Novak Djokovic to win Wimbledon (-160)
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- Carlos Alcaraz is not quite where he needs to be on grass just yet to win this tournament.
- Players like Nick Kyrgios and Matteo Berrettini, who would normally be in the mix to win Wimbledon, are not right physically and will not be able to contend with Djokovic.
- No other player besides Djokovic and Alcaraz is inside of +2000 to win this event.
The most popular fortnight in tennis is set to begin on Monday, as Wimbledon is set to get going from the All England Club. There are two clear favorites to win this tournament, while the rest of the field will look to claim the title for themselves by navigating past Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz, and the rest of the competition. Here, we make our tennis betting picks for Wimbledon in the outright betting markets before the fun begins.
2023 Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Singles Odds
There are only two competitors in the Wimbledon gentlemen’s singles draw at odds shorter than +2000. Those two competitors are the top-two seeds in the tournament, Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic. Below is a list of the top-10 favorites going into the gentlemen’s tournament at DraftKings Sportsbook, as there are only nine men inside of +5000 going into Monday’s first round action.
| Gentlemen’s Singles Competitor | Odds to Win Wimbledon |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | -160 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | +350 |
| Jannik Sinner | +2000 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +2000 |
| Alexander Zverev | +3500 |
| Sebastian Korda | +3500 |
| Holger Rune | +3500 |
| Nick Kyrgios | +4000 |
| Taylor Fritz | +4000 |
| Andy Murray | +6500 |
2023 Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Draw Preview
The Wimbledon gentlemen’s draw is interesting this year, as the two favorites to win this tournament are on opposite ends. That means that as long as Alcaraz and Djokovic can take care of business against the rest of their opponents, they will meet in the final. But before we get to the final, let’s take a look at each quarter of the draw and what we could expect from this tournament before we reach the semifinals.
First Quarter Belongs to Alcaraz, But Can He Win It All?
Key Players in this Quarter: Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev, Matteo Berrettini, Alex De Minaur, Frances Tiafoe, Holger Rune, Grigor Dimitrov
Carlos Alcaraz should be able to beat any player in this quarter of the draw, especially with Matteo Berrettini not being where he needs to be physically to challenge at what is normally one of his best events. But bettors should pump the brakes before taking Alcaraz in the outright markets for this year’s Wimbledon.
Yes, Alcaraz won his first ever title on grass this season in Queens. But it is important to note that he did not play a seeded player until the final of that tournament, thanks to a ton of upsets helping to clear the path to the title for Alcaraz that week. Alcaraz nearly lost in his first match in that tournament to Arthur Rinderknech, who may not be the best French tennis player named Arthur on tour right now. While Alcaraz should win this quarter, be careful taking him to beat Djokovic in a couple of weeks.
Second Quarter Features Tons Of Intrigue
Key Players in this Quarter: Daniil Medvedev, Tommy Paul, Cameron Norrie, Sebastian Korda, Ben Shelton, Maxime Cressy, Andy Murray, Stefanos Tsitsipas
The best quarter in terms of overall quality in this year’s Wimbledon draw could be the second quarter. There, several talented Americans and Brits join Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas to create what should be a competitive week and a half of tennis. While Medvedev is the best player in this quarter, the fact that Cam Norrie and Andy Murray will have the crowd behind them will create some potential for both to outperform expectations.
How this quarter ends up playing out could depend largely on whether or not Stefanos Tsitsipas can get out of the first round. The Greek has been knocked out in round one of three of his five Wimbledon appearances in his career. If he encounters early trouble again, we could see someone like Murray or Cressy take advantage with a longer run than anticipated.
Huge Opportunity For Third Quarter Participants
Key Players in this Quarter: Jannik Sinner, Taylor Fritz, Borna Coric, Casper Ruud, Denis Shapovalov, Roberto Bautista-Agut
The third quarter of the Wimbledon draw features several young talents who have the chance to reach a semifinal without an all-time great in their way to ruin their chances. Jannik Sinner, Taylor Fritz, and Denis Shapovalov are all among the players with a legitimate chance to get out of this quarter. Sinner is third on the list of favorites to win this entire tournament at +2000, but this portion of the draw could go in any number of directions.
Djokovic Could Cruise In Quarter Number Four
Key Players in this Quarter: Andrey Rublev, Nick Kyrgios, Alexander Bublik, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Hubert Hurkacz, Novak Djokovic
While the third quarter of the Wimbledon draw could go in any number of directions, the fourth and final quarter is unlikely to be as suspenseful. That is because Novak Djokovic is at the bottom of this quarter, and he is the overwhelming favorite to win this quarter and the tournament as a whole.
Djokovic should benefit from the fact that Nick Kyrgios is nowhere near fit enough to make a deep run in this year’s tournament, as Kyrgios’ unpredictability and massive serve could at least present a challenge to the 23-time major champion. Instead, those hoping for the downfall of Djokovic will have to hope that Andrey Rublev, Hubert Hurkacz, or Felix Auger-Aliassime can get hot to take him out before the semifinals.
Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Singles Prediction: Novak Djokovic (-160)
Those hoping for a Cinderella story at Wimbledon this year are likely to be disappointed, as this tournament is Novak Djokovic’s to lose. Barring the best two weeks of Jannik Sinner’s young career, we should see Djokovic get through his half of the draw without too much trouble. And even with Alcaraz making his way to his first career grass court title, Alcaraz is just not where he needs to be on grass to win his first major on the surface.
If Djokovic does cash in as a favorite in this tournament, that would create quite a bit of intrigue looking toward the US Open. Djokovic has already won the Australian Open and French Open this year. If he can claim Wimbledon, he would have a second chance in three years to claim the single-season Grand Slam, which he failed to close out after losing to Daniil Medvedev in the 2021 US Open final.
