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Djokovic vs Nadal Betting Pick
There is no more exciting matchup in tennis today than Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal, especially at a tournament with the prestige of the French Open. Djokovic is looking to defend his title from a year ago, while Nadal is looking to get back on top of the mountain at Roland Garros. In our tennis predictions for Tuesday, we look at Djokovic vs Nadal, in a quarterfinal match that will feel like a major championship match from start to finish.
Why Bet On Novak Djokovic:
✅ Djokovic has played way less than Nadal so far during this tournament, with Nadal logging over two hours more time on court than his opponent heading into this match. Combine that with Djokovic getting way more rest this season due to his vaccine-related absences from several tournaments, and Djokovic will be the fresher player here.
✅ Djokovic also knows that he has to win this French Open to keep his ranking in a decent place given that Wimbledon is little more than an exhibition tournament this year. Djokovic is set to lose all of his 2000 points from the year’s lone grass court major, and he may not even play it as a result. That will allow him to empty the tank down the stretch at this French Open, including here against Nadal.
✅ The world number one defeated Nadal here by five service games in their semifinal matchup in the 2021 French Open. He seemed to have figured out how to apply his trademark pressure more consistently against Nadal, who was just pushed to the limit by Felix Auger-Aliassime in the round of 16. Djokovic will do so again here en route to a victory and a trip to the semifinals.
Novak Djokovic has enjoyed relatively smooth sailing throughout the 2022 French Open, winning 12 of 12 sets to get to the quarterfinal round. His path to this point has not been all that tough, with his toughest opponent being the scrappy yet light-hitting Diego Schwartzman. But that path will have Djokovic feeling as fresh as possible for the toughest match that one can line up on clay.
For Djokovic, this is a match where he can really expend his energy given that he does not have his usual grass court demands to look ahead to. Wimbledon has been reduced to an exhibition tournament this year for all intents and purposes, with no ranking points to incentivize players to give their all at the All England Club. That should benefit him against a player in Nadal who usually skips the grass season anyway at this point in his career.
Rafael Nadal had won nine straight sets at the 2022 French Open before the round of 16, where he was pushed quite a bit by Felix Auger-Aliassime. Auger-Aliassime took Nadal to a fifth set, which Nadal took in the end, but Nadal has played over two hours more than Djokovic in this tournament thanks to that epic match.
Against Djokovic, Nadal won just 40% of his second serve points in last year’s French Open meeting. He will need to do more with those points to keep himself in contention, despite the fact that Djokovic’s defensive tennis puts all of his opponents at a disadvantage in second serve situations.