Novak Djokovic

The semifinals of the 2020 Australian Open are set and the men’s draw has some very familiar faces. The first semifinal is match-up fans have seen 49 times before, and features a combined 36 Grand Slam championships, as the second seed Novak Djokovic takes on the third seed Roger Federer. The second semifinal is between two familiar faces and two players who are looking to overtake the Big Three. The #5 seed Dominic Thiem will battle with the #7 seed Alex Zverev as book look to win their first Grand Slam title.

Odds to win Australian Open (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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  1. Novak Djokovic -220
  2. Dominic Thiem +480
  3. Alexander Zverev +950
  4. Roger Federer +1200

Novak Djokovic is through to his 8th Australian Open semifinal, and will look to win his 8th Australian Open title, after easily dispatching the 32nd seed Milos Raonic in the quarterfinals. Djokovic has now made the semifinal stage of six of the last seven Grand Slam’s and has went on to win four of those Grand Slams. Novak is just four Grand Slams behind Roger Federer for the most all-time and is just three behind Rafael Nadal in second.  The Serbian entered this tournament ranked #2 in the world and can retake the top ranking by winning the title here.

Roger Federer advanced to his 15th semifinal at the Australian Open, and will be looking to win his 7th Australian Open title, after getting by Tennys Sandgren in a great five set quarterfinal match-up. Federer has now advanced to his third semifinal in his last four Grand Slams, but the man with the most Grand Slam titles of all-time has not tasted glory since this tournament in 2018. Federer came into Australia ranked third in the world, and will leave ranked the same, but can get within 30 ranking points of Djokovic by winning the title.

These two legends have met 49 times in the past and Novak Djokovic leads the all-time series 26-23. The two have met 26 times on outdoor hardcourts and the series is tied 13-13. I think this one could get pretty lopsided, and the odds represent that, but I like Novak Djokovic (-800) to reach the Australian Open Final.

Dominic Thiem upset the top seeded Rafael Nadal, in four sets, to reach his fifth career Grand Slam semifinal – first on hardcourts. The Austrian is a two-time Grand Slam finalist, falling in the last two French Open finals to Rafa, but has turned his game to an all-court surface game and is now a threat at every Grand Slam. A win will push Thiem through to his third Grand Slam final in three years. The Austrian entered this tournament ranked fifth in the world, but can move up to a career high of #3 by lifting the trophy here.

Alexander Zverev overcame a poor first set to knock out #15 Stan Wawrinka and advance to his first ever Grand Slam semifinal. This is the best Grand Slam performance, by far, from the talented German as he finally looks to have taken the next step in his career. Zverev’s previous best hardcourt Grand Slam performance was the fourth round, so this is a nice sign to see from the young star. Zverev entered the tournament ranked #7 in the world and could leave ranked #6 if he lifts the trophy.

Dominic Thiem leads the head-to-head 6-2, but Zverev leads 1-0 on outdoor hardcourts. This is going to be a great match-up and I like Alexander Zverev (+152) to advance to his first Grand Slam final.

Novak continues his dominance in Australia and wins his 8th title down under (-280).