Force Falcons
Last time out, Air Force took a trip to San Jose and were blown out 82-52. The Spartans were impressive from opening tip as they built an early big lead and led by 15 at the half. It was much of the same in the second half as the Falcons could never get anything going and were outscored by 15 points again. Air Force trailed by as many as 33 points, never led by more than six, and could not cover the +3.5-point spread.
Rytis Petraitis had eight points, two rebounds, three assists, one steal, and one block in the defeat.
Through 21 games, Air Force is scoring 68.1 points per game, shooting 46.3% from the field, and assisting on 15.5 made shots. The Falcons are allowing 65.2 points, grabbing 30.0 rebounds, blocking 4.4 shots, and stealing the ball 6.2 times.
New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico visited the Nevada Wolf Pack and left with a 97-94 double overtime defeat. This will go down as one of the best games of the college basketball season as it was back and forth for 50 minutes and had plenty of controversy. The Lobos trailed by five at break, but tied it up and hoped to escape with a big road win. New Mexico led by five, trailed by five, and covered the +3.5-point spread.
Jamal Mashburn Jr. had 33 points, and two rebounds on the night. Jaelen House added 17 points, seven rebounds, 10 assists, and two steals in the loss.
After 21 games, New Mexico is scoring 82.5 points per game, shooting 48.9% from the field, and assisting on 14.8 made shots. The Lobos are allowing 70.8 points, grabbing 39.4 rebounds, blocking 4.2 shots, and stealing the ball 7.1 times.
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