Novak Djokovic (-168) over Carlos Alcaraz
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- This is the first meeting between these two on grass, which gives Djokovic a huge advantage compared to their previous matchups on clay.
- This is Alcaraz’s first Wimbledon final, while Djokovic is chasing his eighth Wimbledon crown, giving the experience edge straight to Djokovic.
- Djokovic is better at adjusting than Daniil Medvedev, who Alcaraz demolished in the semifinal round.
On Sunday, the gentlemen’s championship match at Wimbledon will feature the top-two seeds in the tournament. Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic have been the two best players in men’s tennis in 2023, and they will face off to determine who takes home the game’s third major. In our tennis betting picks for Sunday morning, we break down Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon final.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Betting Pick
Djokovic (-168) over Alcaraz
✅ Djokovic has a huge experience advantage going into this match, especially on grass at the Wimbledon final. In their first major final encounter, expect that edge to be a deciding factor.
✅ Alcaraz will have a harder time manipulating Djokovic with his serve than he had against Daniil Medvedev, who seemingly refused to change his return position in the semifinal round.
✅ These two players split their two all-time meetings on clay, but this is their first grass court encounter, which gives the advantage to Djokovic in a big way.
Carlos Alcaraz was expected to be tested by Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon semifinal, but that was not the case whatsoever. Alcaraz put Medvedev away in straight sets, rarely being threatened on his serve, as the Russian could not take away the combination of wide serving and net charging that Alcaraz brought out for that match.
In this match, Alcaraz will once again be the player expected to put an end to points with his ability to hit through the court. But he will be facing a much better defender in this match in Djokovic, not to mention someone with a heap more experience on this stage, as Alcaraz is playing in his first Wimbledon final on Sunday.
Novak Djokovic is a fixture in the gentlemen’s final at Wimbledon, and he is looking to win his eighth Wimbledon title on Sunday. This will be the first encounter between Alcaraz and Djokovic on grass, and the advantage has to rest with Djokovic on this surface. But Djokovic knows better than anyone that he cannot coast on his previous accomplishments in a match as important as this one.
While Djokovic plays a similar brand of defensive tennis to Medvedev, who Alcaraz destroyed in the semifinals, Djokovic is much better at making adjustments on the fly to solve his opponent. That was something Medvedev simply could not do against the Spaniard, but it could be the difference in this match in the favor of Djokovic.